MLB Player Prop Odds: Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals - 7/29

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 29, 2024, 5:05:55 AM
MLB Player Prop Odds: Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals - 7/29
Photo Credit: © Jeff Le-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Texas Rangers are looking to break their three-game road slide as they take on the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on Monday, July 29, 2024, at 7:45 p.m. EDT. The Rangers, currently third in the AL West with a 51-55 record, have faced struggles on the road with a 22-32 record. In contrast, the Cardinals hold a 54-51 overall record and a 27-24 mark at home, positioning them second in the NL Central. Historically, the Cardinals have a solid record in games where they hit at least two home runs, achieving an 18-10 record in such scenarios.
Both teams have had their ups and downs recently. The Rangers are 5-5 in their last ten games, with a .229 batting average and a 4.80 ERA, while the Cardinals are 4-6, batting .243 with a 5.15 ERA. This will be the first meeting between these two teams this season. Notable performers include Corey Seager for the Rangers, who leads the team with 19 home runs, and Brendan Donovan for the Cardinals, who has contributed significantly with 22 doubles, nine home runs, and 48 RBIs.
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Player Prop Odds
Here are the player prop odds for Paul Goldschmidt in tonight's game:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+440)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-170)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+175)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+120)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+105)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+160)
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Player Analysis
Paul Goldschmidt has been a cornerstone for the Cardinals this season, consistently delivering in clutch situations. With a batting average of .284, he has accumulated 19 home runs and 60 RBIs so far. Goldschmidt's ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a key player to watch in tonight's game. Given his recent form, the over on hits and total bases appears to be a solid bet. His power and consistency at the plate could very well result in multiple hits, including extra-base hits, against the Rangers.
Opposing Analysis
For Paul Goldschmidt, the opposing pitcher Nathan Eovaldi (7-4, 3.31 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 104 strikeouts) will be a formidable adversary. Eovaldi has been effective this season, maintaining a low ERA and WHIP. However, he has allowed 14 home runs in 106 innings pitched, indicating that there are opportunities for hitters to capitalize on his mistakes. The Rangers' bullpen has also been inconsistent, which could further benefit Goldschmidt as the game progresses.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) | 7-4 | 3.31 | 1.04 | 106.0 | 84 | 104 | 26 | 14 |
| Andre Pallante (STL) | 4-4 | 3.92 | 1.33 | 57.1 | 55 | 44 | 21 | 5 |
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Team Previews
Texas Rangers: The Rangers have struggled offensively, ranking 24th in runs with 433 and 13th in batting average at .245. They have hit 111 home runs, ranking ninth in the AL. Their pitching staff has a combined ERA of 4.09, ranking 19th in the league. The Rangers' relief pitching has been a mixed bag, with 37 saves (2nd in MLB) but also showing inconsistency in high-pressure situations.
St. Louis Cardinals: The Cardinals fare slightly better with a .240 batting average and 452 runs scored, ranking 18th in both categories. Their pitching has been relatively stable, with a team ERA of 4.05 (16th in MLB). Defensively, they have committed 45 errors, ranking 27th, which could be a factor in close games. The Cardinals' bullpen has struggled with consistency, ranking 24th in saves with 22.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Winn | SP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Evan Carter | OF | 10-Day IL (lumbar) |
| Cody Bradford | SP | 60-Day IL (back) |
| Austin Pruitt | RP | 60-Day IL (knee) |
| Joshua Jung | 3B | 60-Day IL (wrist) |
| Tyler Mahle | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Jacob deGrom | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Carson Coleman | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Matz | SP | 60-Day IL (back) |
| Keynan Middleton | RP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Nick Robertson | RP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Riley O'Brien | RP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Tommy Edman | SS | 60-Day IL (wrist) |
| Drew Rom | RP | 60-Day IL (biceps) |
Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Toronto | 3-7 | L |
| @ Toronto | 3-7 | L |
| @ Toronto | 5-6 | L |
| vs Chicago | 2-1 | W |
| vs Chicago | 10-2 | W |
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Washington | 4-3 | W |
| vs Washington | 3-14 | L |
| vs Washington | 8-10 | L |
| @ Pittsburgh | 1-2 | L |
| @ Pittsburgh | 2-1 | W |
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Prediction
Given Paul Goldschmidt's current form and the favorable matchup against Nathan Eovaldi and the Rangers' bullpen, we predict that Goldschmidt will exceed the Over 1.5 Total Bases (+160). Goldschmidt's ability to get on base and his power at the plate make this a solid pick.
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