MLB Player Prop Picks Tonight: Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox 07/26

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 26, 2024, 12:10:13 AM
MLB Player Prop Picks Tonight: Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox 07/26
Photo Credit: © Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Seattle Mariners are facing off against the Chicago White Sox on July 26th at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois. This matchup features two teams in stark contrast when it comes to their performance this season. The Mariners are struggling mightily with a record of 27-78, which places them at the bottom of the American League West. On the other hand, the White Sox hold a more respectable record of 53-51, keeping them in the hunt for a playoff spot in the American League Central.
In recent games, the Mariners have been on a losing streak, dropping their last five games. Their offensive woes have been evident as they rank last in the league in runs scored, with a batting average of just .217. Their pitching has also been subpar, with an ERA of 4.63. The White Sox, while not dominant, have been better balanced with a team ERA of 3.41 and have managed to stay competitive in their games.
Historically, the Mariners and White Sox have had some interesting matchups, with Chicago holding the upper hand in recent encounters. This game is crucial for the White Sox as they aim to solidify their playoff aspirations, while the Mariners look to salvage some pride in an otherwise disappointing season.
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Player Prop Odds
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Here are the player prop odds for Tommy Pham in tonight's game:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+425), Under 0.5 (-800)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+260), Under 0.5 (-380)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+175), Under 0.5 (-240)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-125), Under 0.5 (-105)
- Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+390), Under 0.5 (-700)
Player Analysis
Tommy Pham has been a reliable contributor for the White Sox this season. He brings a balanced approach to the plate with power and speed. Pham has posted a batting average of .234, and he leads the team in home runs with 17. Additionally, he has driven in 44 runs and scored 62 runs, making him a key offensive player for Chicago.
Pham's ability to get on base and create scoring opportunities is noteworthy. His plus speed is also a threat on the base paths, though he has not stolen many bases this season. Given his current form and the matchup against a struggling Mariners pitching staff, Pham could be poised for a productive night.
Opposing Analysis
The Mariners' pitching staff has been inconsistent this season. Their probable starter, Drew Thorpe, has shown flashes of potential with a 3.03 ERA and 24 strikeouts over 38.2 innings. However, the Mariners' bullpen has been less reliable, and their defense has committed 61 errors this season, ranking them near the bottom of the league.
Thorpe's tendency to allow base runners via walks (17 in 38.2 innings) could play into Pham's strengths. If Pham can get on base, either through hits or walks, he could capitalize on the Mariners' defensive lapses or bullpen struggles to produce runs or steal a base.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| George Kirby (CHW) | 7-7 | 3.20 | 122 |
| Drew Thorpe (SEA) | 3-1 | 3.03 | 24 |
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Team Previews
Seattle Mariners
Hitting:
- Batting Average: .217 (29th in MLB)
- Runs: 323 (30th in MLB)
- Hits: 746 (29th in MLB)
Relief Pitching:
- Saves: 17 (30th in MLB)
- ERA: 4.63 (29th in MLB)
Fielding:
- Errors: 61 (Tied-6th in MLB)
Starting Pitchers:
- Drew Thorpe: 3-1, 3.03 ERA, 24 Strikeouts
Chicago White Sox
Hitting:
- Batting Average: .216 (30th in MLB)
- Runs: 390 (28th in MLB)
- Hits: 730 (30th in MLB)
Relief Pitching:
- Saves: 27 (Tied-10th in MLB)
- ERA: 3.41 (1st in MLB)
Fielding:
- Errors: 57 (Tied-11th in MLB)
Starting Pitchers:
- George Kirby: 7-7, 3.20 ERA, 122 Strikeouts
Team Injuries
Seattle Mariners
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. Crawford | SS | Wed, Jul 24 | Hand | Expected to be out until at least Aug 23 |
| Julio Rodriguez | CF | Wed, Jul 24 | Ankle | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
| Gregory Santos | RP | Wed, Jul 24 | Undisclosed | Probable for Jul 26 |
Chicago White Sox
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Clevinger | SP | Tue, Jul 23 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
| Mike Soroka | RP | Tue, Jul 23 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
| Matt Foster | RP | Tue, Jul 23 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
Recent Games
Seattle Mariners
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Houston | L3-0 | Loss |
| vs Houston | L4-2 | Loss |
| vs Houston | W6-4 | Win |
| vs Los Angeles | L3-1 | Loss |
| vs Los Angeles | L5-1 | Loss |
Chicago White Sox
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Kansas City | L7-1 | Loss |
| @ Kansas City | L6-1 | Loss |
| @ Kansas City | L4-1 | Loss |
| @ Texas | L4-3 F/10 | Loss |
| @ Texas | L3-2 | Loss |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+175)
Tommy Pham is a dynamic player who has the ability to score runs in bunches. Given the Mariners' pitching struggles and Pham's current form, betting on him to score at least one run at +175 odds offers good value. The Mariners have shown vulnerability in allowing base runners and runs, which Pham can exploit. Expect him to get on base and be driven in by his teammates.
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