MLB Player Prop Picks Tonight: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/28
- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 28, 2024, 3:05:16 AM
MLB Player Prop Picks Tonight: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/28
Photo Credit: © Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Miami Marlins face off against the Milwaukee Brewers on July 28th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. The Marlins, boasting a record of 59-45, are in the hunt for a playoff spot, while the Brewers, with a 39-66 record, are looking to play spoiler. The Marlins have been in solid form recently, winning five out of their last ten games, while the Brewers have struggled, losing seven of their last ten.
The Marlins' offense has been potent, ranking 7th in hits (890) and Tied-8th in runs (489) in the MLB. Their pitching staff has also been effective, with a 3.72 ERA, ranking 6th. Miami's current form and season-long performance make them formidable opponents. On the other hand, the Brewers have struggled offensively, ranking 29th in runs (374) and 20th in batting average (.236). Their pitching has also been an issue, with a team ERA of 4.48, ranking 25th in the league.
Historically, the Marlins have had the upper hand in recent matchups, winning the first two games of this series. With both teams' current form and stats, this game promises to be an intriguing contest.
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Player Prop Odds
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+425), Under 0.5 (-750)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+380), Under 0.5 (-650)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+160), Under 0.5 (-225)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+135), Under 0.5 (-185)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+110), Under 0.5 (-145)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+130), Under 1.5 (-180)
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Player Analysis: Jake Burger
Jake Burger has been a standout performer for the Marlins this season. His recent form has been impressive, and he has been a key player in Miami's offensive thrust. Burger's ability to hit for power and average makes him a constant threat to opposing pitchers. This season, he has a batting average of .254, with 16 home runs and 68 RBIs. Burger’s slugging percentage and on-base percentage also highlight his ability to both get on base and drive in runs.
Opposing Analysis: Milwaukee Brewers Pitching
Milwaukee's pitching staff has struggled this season, with a team ERA of 4.48. Kyle Tyler, the Brewers' probable starting pitcher for tonight’s game, has shown some promise but has had his struggles. Tyler's 3.92 ERA and 1.45 WHIP over 20.2 innings pitched indicate that he can be hit. The Brewers' bullpen has also been unreliable, ranking Tied-27th in saves (20). This presents an opportunity for Burger and the Marlins' offense to capitalize.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tyler (MIL) | 0-1 | 3.92 | 15 |
| Tobias Myers (MIA) | 6-4 | 3.14 | 68 |
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Team Previews
Miami Marlins
The Marlins have been solid overall this season. Their offense ranks among the top ten in hits and runs, and their pitching staff has been impressive with a 3.72 ERA. Key players like William Contreras, Rhys Hoskins, and Willy Adames have been instrumental in their success. The Marlins' fielding has also been reliable, with fewer errors compared to many other teams.
Milwaukee Brewers
The Brewers have struggled both offensively and defensively. Their offense ranks near the bottom in runs and batting average, and their pitching staff has been inconsistent with a 4.48 ERA. Players like Jesus Sanchez and Bryan De La Cruz have been bright spots, but overall, the team has underperformed. Fielding has also been an issue, with the Brewers leading the league in errors.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Eury Perez | SP | Out for the season |
| Josh Simpson | RP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio | RF | Probable for Jul 28 |
| Bryan Hudson | RP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
Recent Games
Miami Marlins
| Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|
| vs New York | 6-4 | Win |
| vs New York | 0-1 | Loss |
| vs New York | 4-2 | Win |
| vs New York | 4-6 | Loss |
| vs Baltimore | 6-3 | Win |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|
| @ Minnesota | 8-4 | Win |
| @ Minnesota | 8-7 | Win |
| @ Chicago | 1-3 | Loss |
| @ Chicago | 1-0 | Win |
| @ Chicago | 3-2 | Win |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Jake Burger has been in fine form and the Brewers' pitching staff has been inconsistent. Burger's power and ability to get on base make the over 1.5 total bases a strong pick. With Milwaukee's struggles on the mound, Burger should have ample opportunities to surpass this line.
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