MLB Player Prop Prediction: Patrick Bailey vs Giants 7/28

MLB Player Prop Prediction: Patrick Bailey vs Giants 7/28

Photo Credit: © D. Ross Cameron-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

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The Colorado Rockies (38-68, fifth in the NL West) will face off against the San Francisco Giants (52-55, fourth in the NL West) at Oracle Park in San Francisco on Sunday, July 28, 2024, at 4:05 PM EDT. The Rockies are currently on a three-game losing streak and will be looking to turn things around against a Giants team that has a strong home record of 31-22.

Historically, the Giants have dominated the season series against the Rockies, holding a 9-3 advantage. In their last 10 games, the Giants have gone 5-5, hitting .242 with a 3.71 ERA, while the Rockies have also gone 5-5, hitting .249 with a 4.80 ERA. The Giants have outscored their opponents by 10 runs over this span, whereas the Rockies have an even run differential.

Key performers for the Giants include Matt Chapman, who has 27 doubles and 15 home runs, and Tyler Fitzgerald, who is 14-for-32 with two doubles, a triple, seven home runs, and 12 RBI over the last 10 games. For the Rockies, Brenton Doyle has 18 doubles, three triples, and 17 home runs, and Ezequiel Tovar is 19-for-44 with three doubles, five home runs, and 12 RBI over the last 10 games.

The Giants will be starting Jordan Hicks (4-7, 4.01 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 90 strikeouts), while the Rockies will counter with Austin Gomber (2-6, 4.70 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 72 strikeouts).

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Player Prop Odds

Patrick Bailey Props:

Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+400.0), Under 0.5 (-700.0)
Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-180.0), Under 0.5 (+130.0)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+230.0), Under 0.5 (-330.0)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+165.0), Under 0.5 (-230.0)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+100.0), Under 0.5 (-135.0)
Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-180.0), Under 0.5 (+130.0)

Player Analysis

Patrick Bailey has been a consistent performer for the Giants this season. His ability to get on base and contribute to the team's scoring has been crucial. Bailey's batting average sits at .246, and he has shown the ability to hit for power with 17 home runs. His recent form has been impressive, and he is a key player for the Giants in this matchup.

Opposing Analysis

The Rockies will be starting Austin Gomber, who has struggled this season with a 2-6 record and a 4.70 ERA. Gomber has allowed 111 hits in 105.1 innings pitched and has given up 19 home runs. The Giants' hitters, including Bailey, should have opportunities to capitalize on Gomber's struggles.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	Team	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Jordan Hicks	Giants	4-7	4.01	90
Austin Gomber	Rockies	2-6	4.70	72

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Team Previews

Colorado Rockies

The Rockies have struggled this season, particularly on the road where they have a 14-39 record. Their offense has been inconsistent, and their pitching staff has struggled with a team ERA of 4.80. Key offensive performers include Brenton Doyle and Ezequiel Tovar, who have both been hitting well in recent games.

San Francisco Giants

The Giants have been more solid at home with a 31-22 record. Their pitching staff has been more reliable, and their offense has shown the ability to out-hit their opponents consistently. Matt Chapman and Tyler Fitzgerald have been key contributors to the Giants' offense, and they will look to continue their strong form against the Rockies.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Status
German Marquez	SP	Elbow	15-Day IL
Nolan Jones	LF	Back	10-Day IL
Jordan Beck	RF	Wrist	10-Day IL
Lucas Gilbreath	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Thairo Estrada	2B	Wrist	10-Day IL
Wilmer Flores	3B	Knee	10-Day IL
Keaton Winn	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Alex Cobb	SP	Hip	60-Day IL

Recent Games

Colorado Rockies

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs. San Francisco	4-1	L
vs. San Francisco	5-0	L
vs. Boston	20-7	W
vs. Boston	6-0	L
vs. Boston	9-8	W

San Francisco Giants

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Colorado	5-0	W
@ Colorado	4-1	W
@ Los Angeles	6-4	L
@ Los Angeles	8-3	W
@ Los Angeles	5-2	L

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Prediction

Given the current form of both teams and the pitching matchup, the Giants have the upper hand in this contest. Patrick Bailey has been a consistent performer, and with the Rockies' pitcher Austin Gomber struggling, Bailey has a good chance to exceed his prop totals.

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