MLB Player Prop Picks Today: Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/27

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 26, 2024, 11:51:23 PM
MLB Player Prop Picks Today: Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/27
Photo Credit: © Jonathan Dyer-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Cincinnati Reds are set to face off against the Tampa Bay Rays on July 27th at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Both teams are looking to gain momentum as they head into the latter part of the season. The Reds (52-52) are fighting to maintain their .500 record and improve their standing. They recently clinched a close victory against the Rays in their previous game with a 3-2 win in 10 innings. The Reds have shown resilience on the road with a 25-24 record away from home.
On the other side, the Tampa Bay Rays (50-53) are looking to bounce back after their narrow loss to the Reds. The Rays have struggled slightly at home, with a 25-28 record at Tropicana Field. However, they remain a formidable opponent, especially with their strong pitching staff. Historically, the Rays have had the edge over the Reds in head-to-head matchups, but this season has proven to be more competitive between the two teams.
Both teams are dealing with key injuries, which could impact their performance. For the Reds, starting pitcher Carson Spiers is expected to be out until at least July 28 due to a shoulder injury. The Rays are without Richard Lovelady (RP) and Wander Franco (SS), the latter being out for the season.
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Player Prop Odds
Elly De La Cruz:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+311), Under 0.5 (-504)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+470)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+165), Under 0.5 (-234)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-108), Under 0.5 (-127)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+100), Under 0.5 (-137)
- Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+195), Under 0.5 (-270)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+104), Under 1.5 (-142)
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Player Analysis
Elly De La Cruz has been a bright spot for the Cincinnati Reds this season. With a batting average of .269, De La Cruz has been one of the most consistent hitters for the Reds. He leads the team in home runs with 18 and has a total of 64 RBIs. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a key player for the Reds' offense.
De La Cruz's speed on the base paths is also a significant factor, as he has shown the ability to steal bases and create scoring opportunities. His versatility and ability to play multiple positions make him a valuable asset for the Reds.
Opposing Analysis
For the Tampa Bay Rays, Zack Littell will be taking the mound. Littell has had an up-and-down season, posting a 3-7 record with a 4.46 ERA. He has allowed 129 hits over 107 innings pitched, which could be a concern against a hitter like De La Cruz who excels at making contact.
Littell's WHIP of 1.40 indicates that he allows a fair number of base runners, which could play into De La Cruz's strengths. The Rays' bullpen has been reliable, but if Littell struggles early, it could put additional pressure on the relievers.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Abbott (CIN) | 9-6 | 3.19 | 1.22 | 113.0 | 95 | 87 | 43 | 18 |
| Zack Littell (TB) | 3-7 | 4.46 | 1.40 | 107.0 | 129 | 100 | 21 | 17 |
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Team Previews
Cincinnati Reds
The Reds have been a middle-of-the-pack team this season, with a 52-52 record. They rank 22nd in hits (806) and 25th in runs (413), with a team batting average of .235. Despite these numbers, they have shown the ability to win close games and perform under pressure.
On the pitching side, the Reds have a team ERA of 4.17, ranking 21st in the league. Their bullpen has been a strong point, with 33 saves, tied for 4th in the league. Fielding has been another area of concern, with 52 errors, tied for 17th in the league.
Tampa Bay Rays
The Rays have a 50-53 record and have struggled offensively, ranking 28th in hits (772) and 14th in runs (456). Their team batting average of .231 is also 28th in the league. The Rays have relied heavily on their pitching staff to keep them in games.
The Rays' team ERA of 3.86 ranks 13th in the league, and their bullpen has been solid with 21 saves. However, they have committed 65 errors, which is 4th most in the league, indicating some defensive struggles.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Spiers | SP | Fri, Jul 26 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Lovelady | RP | Wed, Jul 24 | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
| Wander Franco | SS | Wed, Jul 24 | Personal | Out for the season |
Recent Games
Cincinnati Reds
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Washington | L 8-5 | L |
| @ Washington | L 5-4 | L |
| @ Washington | L 5-2 | L |
| @ Atlanta | W 4-1 | W |
| @ Atlanta | W 9-4 | W |
Tampa Bay Rays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ New York | L 6-1 | L |
| @ New York | W 9-1 | W |
| @ New York | W 6-4 | W |
| @ New York | L 9-1 | L |
| @ Toronto | W 4-2 | W |
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Prediction
Pick: Elly De La Cruz to record Over 1.5 Total Bases (+104)
Elly De La Cruz has been in good form and faces Zack Littell, who has allowed 129 hits over 107 innings. De La Cruz's ability to get on base and Littell's tendency to allow base runners make this a favorable matchup for De La Cruz to record over 1.5 total bases.
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