MLB Player Prop Picks Tonight: Pirates vs Diamondbacks 7/26

MLB Player Prop Picks Tonight: Pirates vs Diamondbacks 7/26

Photo Credit: © Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Arizona Diamondbacks host the Pittsburgh Pirates at Chase Field in Phoenix to kick off a three-game series on Friday, July 26, at 9:40 p.m. EDT. Both teams are in a similar position, fighting to stay above .500 and maintain their playoff hopes. The Diamondbacks, with a 53-50 record, sit third in the NL West, while the Pirates, holding a 52-50 record, are third in the NL Central.

Arizona has fared well at home with a 26-24 record, and their team slugging percentage of .410 ranks them ninth in MLB. Pittsburgh has also shown strength on the road, matching Arizona's 26-24 record away from home. The Pirates have an impressive stat of being 38-4 in games where they out-hit their opponents, making them a formidable adversary.

Recent form shows both teams performing well. The Diamondbacks have gone 7-3 in their last ten games, hitting .246 and posting a 3.33 ERA, outscoring opponents by 17 runs. On the other hand, the Pirates have been even more impressive, going 8-2 with a .256 batting average and a 2.10 ERA, outscoring opponents by 16 runs.

This game marks the first meeting of the season between these two teams, adding an element of unpredictability to the matchup. The Diamondbacks will rely on Christian Walker, who leads the team with 43 extra-base hits, and Ketel Marte, who has been in red-hot form, going 15-for-36 with four home runs and 12 RBIs in the past ten games.

On the Pirates' side, Connor Joe and Oneil Cruz have been pivotal. Joe has 18 doubles, a triple, seven home runs, and 30 RBIs, while Cruz is 12-for-39 with five doubles and two home runs over the past ten games.

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Player Prop Odds

Ketel Marte Prop Odds:

Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+280)

Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+190)

Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+140)

Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-140)

Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-145)

Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-110)

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Player Analysis

Ketel Marte (ARI)

Ketel Marte has been on a tear recently, hitting .417 over the last 10 games with four home runs and 12 RBIs. His season batting average of .296 leads the Diamondbacks, and he has been a critical contributor to their offense. Marte's ability to hit for both average and power makes him a dual threat at the plate. He has 43 extra-base hits this season, including 20 doubles and 23 home runs. Marte’s recent form suggests he is primed to continue his hot streak against the Pirates.

Opposing Analysis

Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching

The Pirates will be starting Luis Ortiz, who has been solid this season with a 5-2 record, a 2.57 ERA, and a 1.11 WHIP over 73.2 innings. Ortiz has struck out 59 batters while walking 21, showing good control on the mound. However, the Pirates' overall pitching staff has a 4.50 team ERA, ranking 26th in MLB, which could provide opportunities for Marte and the Diamondbacks' lineup.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	Strikeouts
Luis Ortiz (PIT)	5-2	2.57	1.11	59
Zac Gallen (ARI)	7-5	3.64	1.25	80

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Team Previews

Arizona Diamondbacks

Hitting: The Diamondbacks rank ninth in MLB with a team slugging percentage of .410. Key players include Christian Walker, who leads the team with 23 home runs and 70 RBIs, and Ketel Marte, who has been hot recently. The team has a batting average of .232, ranking 26th in MLB, but their power numbers help offset their lower average.

Relief Pitching: Arizona's bullpen has been solid, with 26 saves, ranking tied for 13th in MLB. Their team ERA of 3.77 ranks them 11th, indicating a strong pitching staff overall. However, the team will need to address their fielding as they have committed 50 errors, ranking tied for 20th in the league.

Fielding: The Diamondbacks' fielding has been subpar, with 50 errors on the season, which could affect their overall defensive performance. Improving their fielding will be crucial for their success against a strong hitting team like the Pirates.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Hitting: The Pirates have been a strong hitting team, ranking 8th in hits (879) and 3rd in runs scored (509) in MLB. They have a team batting average of .252, which ranks 9th in the league. Key players include Connor Joe and Oneil Cruz, who have been consistent contributors to their offense.

Relief Pitching: Pittsburgh's bullpen has been less effective, with a team ERA of 4.50, ranking 26th in MLB. Their 23 saves rank them tied for 21st, indicating that their bullpen has had struggles in closing out games.

Fielding: The Pirates have committed 42 errors, ranking 30th in MLB. Improving their defensive play will be crucial to support their pitching staff and prevent unearned runs.

Team Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Player	Position	Injury Status
Bailey Falter	SP	15-Day IL (arm)
Daulton Jefferies	SP	15-Day IL (elbow)
Jared Jones	RP	15-Day IL (lat)
Hunter Stratton	RP	15-Day IL (shoulder)
Ryan Borucki	RP	60-Day IL (tricep)

Arizona Diamondbacks

Player	Position	Injury Status
Blake Walston	SP	15-Day IL (elbow)
Merrill Kelly	SP	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Kyle Nelson	RP	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Eduardo Rodriguez	SP	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Drey Jameson	RP	60-Day IL (elbow)

Recent Games

Pittsburgh Pirates

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Philadelphia	W 8-7	W
vs Philadelphia	W 4-1	W
vs Philadelphia	L 6-0	L
vs St. Louis	W 2-1	W
vs St. Louis	L 2-1	L

Arizona Diamondbacks

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Chicago	W 5-2	W
@ Chicago	W 3-0	W
@ Chicago	L 2-1 F/10	L
@ Kansas City	L 10-4	L
@ Kansas City	W 6-2	W

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Prediction

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