MLB Player Prop Bets: Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/29

MLB Player Prop Bets: Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/29

Photo Credit: © Joe Rondone/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK

Game Summary

The Atlanta Braves (56-48, second in the NL East) will face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (60-45, first in the NL Central) at American Family Field in Milwaukee on Monday, July 29, 2024, at 8:10 PM EDT. This game marks the beginning of a crucial three-game series for both teams as they look to solidify their standings in their respective divisions.

Milwaukee enters the series with a 60-45 record overall and an impressive 30-19 record at home. They boast a remarkable stat: the Brewers are 44-4 in games where they out-hit their opponents. Atlanta, on the other hand, has a 56-48 record overall, but they have struggled slightly on the road with a 26-27 record. Despite this, Braves pitchers have maintained a solid collective ERA of 3.48, ranking second in the NL.

This matchup will be the first meeting between the two teams this season. Both teams have been competitive in their last ten games, with the Brewers going 6-4 and the Braves 4-6. Milwaukee has outscored their opponents by six runs during this period, whereas Atlanta has been outscored by six runs.

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Player Prop Odds

Sean Murphy Prop Odds:

• Batter Hits 0.5: Over -145
• Batter Home Runs 0.5: Over +450
• Batter Total Bases 1.5: Over +122

Player Analysis

Sean Murphy has been a key contributor to the Atlanta Braves' lineup this season. Although his batting average has been relatively low at .208, he has managed to hit 5 home runs and drive in 12 runs over 120 at-bats. Murphy's recent performance has been noteworthy, as he has shown the ability to come through in clutch situations. His power potential is evident, making him a candidate to go deep in any given game, especially with a favorable matchup against a team like the Brewers.

Opposing Analysis

Milwaukee Brewers' pitching staff has been one of the best in the league, with a collective ERA of 3.47, ranking third in the league. Colin Rea, who will be starting for the Brewers, has a 9-3 record with a 3.60 ERA and 84 strikeouts. Rea has been effective at limiting home runs, which could pose a challenge for Murphy. However, the Brewers' bullpen has had its ups and downs, and if Murphy can get to the bullpen early, his chances of exceeding his prop bets increase.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	Team	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Grant Holmes	Braves	0-0	2.70	21
Colin Rea	Brewers	9-3	3.60	84

Team Previews

Atlanta Braves

The Braves have had a solid season, ranking 7th in hits (907) and 5th in batting average (.254). Their pitching staff has been a strong point, with a collective ERA of 3.74 (7th in the league) and 35 saves (3rd). Their defense has been average, with 55 errors, ranking 16th. The lineup has been powered by key contributors like Austin Riley and Matt Olson, but injuries have taken a toll with several key players like Ronald Acuna Jr. and Ozzie Albies on the IL.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers have been consistent performers, especially at home. They rank 19th in hits (839) and batting average (.239), but their pitching has been exceptional with a 3.47 ERA (3rd). The bullpen has contributed 26 saves, ranking them tied for 15th. Offensively, Marcell Ozuna has been a standout, leading the team with a .306 batting average, 30 home runs, and 82 RBIs. The Brewers' defense has been solid with only 45 errors, ranking 27th in the league.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Michael Harris II	CF	60-Day IL (hamstring)
Ozzie Albies	2B	10-Day IL (wrist)
Max Fried	SP	15-Day IL (forearm)
Christian Yelich	LF	10-Day IL (back)
Brandon Woodruff	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)

Recent Games

Atlanta Braves

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ New York	9-2	W
@ New York	4-0	W
@ New York	8-4	L
@ New York	3-2	L
vs Cincinnati	9-4	L

Milwaukee Brewers

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Miami	6-2	W
vs Miami	7-3	L
vs Miami	6-2	W
@ Chicago	3-2	W
@ Chicago	1-0	W

Prediction

Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases for Sean Murphy (+122)

Considering the current form of Sean Murphy and the opposing pitching matchup, betting on Murphy to exceed 1.5 total bases is a solid choice. Murphy has shown power potential, and while Colin Rea has been effective, the Brewers' bullpen has had inconsistencies. With odds of +122, this bet offers good value.

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