MLB Player Prop Prediction: Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox 7/28

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 28, 2024, 5:03:34 AM
MLB Player Prop Prediction: Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox 7/28
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Photo Credit: © Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Seattle Mariners (55-51, second in the AL West) will face the Chicago White Sox (27-80, fifth in the AL Central) at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago on Sunday, July 28, at 2:10 p.m. EDT. The White Sox enter this matchup on a significant losing streak, having lost their last 13 games. Chicago has struggled both at home and overall this season, with a 17-36 record at home and a 27-80 record overall. Despite their struggles, the White Sox have managed a 9-14 record when hitting at least two home runs in a game.
The Mariners, on the other hand, have a balanced record with a 24-28 record on the road and a 55-51 overall record. They have been highly successful when out-hitting their opponents, boasting a 40-6 record in such games. This will be the seventh meeting between the two teams this season, with the Mariners leading the season series 5-1.
Recent performances show a stark contrast between the two teams. The White Sox have gone 0-10 in their last 10 games, with a .196 batting average and a 6.20 ERA, being outscored by 43 runs. Meanwhile, the Mariners have gone 3-7 in their last 10 games, with a .194 batting average and a 2.15 ERA, narrowly outscoring their opponents by one run.
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Player Prop Odds
For Tyler Locklear:
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-145)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+230)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+145)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+125)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+190)
Player Analysis: Tyler Locklear
Tyler Locklear has been a key contributor to the Mariners' offense this season. Although his batting average is not stellar, he has shown the ability to come through in clutch situations. Locklear's recent performances have included multiple hits and runs scored, making him a valuable asset in the Mariners' lineup. His ability to get on base and drive in runs will be crucial for Seattle in this matchup against the struggling White Sox.
Opposing Analysis: Chicago White Sox
The White Sox pitching staff has been underwhelming this season, with a team ERA of 4.66, ranking near the bottom of the league. Garrett Crochet, their probable starting pitcher for this game, has a decent record with a 6-7 win-loss and a respectable 3.07 ERA. However, the rest of the pitching staff has struggled to maintain consistency. The White Sox bullpen has also been shaky, often allowing opponents to score late in games.
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Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Miller | 7-7 | 3.41 | 1.03 | 116.0 | 90 | 103 | 29 | 15 |
| G. Crochet | 6-7 | 3.07 | 0.97 | 111.1 | 83 | 157 | 25 | 10 |
Team Previews
Seattle Mariners
The Mariners have had a relatively balanced season, with notable performances in both hitting and pitching. Their team batting average is a low .217, but they have managed to score crucial runs when needed. The relief pitching has been somewhat reliable, although the team has suffered from injuries to key players like J.P. Crawford and Julio Rodriguez.
On the defensive side, the Mariners have committed 62 errors, ranking them among the teams with the most errors in the league. Starting pitcher Bryce Miller has been one of the bright spots, with a 7-7 record and a 3.41 ERA, showing consistency in his outings.
Chicago White Sox
The White Sox have struggled mightily this season, both offensively and defensively. Their team batting average is .217, and they rank near the bottom in hits and runs scored. Relief pitching has been a significant issue, with the team ERA standing at 4.66. Injuries have also plagued the White Sox, with key players like Max Stassi and Jordan Leasure on the injured list.
Despite the challenges, Garrett Crochet has been a standout performer with a 3.07 ERA and 157 strikeouts. However, the lack of support from the rest of the pitching staff has made it difficult for the team to secure wins.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| J.P. Crawford | SS | 10-Day IL (hand) |
| Julio Rodriguez | OF | 10-Day IL (ankle) |
| Max Stassi | C | 60-Day IL (hip) |
| Jordan Leasure | RP | 15-Day IL (shoulder) |
Recent Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Houston | L3-0 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Houston | L4-2 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Houston | W6-4 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Los Angeles | L3-1 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Los Angeles | L5-1 | L |
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Prediction
Pick: Tyler Locklear Over 0.5 Hits (-145)
Tyler Locklear has been consistently getting on base, and with the current form of the White Sox pitching staff, he stands a good chance to get at least one hit in this game. The odds of -145 make this a valuable pick considering the favorable matchup.
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