MLB Player Prop Picks and Bets: Pirates vs Diamondbacks 7/27

MLB Player Prop Picks and Bets: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/27

Photo Credit: © Owen Ziliak/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK

Game Summary

The Pittsburgh Pirates face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks in the second game of their series at Chase Field in Phoenix on July 27, 2024, at 8:10 PM EDT. The Diamondbacks lead the series 1-0 after a narrow 4-3 victory in the opening game.

Arizona has a respectable home record of 27-24 and boasts an overall record of 54-50. The Diamondbacks have been particularly effective when scoring five or more runs, holding a 41-10 record in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates, with a 26-25 road record and 52-51 overall, have been anchored by their pitching staff, which holds the sixth-ranked team ERA in the NL at 3.78.

Recent performances show both teams in good form, each going 7-3 in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have batted .254 and maintained a 3.64 ERA, outscoring opponents by 17 runs. The Pirates have been equally impressive, batting .258 with a 2.53 ERA, outscoring opponents by 14 runs.

The game will feature Marco Gonzales (1-1, 2.70 ERA) on the mound for the Pirates, who has shown promise in his limited outings. The Diamondbacks will counter with Brandon Pfaadt (4-6, 3.74 ERA), a pitcher who has been a reliable presence in their rotation.

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Player Prop Odds

Kevin Newman - Hits Over 0.5 (-185)

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Player Analysis

Kevin Newman has been a solid contributor for the Pirates this season, particularly in terms of making contact and getting on base. He’s hitting .278 on the season with a .733 OPS, including 10 doubles, a triple, and five home runs. His ability to make consistent contact makes him a good candidate to get at least one hit in this game.

Opposing Analysis

Brandon Pfaadt, who will be starting for the Diamondbacks, has had a decent season with a 3.74 ERA and 111 strikeouts over 120.1 innings. However, he has allowed 106 hits, which suggests that opposing batters have been able to make contact against him. This provides a good opportunity for a contact hitter like Kevin Newman to get on base.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Marco Gonzales (PIT)	1-1	2.70	1.28	26.2	28	19	6	1
Brandon Pfaadt (ARI)	4-6	3.74	1.11	120.1	106	111	27	14

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Team Previews

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates have been a solid team this season with a balanced approach in hitting, pitching, and defense. They rank 8th in the league in hits (888) and batting average (.253), and 3rd in runs scored (513). Their pitching staff has been reliable, posting a team ERA of 3.78, which ranks 6th in the NL. However, their bullpen has struggled at times, ranking 26th in saves with 24.

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks have had a mixed season, ranking 26th in hits (807) and 25th in batting average (.232). Despite their struggles at the plate, they have managed to find ways to win games, particularly when scoring five or more runs (41-10 record). Their pitching staff has been more consistent, with an 11th-ranked team ERA of 3.78. Their bullpen has also been fairly dependable, ranking 14th in saves with 26.

Team Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Player	Position	Injury Status
Bailey Falter	SP	15-Day IL (arm)
Daulton Jefferies	SP	15-Day IL (elbow)
Jared Jones	SP	15-Day IL (lat)
Ryan Borucki	RP	60-Day IL (tricep)
Dauri Moreta	RP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Endy Rodriguez	RP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Johan Oviedo	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)

Arizona Diamondbacks

Player	Position	Injury Status
Blake Walston	SP	15-Day IL (elbow)
Merrill Kelly	SP	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Kyle Nelson	RP	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Eduardo Rodriguez	SP	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Drey Jameson	RP	60-Day IL (elbow)

Recent Games

Pittsburgh Pirates

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Philadelphia	W 8-7	W
vs Philadelphia	W 4-1	W
vs Philadelphia	L 6-0	L
vs St. Louis	W 2-1	W
vs St. Louis	L 2-1	L
vs St. Louis	W 5-0	W
@ Arizona	L 4-3	L

Arizona Diamondbacks

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Chicago	W 5-2	W
@ Chicago	W 3-0	W
@ Chicago	L 2-1 (10)	L
@ Kansas City	L 10-4	L
@ Kansas City	W 6-2	W
@ Kansas City	W 8-6	W
vs Pittsburgh	W 4-3	W

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Prediction

The Pirates have been a more consistent team and their recent form has been impressive. However, the Diamondbacks have shown they can be tough to beat at home. With Brandon Pfaadt on the mound, who has been susceptible to giving up hits, the prop bet for Kevin Newman to get over 0.5 hits (-185) seems like a solid pick.

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