MLB Player Prop Prediction: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/26
- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 26, 2024, 9:54:06 AM
MLB Player Prop Prediction: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/26
Photo Credit: © Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Miami Marlins will visit the Milwaukee Brewers to start a three-game series at American Family Field on Friday, July 26, 2024, at 8:10 PM EDT. The Brewers, who are currently leading the NL Central with a 59-43 record, are looking to extend their dominance against a struggling Marlins team that sits fifth in the NL East with a 37-66 record. The Brewers have been exceptional at home, boasting a 29-17 record, while the Marlins have struggled on the road with a 15-32 record.
Milwaukee has shown a penchant for power, going 20-6 in games where they hit two or more home runs. The Marlins, on the other hand, have a solid record of 27-12 when they outhit their opponents. This game marks the fourth meeting between these teams this season, with the Brewers having the upper hand in previous matchups.
Recent performances indicate that the Brewers are in good form, winning six of their last ten games with a .240 batting average and a 2.74 ERA, outscoring their opponents by 15 runs. The Marlins have a .280 batting average over their last ten games but have only managed a 5-5 record with a 4.25 ERA.
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Player Prop Odds
Nick Fortes Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-115)
Nick Fortes Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+270)
Nick Fortes Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+180)
Nick Fortes Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+140)
Nick Fortes Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+250)
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Player Analysis
Nick Fortes has been a consistent contributor for the Miami Marlins this season. Although his overall numbers may not jump off the page, his recent form suggests he could be a key player in today's game against the Brewers. Fortes has shown an ability to get on base and has the potential to drive in runs, especially when facing pitchers like Freddy Peralta, who has had his ups and downs this season.
Opposing Analysis
Freddy Peralta, the Brewers' starting pitcher, has a 6-5 record with a 3.88 ERA and 138 strikeouts in 109 innings pitched. While Peralta has been solid, he has had moments where he has struggled with control, issuing 38 walks and allowing 14 home runs. The Marlins' hitters, including Fortes, will look to capitalize on any mistakes Peralta might make.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Rogers (MIA) | 1-9 | 4.59 | 84 |
| Freddy Peralta (MIL) | 6-5 | 3.88 | 138 |
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Team Previews
Miami Marlins
The Marlins have struggled this season, particularly on the road. Despite their poor overall record, they have some bright spots, particularly in their hitting. The Marlins rank 7th in hits (883) and 8th in runs scored (487) with a team batting average of .254, which is 6th in the league. Their pitching has been less reliable, with a team ERA of 4.50, ranking 25th.
Milwaukee Brewers
The Brewers have been strong at home and are leading the NL Central. Offensively, they have been powered by players like Willy Adames, who leads the team with 16 home runs. However, their overall batting average of .236 ranks 20th in the league. Their pitching staff has been solid, with a team ERA of 3.74, ranking 8th in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Myers | OF | 10-Day IL (ankle) |
| Ryan Weathers | SP | 60-Day IL (finger) |
| Sixto Sanchez | SP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Braxton Garrett | SP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Jesus Luzardo | SP | 60-Day IL (back) |
Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs New York | W 6-4 | W |
| vs New York | L 1-0 | L |
| vs New York | W 4-2 | W |
| vs New York | L 6-4 | L |
| vs Baltimore | W 6-3 | W |
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Minnesota | W 8-4 F/12 | W |
| @ Minnesota | W 8-7 | W |
| @ Chicago | L 3-1 | L |
| @ Chicago | W 1-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | W 3-2 | W |
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Prediction
Given the recent form of the Miami Marlins and the starting pitcher matchup, Nick Fortes stands a good chance to contribute offensively in this game. Considering the prop odds, the best pick is:
Pick: Nick Fortes Over 0.5 Hits (-115)
Fortes has been making consistent contact and faces a pitcher in Freddy Peralta who can be vulnerable to allowing hits. This prop bet offers a solid opportunity given the circumstances.
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