MLB Over/Under Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates - 8/3
- Lm Tipster
- Aug 2, 2024, 11:42:26 PM
MLB Over/Under Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates - 8/3
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Game Summary
The Arizona Diamondbacks are set to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on August 3. The Diamondbacks come into this matchup with an overall record of 55-54, currently holding the third spot in the National League West. They have been a solid team on the road, with a 29-27 record away from home. Meanwhile, the Pirates are slightly ahead with a 59-51 record, which places them second in the National League Central. Pittsburgh has demonstrated strength at home, boasting a 31-25 record at PNC Park.
The Diamondbacks have shown some offensive struggles this season, ranking 24th in the league with 451 runs scored and a batting average of .232. However, they have a solid pitching staff, currently ranked 7th in the league with a team ERA of 3.77. Mitch Keller, the Diamondbacks' probable pitcher, has been a standout, recording a 10-5 record with a 3.30 ERA and 114 strikeouts in 128.1 innings pitched.
On the other side, the Pirates have shown a more potent offense, ranking 2nd in the league with 558 runs and 954 hits, leading to a batting average of .258. Their pitching, however, has been a concern, as they hold a team ERA of 4.48, which ranks 25th in the league. Jordan Montgomery, the Pirates' starting pitcher, has struggled this season with a 6.51 ERA, giving up 99 hits in just 74.2 innings of work.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| Diamondbacks Moneyline | -110.0 |
| Pirates Moneyline | -110.0 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Montgomery (PIT) | 7-5 | 6.51 | 1.69 | 74.2 | 99 | 48 | 27 | 9 |
| Mitch Keller (ARI) | 10-5 | 3.30 | 1.21 | 128.1 | 121 | 114 | 34 | 13 |
Team Previews
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks have shown a commendable performance this season, especially with their pitching. Their starting rotation is anchored by Keller, who has been consistent, allowing only 13 home runs this season. The bullpen has also been effective, contributing to the team's low ERA. However, they need to improve their hitting, as they rank in the lower tier for runs scored and batting average.
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates' offense has been their strength, ranking highly in runs and batting average. The team has power hitters like Ketel Marte, who leads with 26 home runs and 74 RBIs. However, their pitching remains a concern, particularly Montgomery's performance, which has seen him allowing 99 hits and a high ERA. The Pirates need to find ways to reduce runs allowed if they want to remain competitive.
Team Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly | SP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 12 |
| Blake Walston | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 14 |
| Bryce Jarvis | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 2B | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
| Ryan Borucki | RP | Wrist | Expected to be out until at least Sep 1 |
| Ji-Hwan Bae | CF | Knee | Probable for Aug 3 |
Betting Trends
- Arizona has gone 58-51 against the spread this season.
- Pittsburgh has a strong home record, particularly in recent games.
- The Over has hit in 49 of Arizona's games this season.
- Pittsburgh tends to struggle when facing teams with strong pitching.
Recent Games
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Chicago | W 5-2 | W |
| @ Chicago | W 3-0 | W |
| @ Kansas City | L 10-4 | L |
| @ Kansas City | W 6-2 | W |
| vs Pittsburgh | W 4-3 | W |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia | W 8-7 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | W 4-1 | W |
| vs St. Louis | L 2-1 | L |
| @ Arizona | L 4-3 | L |
| @ Arizona | L 9-5 | L |
Team Rankings
| Category | Arizona Diamondbacks | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 25th | 4th |
| Starting Pitching | 7th | 25th |
| Relief Pitching | Tied-13th | Tied-19th |
| Fielding | Tied-13th | 30th |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Diamondbacks are 8-2 in their last 10 games against right-handed starters.
- Pittsburgh has gone 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.
- Arizona is 4-1 in their last 5 games on the road.
- Pittsburgh is 1-4 in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record.
- The over is 5-1 in Arizona's last 6 games against teams with a winning record.
- Pittsburgh has hit the over in 3 of their last 4 games when playing at home.
- Arizona's games have averaged 9.2 runs this season.
- Pittsburgh's games have averaged 8.5 runs this season.
- The Diamondbacks have a 7-3 record in their last 10 games overall.
- The Pirates have lost 3 of their last 5 home games.
Weather
Intermittent clouds with a temperature of 79°F expected at game time.
Prediction
Pick: Over 8.5 runs
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