MLB Player Prop Picks: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/26

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 26, 2024, 8:40:40 AM
MLB Player Prop Picks: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/26
Photo Credit: © Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
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Game Summary
The Pittsburgh Pirates (52-50, third in the NL Central) travel to Phoenix to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (53-50, third in the NL West) at Chase Field tonight at 9:40 p.m. EDT. This marks the beginning of a three-game series between the two teams. Both teams are closely matched in terms of overall records and divisional standings, which should make for an exciting and competitive series.
Arizona has been solid at home with a 26-24 record and boasts the ninth-best team slugging percentage in MLB at .410. The Diamondbacks' recent form is impressive, having gone 7-3 in their last 10 games, during which they have outscored their opponents by 17 runs. Key players such as Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been instrumental in their recent success. Walker leads the team with 23 home runs, while Marte has been on fire, hitting .417 with four home runs and 12 RBIs over the last 10 games.
On the other hand, the Pirates have also been performing well recently, with an 8-2 record in their last 10 games, outscoring their opponents by 16 runs. Their road record stands at 26-24. Connor Joe and Oneil Cruz have been key contributors for Pittsburgh. Joe has 18 doubles and seven home runs this season, while Cruz has been hitting .308 with five doubles and two home runs in the last 10 games.
This game will be the first time these teams face each other this season, and with both teams in fine form, it promises to be an exciting matchup.
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Player Prop Odds
For Eugenio Suarez:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+380)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-175)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+170)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+110)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+110)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+150)
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Player Analysis
Eugenio Suarez has been a consistent performer for the Arizona Diamondbacks. This season, he has shown the ability to deliver in crucial moments, contributing significantly to the team's offensive output. His batting average, home runs, and RBIs have been pivotal in the Diamondbacks' success. Suarez is known for his power-hitting capabilities, making him a threat to any pitcher he faces.
In recent games, Suarez has been particularly effective. He has a knack for hitting doubles and has shown an ability to get on base frequently. With the Pirates' pitching lineup not being the strongest, Suarez could take advantage and have a productive game. His odds for hitting over 0.5 doubles at +380 and over 0.5 hits at -175 are particularly enticing.
Opposing Analysis
The Pittsburgh Pirates' pitching staff has had its ups and downs this season. While Luis Ortiz has been one of their more reliable starters with a 5-2 record, 2.57 ERA, and 1.11 WHIP, the rest of the staff has been inconsistent. Ortiz will be up against a Diamondbacks lineup that has shown the ability to score runs and hit for power.
Ortiz's performance will be crucial in limiting the Diamondbacks' offensive output. However, with the likes of Suarez in form, it will be a challenging task. The Pirates' bullpen has also been suspect, which could provide additional opportunities for Suarez and the Diamondbacks' hitters.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Ortiz (PIT) | 5-2 | 2.57 | 1.11 | 73.2 | 61 | 59 | 21 | 3 |
| Zac Gallen (ARI) | 7-5 | 3.64 | 1.25 | 81.2 | 75 | 80 | 27 | 8 |
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Team Previews
Pittsburgh Pirates
Hitting: The Pirates have been solid offensively, ranking 8th in hits (879) and 3rd in runs (509). Their team batting average is .252, ranking 9th in the league. Key hitters include Connor Joe and Oneil Cruz, who have been instrumental in the Pirates' recent success.
Relief Pitching: The Pirates' bullpen has been inconsistent, with a team ERA of 4.50, ranking 26th in the league. This could be a potential area of concern against a potent Diamondbacks lineup.
Fielding: Defensively, the Pirates have committed 42 errors, ranking 30th in the league. This could come into play in a closely contested game.
Starting Pitchers: Luis Ortiz has been a bright spot in the Pirates' rotation with a 2.57 ERA and 1.11 WHIP. However, the rest of the rotation has struggled, leading to their overall team ERA being on the higher side.
Arizona Diamondbacks
Hitting: The Diamondbacks have a team batting average of .232, ranking 26th in the league. However, they have shown power with a team slugging percentage of .410, ranking 9th. Key hitters include Christian Walker and Ketel Marte, who have been in fine form recently.
Relief Pitching: The Diamondbacks' bullpen has been relatively solid with a team ERA of 3.77, ranking 11th in the league. They will look to maintain this form against the Pirates.
Fielding: Defensively, the Diamondbacks have committed 50 errors, ranking 20th in the league. This is an area they will need to tighten up on against a strong Pirates offense.
Starting Pitchers: Zac Gallen leads the Diamondbacks' rotation with a 3.64 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. He will be crucial in setting the tone for the series opener against the Pirates.
Team Injuries
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Falter | RP | Jul 26 | Arm | 15-Day IL |
| Daulton Jefferies | SP | Jul 26 | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Jared Jones | RP | Jul 26 | Lat | 15-Day IL |
| Hunter Stratton | RP | Jul 26 | Shoulder | 15-Day IL |
| Ryan Borucki | RP | Jul 26 | Tricep | 60-Day IL |
| Dauri Moreta | RP | Jul 26 | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Endy Rodriguez | C | Jul 26 | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Johan Oviedo | SP | Jul 26 | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Walston | SP | Jul 26 | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Merrill Kelly | SP | Jul 26 | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Kyle Nelson | RP | Jul 26 | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | SP | Jul 26 | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Drey Jameson | RP | Jul 26 | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia | W 8-7 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | W 4-1 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | L 6-0 | L |
| vs St. Louis | W 2-1 | W |
| vs St. Louis | L 2-1 | L |
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Chicago | W 5-2 | W |
| @ Chicago | W 3-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | L 2-1 F/10 | L |
| @ Kansas City | L 10-4 | L |
| @ Kansas City | W 6-2 | W |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases for Eugenio Suarez (+150)
Given Suarez's recent form and the inconsistencies in the Pirates' pitching staff, this prop bet offers good value. Suarez has shown the ability to get on base and hit for power, making the Over 1.5 Total Bases a solid pick.
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