MLB Player Prop Prediction: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets (7/25)

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 25, 2024, 8:31:52 AM
MLB Player Prop Prediction: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets (7/25)
Game Summary: Detailed overview including teams, date, and venue. Include recent performances, historical matchups, and other relevant information.
The Atlanta Braves (54-46, second in the NL East) will face off against the New York Mets (53-48, third in the NL East) on Thursday, July 25, 2024, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The game is scheduled to start at 7:10 p.m. EDT.
The Braves are currently on a four-game losing streak and are looking to turn things around against the Mets. Atlanta has struggled on the road with a 24-25 record and has a .241 team batting average, which ranks 10th in the NL. The Mets, on the other hand, have a 26-26 home record and are coming off a strong performance, winning seven of their last ten games with a .265 batting average and a 3.68 ERA.
Historically, these two teams have been evenly matched this season, with the series tied at 3-3. Key players to watch include Francisco Lindor for the Mets, who leads the team with a .259 batting average, 21 home runs, and 60 RBIs, and Marcell Ozuna for the Braves, who has 48 extra-base hits, including 28 home runs.
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Player Prop Odds
Here are the latest player prop odds for Harrison Bader of the New York Mets:
- Batter Hits Over 0.5: -130
- Batter RBIs Over 0.5: +250
- Batter Runs Scored Over 0.5: +160
- Batter Singles Over 0.5: +135
- Batter Stolen Bases Over 0.5: +470
- Batter Total Bases Over 1.5: +200
Player Analysis
Harrison Bader has been a crucial part of the Mets' lineup this season. He has been consistent at the plate, hitting .259 with 21 home runs and 60 RBIs. Bader's speed on the base paths has also been a key asset, as evidenced by his +470 odds for stealing a base. In his last ten games, Bader has been on fire, going 17-for-37 with two home runs and five RBIs. His ability to get on base and create scoring opportunities makes him a valuable asset for the Mets.
Opposing Analysis
Chris Sale, the starting pitcher for the Braves, will be a formidable opponent for Bader. Sale has been dominant this season with a 13-3 record, a 2.70 ERA, and 140 strikeouts in 110 innings pitched. However, the Braves' bullpen has struggled, allowing a 4.18 ERA, which could give Bader opportunities to capitalize late in the game.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 13-3 | 2.70 | 0.95 | 110.0 | 81 | 140 | 24 | 7 |
| Luis Severino (NYM) | 7-3 | 3.58 | 1.18 | 115.2 | 96 | 88 | 40 | 12 |
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Team Previews
Atlanta Braves
The Braves have a solid lineup, batting .251 collectively, which is 10th in the NL. They have scored 493 runs this season, ranking 6th in the league. Their pitching staff, led by Chris Sale, has a team ERA of 4.18. However, their bullpen has been a weak spot, which could be exploited by the Mets.
New York Mets
The Mets have a .241 team batting average, ranking 17th in the league. They have scored 422 runs, placing them 22nd overall. Their pitching staff has been a strength, with a team ERA of 3.52, which is 3rd best in the league. The Mets' bullpen has been reliable, with 26 saves this season.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bader | CF | Day-to-day (ankle) |
| Christian Scott | RP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Michael Harris II | CF | 60-Day IL (hamstring) |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | 10-Day IL (wrist) |
Recent Games
Atlanta Braves
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs St. Louis | Postponed | Postponed |
| vs St. Louis | W 3-2 F/10 | Win |
| vs St. Louis | L 9-5 | Loss |
| vs St. Louis | L 6-2 | Loss |
| vs Cincinnati | L 4-1 | Loss |
New York Mets
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Miami | L 6-4 | Loss |
| @ Miami | W 1-0 | Win |
| @ Miami | L 4-2 | Loss |
| @ Miami | W 6-4 | Win |
| @ New York | W 3-2 | Win |
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Prediction
Given Harrison Bader's recent form and the Braves' bullpen struggles, the best prop bet for this game is:
Bader has been hitting well recently, and with the Braves' bullpen's inconsistency, he is likely to get at least one hit in this game.
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Photo Credit: © Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
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