MLB Player Prop Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros 7/28
- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 28, 2024, 4:52:12 AM
MLB Player Prop Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros 7/28
Photo Credit: © Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Los Angeles Dodgers will be looking to end their four-game road losing streak when they face the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park on Sunday, July 28, 2024, at 2:10 p.m. EDT. This game marks the third matchup between these two teams this season, with the Astros holding the upper hand so far.
Currently, the Houston Astros boast a respectable 30-21 record at home and a 55-49 record overall. They have consistently demonstrated their offensive prowess with a .321 on-base percentage, ranking ninth in Major League Baseball. The Astros' lineup is spearheaded by Yordan Alvarez, who has recorded 20 home runs, 44 walks, and 54 RBIs with a batting average of .300. Over the past 10 games, Jeremy Pena has been in fine form, going 14-for-37 with two doubles, two home runs, and six RBIs.
On the other side, the Los Angeles Dodgers have a road record of 28-24 and an overall record of 62-44, making them the leaders of the NL West. The Dodgers' pitching staff ranks tenth in the majors with a 3.81 ERA. Shohei Ohtani has been a standout performer, amassing 28 doubles, four triples, and 32 home runs. Gavin Lux has also been productive recently, hitting 12-for-29 with four doubles and two home runs in the last 10 games.
Both teams have shown varying forms in recent games. The Astros have a 5-5 record in their last 10 games with a .257 batting average and a 3.27 ERA, outscoring opponents by three runs. Meanwhile, the Dodgers have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games, hitting .245 with a 4.25 ERA, outscoring opponents by just one run.
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Player Prop Odds
For Shohei Ohtani, the prop odds are as follows:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+290)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+180)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+250)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+105)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 1.5 (+340)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-105)
- Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+410)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-140)
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Player Analysis
Shohei Ohtani has been an absolute force for the Los Angeles Dodgers this season. With a batting average of .318, he leads the team in several offensive categories including home runs (32) and RBIs (76). His versatility and power make him a constant threat at the plate, and he has a knack for coming up big in crucial moments. Ohtani's ability to hit for power and average makes him a valuable asset to the Dodgers' lineup. Given his recent form, he has the potential to significantly impact Sunday's game against the Astros.
Opposing Analysis
The Houston Astros will send Spencer Arrighetti to the mound. Arrighetti has struggled this season, posting a 4-8 record with a 5.65 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP over 86 innings. He has allowed 91 hits and 45 walks while striking out 96 batters. The Astros' bullpen, however, has been relatively strong, with a collective ERA of 3.77, the 10th best in the majors. Despite Arrighetti's struggles, the Astros' bullpen could play a crucial role in containing Ohtani and the Dodgers' offense.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Ryan (LAD) | 0-0 | 0.00 | 1.31 | 5.1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| S. Arrighetti (HOU) | 4-8 | 5.65 | 1.58 | 86.0 | 91 | 96 | 45 | 11 |
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Team Previews
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers have been one of the top teams this season, thanks in large part to their balanced lineup and strong pitching. Offensively, they rank second in hits (927) and batting average (.262), while also being tied for 10th in runs scored (483). Their pitching staff has been equally impressive, boasting the 10th-best ERA in the majors at 3.81.
Defensively, the Dodgers have committed 43 errors, ranking 29th in the league. Despite these defensive lapses, their overall performance has kept them at the top of the NL West.
Houston Astros
The Astros have been solid both offensively and defensively this season. They rank fourth in hits (908) and second in runs scored (516), with a team batting average of .254, which is fifth in the majors. Their bullpen has been a key factor in their success, with a 3.77 ERA that ranks 10th in the league.
Defensively, the Astros have committed 51 errors, tying them for 19th in the league. Their ability to limit mistakes and capitalize on scoring opportunities has been crucial to their success this season.
Team Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | OF | 10-Day IL (groin) |
| Miguel Rojas | SS | 10-Day IL (forearm) |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | SP | 60-Day IL (tricep) |
| Dustin May | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow/esophagus) |
| Max Muncy | 1B | 60-Day IL (oblique) |
| Walker Buehler | SP | 15-Day IL (hip) |
| Michael Grove | RP | 15-Day IL (lat) |
| Mookie Betts | RF | 10-Day IL (hand) |
| Ryan Brasier | RP | 60-Day IL (calf) |
| Connor Brogdon | RP | 60-Day IL (foot) |
| Brusdar Graterol | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Emmet Sheehan | RP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Tony Gonsolin | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Houston Astros
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Verlander | SP | 15-Day IL (neck) |
| Cristian Javier | SP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Kyle Tucker | RF | 10-Day IL (shin) |
| Jose Urquidy | SP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Oliver Ortega | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Bennett Sousa | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Penn Murfee | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Luis Garcia | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Kendall Graveman | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Recent Games
Los Angeles Dodgers Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|
| vs Boston | 4-1 | W |
| vs Boston | 7-6 (F/11) | W |
| vs Boston | 9-6 | W |
| vs San Francisco | 3-2 | W |
| vs San Francisco | 5-2 | W |
Houston Astros Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|
| @ Seattle | 3-0 | W |
| @ Seattle | 4-2 | W |
| @ Seattle | 6-4 | L |
| @ Oakland | 4-0 | L |
| @ Oakland | 8-2 | L |
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Prediction
Given Shohei Ohtani's recent form and his overall performance this season, betting on him to have over 1.5 total bases at -140 seems to be a solid pick. Ohtani's ability to hit for both power and average makes this prop attractive, especially considering the struggles of Houston's starting pitcher, Spencer Arrighetti.
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (-140)
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