MLB Player Prop Picks Tonight: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/28

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 28, 2024, 3:41:31 AM
MLB Player Prop Picks Tonight: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/28
Photo Credit: © Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Pittsburgh Pirates face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks on July 28 at Chase Field in what promises to be an intriguing matchup. Both teams are hovering around .500, making this game crucial for their playoff aspirations. The Pirates are coming off a 4-3 loss to the Diamondbacks, bringing their record to 52-51. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, have been in better form, winning their last two games and improving to 55-50.
Historically, these two teams have had competitive matchups, often resulting in close games. The Pirates will be looking to bounce back with a win to even the series, while the Diamondbacks aim to continue their winning streak. The weather forecast in Phoenix indicates a mostly sunny day with a high temperature of 101 degrees, perfect for a game under the retractable roof of Chase Field.
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Player Prop Odds
Ke'Bryan Hayes:
- Batter Doubles 0.5: Over +330, Under -525
- Batter RBIs 0.5: Over +200, Under -285
- Batter Runs Scored 0.5: Over +145, Under -200
- Batter Singles 0.5: Over -135, Under +100
- Batter Total Bases 1.5: Over +135, Under -185
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Player Analysis
Ke'Bryan Hayes has been a solid contributor for the Pittsburgh Pirates this season. With a batting average of .252, 16 home runs, and 52 RBIs, he has been one of the more consistent performers for the team. Hayes has shown an ability to get on base and score runs, making him a key player in the Pirates' lineup. His recent performance has been encouraging, as he has been hitting well against both left and right-handed pitchers.
Opposing Analysis
Hayes will be facing Mitch Keller, who has been impressive for the Diamondbacks this season. Keller holds a 10-5 record with a 3.34 ERA and 108 strikeouts over 121.1 innings pitched. The Diamondbacks' pitching staff ranks 11th in ERA and has been effective in limiting opponents' scoring opportunities. However, Keller has shown vulnerability to giving up hits, which could be an opportunity for Hayes to capitalize on.
Pitching Probables
Pittsburgh Pirates: Yilber Diaz (1-1, 5.40 ERA, 7 K)
Arizona Diamondbacks: Mitch Keller (10-5, 3.34 ERA, 108 K)
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Team Previews
Pittsburgh Pirates
Hitting: The Pirates rank 8th in hits (888) and 3rd in runs (513) with a team batting average of .253. They have power in their lineup, consistently driving in runs.
Relief Pitching: Their bullpen has recorded 24 saves, ranking tied for 19th in the league.
Fielding: Defensively, the Pirates have struggled, accumulating 42 errors, ranking 30th in the league.
Starting Pitchers: The Pirates' starting pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.49, which ranks 26th in the league.
Arizona Diamondbacks
Hitting: The Diamondbacks rank 26th in hits (807) and 23rd in runs (425) with a team batting average of .232, indicating some offensive struggles.
Relief Pitching: Their bullpen has been more effective, recording 26 saves, ranking tied for 14th in the league.
Fielding: The Diamondbacks have committed 50 errors, ranking tied for 21st.
Starting Pitchers: Their starting pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.78, which ranks 11th in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. GonzalesNick Gonzales | 2B | Sat, Jul 27 | Groin | Probable for Jul 28 |
| R. TellezRowdy Tellez | 1B | Sat, Jul 27 | Back | Probable for Jul 28 |
| J. JonesJared Jones | SP | Sat, Jul 27 | Lat | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. KellyMerrill Kelly | SP | Sat, Jul 27 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
Recent Games
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Philadelphia | W8-7 | 49-48 | Mlodzinski 2-3 | Alvarado 1-4 | NaN | 39530 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Philadelphia | W4-1 | 50-48 | Ortiz 5-2 | Sanchez 7-5 | NaN | 39114 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Philadelphia | L6-0 | 50-49 | Phillips 2-0 | Gonzales 1-1 | NaN | 38291 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs St. Louis | W2-1 | 51-49 | Chapman 2-4 | King 3-2 | Bednar 18 | 18970 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs St. Louis | L2-1 | 51-50 | Fernandez 1-2 | Skenes 6-1 | Helsley 33 | 32422 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Chicago | W5-2 | 50-48 | Nelson 7-6 | Steele 2-4 | Sewald 14 | 40691 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Chicago | W3-0 | 51-48 | Gallen 7-5 | Hendricks 2-8 | Sewald 15 | 39595 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Chicago | L2-1 F/10 | 51-49 | Neris 8-2 | Mantiply 3-2 | NaN | 39162 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Kansas City | L10-4 | 51-50 | Ragans 7-6 | Diaz 1-1 | NaN | 16275 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Kansas City | W6-2 | 52-50 | Montgomery 7-5 | Marsh 7-7 | NaN | 21993 |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 0.5 RBIs for Ke'Bryan Hayes (+200)
Ke'Bryan Hayes has been a consistent performer for the Pirates, and given Mitch Keller's tendency to give up hits, Hayes has a strong chance to drive in a run. The Pirates will need Hayes to step up, especially in a crucial game like this one. The value at +200 for over 0.5 RBIs is worth a shot.
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