MLB Player Prop Picks: Oakland Athletics vs San Francisco Giants 7/31

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 31, 2024, 12:48:02 AM
Daily MLB Player Props Picks: Oakland Athletics vs San Francisco Giants
Game Summary:
The Oakland Athletics are set to face off against the San Francisco Giants on July 31, 2024, at Oracle Park in San Francisco, California. This interleague matchup features two teams that have had their struggles this season. The Athletics come into this game with a record of 53-56, currently sitting third in the AL West, while the Giants are struggling with a 45-64 record, placing them fourth in the NL West.
In their recent performances, the Athletics have shown flashes of brilliance, winning four of their last five games, including a 5-2 victory against these same Giants just a day prior. Their offense is led by standout players like Matt Chapman, who holds the team’s highest batting average at .240 and has contributed 15 home runs and 53 RBIs. The Giants, on the other hand, have lost five of their last six games, struggling with a batting average of .231 and an overall team ERA of 4.41.
Historically, the Athletics have had more success in recent matchups against the Giants, winning four of the last six games. The Giants will be looking to change their fortunes with Ross Stripling on the mound, who holds a dismal 2-9 record this season and an ERA of 6.02. Meanwhile, Logan Webb for the Athletics has been more effective, boasting a 7-8 record with an ERA of 3.72.
As the game approaches, the weather is expected to be mild with intermittent clouds and a temperature around 66°F, making for an ideal baseball setting.
Player Prop Odds:
Abraham Toro:
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+270)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+160)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+155)
Player Analysis:
Abraham Toro has been a reliable player for the Athletics this season, showing versatility and the ability to get on base. With a batting average hovering around .250 this season, Toro has been instrumental in driving in runs and getting key hits. His plate discipline has improved, leading to a higher on-base percentage compared to previous years. In the previous matchup against the Giants, he managed to get on base multiple times, showcasing his ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. His current prop odds suggest that the bookmakers believe he can exceed his expected performance against a struggling Giants' pitching staff.
Opposing Analysis:
The Giants' pitching has been inconsistent, particularly with Ross Stripling on the mound. Stripling's 6.02 ERA reflects his struggles to keep runs off the board, making him susceptible to giving up hits and total bases. The Giants' bullpen has also been shaky, further complicating matters when facing players like Toro, who have the potential to make significant contributions in crucial moments.
Pitching Probables:
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Webb (OAK) | 7-8 | 3.72 | 115 |
| Ross Stripling (SF) | 2-9 | 6.02 | 38 |
Team Previews:
Oakland Athletics:
- Record: 53-56
- Batting Average: .245 (13th in MLB)
- Runs Scored: 477 (14th in MLB)
- ERA: 4.35 (23rd in MLB)
San Francisco Giants:
- Record: 45-64
- Batting Average: .231 (27th in MLB)
- Runs Scored: 449 (20th in MLB)
- ERA: 4.41 (24th in MLB)
Team Injuries:
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| K. Waldichuk | SP | Out for the season |
| T. Matzek | RP | Expected to be out until at least Sep 1 |
| A. Cobb | SP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
Recent Games:
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| San Francisco | W 5-2 | W |
| Houston | W 8-2 | W |
| Los Angeles | L 8-5 | L |
| Los Angeles | W 6-5 | W |
| Los Angeles | W 5-4 | W |
Prediction:
With the way Abraham Toro has been performing lately and considering Ross Stripling's struggles on the mound for the Giants, I predict that Toro will exceed the player prop odds set for him. Therefore, I am taking the bet on Abraham Toro Over 1.5 Total Bases (+155). His ability to handle pressure in crucial situations, combined with Stripling's tendency to give up hits, makes this a favorable bet.
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