MLB Player Prop Prediction: San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Dodgers 7/25

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 25, 2024, 7:42:48 AM
MLB Player Prop Prediction: San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Dodgers 7/25
Photo Credit: © Jason Parkhurst-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Los Angeles Dodgers will host the San Francisco Giants at Dodger Stadium on Thursday at 4:10 PM EDT. The Dodgers are leading the series 2-1 and will look to clinch the series with another win. Los Angeles currently holds a 61-42 record, sitting first in the NL West, while San Francisco is 49-54 and fourth in the division.
In their recent performances, the Dodgers have been resilient, posting a 6-4 record in their last 10 games, with a .239 batting average and a 4.30 ERA. The Giants, meanwhile, have struggled, going 4-6 in their last 10 games with a batting average of .215 and a 3.66 ERA.
The Dodgers have dominated the season series against the Giants, winning 8 out of 12 matchups. Key performers for the Dodgers include Shohei Ohtani, who has 26 doubles, 4 triples, and 30 home runs, and Gavin Lux, who is 11-for-29 with 3 doubles, 3 home runs, and 8 RBI in the past 10 games. For the Giants, Matt Chapman has 25 doubles and 14 home runs, while Mike Yastrzemski is 13-for-33 with 3 doubles, 2 triples, and a home run over the last 10 games.
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Player Prop Odds
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Andy Pages Prop Odds:
- Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +350
- Batter Hits (1.5): Over +230
- Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +135
- Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over -105
- Batter Singles (0.5): Over -140
- Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over +120
Player Analysis
Andy Pages has been a promising hitter for the Los Angeles Dodgers. This season, he has shown flashes of his power and consistency at the plate. Pages has a knack for driving the ball to all parts of the field, which makes him a valuable asset in the Dodgers' lineup. His ability to hit for both average and power gives him multiple avenues to contribute offensively.
In his recent games, Pages has been particularly effective in driving in runs and getting on base. His propensity to hit doubles and total bases makes the prop bets on his performance intriguing. With the current odds, betting on Pages to exceed 1.5 total bases at +120 provides a solid value, given his recent form.
Opposing Analysis
The San Francisco Giants will have Logan Webb on the mound. Webb has been reliable for the Giants this season, posting a 7-8 record with a 3.59 ERA and 111 strikeouts over 130.1 innings. Webb's ability to limit hard contact and induce ground balls makes him a tough opponent for any hitter.
However, the Dodgers' lineup has had success against Webb in past matchups. The key for Pages will be to remain patient and wait for Webb to make mistakes. Given Webb's tendency to challenge hitters, Pages has a good chance to capitalize on any pitches left over the plate.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Webb (SF) | 7-8 | 3.59 | 1.27 | 130.1 | 134 | 111 | 32 | 7 |
| Clayton Kershaw (LAD) | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Team Previews
San Francisco Giants:
- Hitting: The Giants have accumulated 888 hits, ranking 5th in the league, with a .253 batting average (6th overall).
- Relief Pitching: Giants' bullpen has converted 32 saves, ranking 5th in the MLB.
- Fielding: The Giants have committed 51 errors, placing them in the middle of the pack.
- Starting Pitchers: Logan Webb leads the rotation with a 3.59 ERA and 111 strikeouts.
Los Angeles Dodgers:
- Hitting: The Dodgers have 839 hits (15th) and 448 runs (15th), with a team batting average of .242 (16th).
- Relief Pitching: The bullpen has 19 saves, ranking 28th in the league.
- Fielding: The Dodgers have made 58 errors, ranking 9th in the MLB.
- Starting Pitchers: Clayton Kershaw is expected to make his first start post-injury.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Winn | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Jung Hoo Lee | OF | Labrum | 60-Day IL |
| Tom Murphy | C | Head | 60-Day IL |
| Alex Cobb | SP | Hip | 60-Day IL |
| Ethan Small | RP | Oblique | 60-Day IL |
| Tristan Beck | RP | Arm | 60-Day IL |
| Miguel Rojas | SS | Forearm | 10-Day IL |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | SP | Tricep | 60-Day IL |
| Dustin May | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Max Muncy | 2B | Oblique | 60-Day IL |
| Walker Buehler | SP | Hip | 15-Day IL |
| Michael Grove | SP | Lat | 15-Day IL |
| Mookie Betts | RF | Hand | 10-Day IL |
| Ryan Brasier | RP | Calf | 60-Day IL |
| Connor Brogdon | RP | Foot | 60-Day IL |
| Brusdar Graterol | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Emmet Sheehan | RP | Forearm | 60-Day IL |
| Clayton Kershaw | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Tony Gonsolin | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
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San Francisco Giants
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Colorado | L 7-3 | Loss |
| @ Colorado | L 4-3 | Loss |
| @ Colorado | W 3-2 | Win |
| @ Los Angeles | L 3-2 | Loss |
| @ Los Angeles | L 5-2 | Loss |
| @ Los Angeles | W 8-3 | Win |
Los Angeles Dodgers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Boston | W 4-1 | Win |
| vs Boston | W 7-6 F/11 | Win |
| vs Boston | W 9-6 | Win |
| vs San Francisco | W 3-2 | Win |
| vs San Francisco | W 5-2 | Win |
| vs San Francisco | L 8-3 | Loss |
Prediction
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Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases for Andy Pages (+120)
Given Andy Pages' recent performance and Logan Webb’s struggles against the Dodgers, betting on Pages to exceed 1.5 total bases at +120 is a strong value pick. Pages has shown the ability to hit for extra bases, and the odds provide a favorable risk-reward scenario.


