MLB Over/Under Bets: Orioles vs Yankees 7/13

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 12, 2024, 7:33:13 PM
MLB Over/Under Bets: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees 7/13
Photo Credit: © Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Baltimore Orioles are set to face off against the New York Yankees on July 13 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. The Orioles have been impressive this season, holding a record of 57-36, which places them at the top of the AL East standings. They boast a strong home record of 29-20 and have been consistent on the road with a 28-16 record. Leading the charge for the Orioles has been Gunnar Henderson, who has been exceptional with a .288 batting average and 27 home runs. Their pitching staff, headlined by Grayson Rodriguez, has also been formidable, with Rodriguez holding an 11-3 record and a 3.52 ERA.
On the other hand, the New York Yankees are not far behind, with a 56-39 record, making them a formidable AL East contender. The Yankees have shown strength both at home (25-19) and away (31-20). Aaron Judge has been their standout player, boasting a .304 batting average, 32 home runs, and 83 RBIs. Luis Gil has been a reliable pitcher for the Yankees, with a 9-5 record and a 3.27 ERA. The Yankees' overall team performance has been solid, with a balanced attack in both hitting and pitching.
This matchup promises to be an exciting one, with both teams in good form and aiming to solidify their positions in the standings. The Orioles and Yankees have faced each other multiple times this season, with each game providing thrilling competition. This game will be crucial in determining the momentum as both teams push towards the latter part of the season.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 8.5 | -115 |
| Under 8.5 | -105 |
| Baltimore Orioles Moneyline | -115 |
| New York Yankees Moneyline | -105 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson Rodriguez (BAL) | 11-3 | 3.52 | 1.21 | 94.2 | 85 | 105 | 30 | 10 |
| Luis Gil (NYY) | 9-5 | 3.27 | 1.09 | 96.1 | 57 | 111 | 48 | 9 |
Team Previews
Baltimore Orioles
Hitting: The Orioles have been a force at the plate, ranking high in various hitting statistics. They are tied for 4th in hits with 816 and 2nd in runs with 466. Their team batting average of .254 ranks 7th in the league. Gunnar Henderson has been their standout performer with a .288 batting average, 27 home runs, and 61 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Orioles' bullpen has been reliable, bolstered by 31 saves, which is the 4th highest in the league. Their overall ERA of 3.66 ranks 6th, indicating a strong pitching staff that can hold leads.
Fielding: Defensively, the Orioles have committed 43 errors, ranking 24th in the league. This indicates room for improvement in their fielding to support their strong pitching and hitting.
Starting Pitchers: Grayson Rodriguez has been a key figure in the rotation with an 11-3 record and a 3.52 ERA. His ability to strike out 105 batters in 94.2 innings shows his dominance on the mound.
New York Yankees
Hitting: The Yankees' offensive lineup is equally formidable, with 782 hits (11th) and leading the league with 473 runs. They have a team batting average of .247, ranking 12th. Aaron Judge has been a standout, hitting .304 with 32 home runs and 83 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Yankees' bullpen has 26 saves (Tied-8th) and a team ERA of 3.60, ranking 4th. This strong bullpen performance has been crucial in closing out games.
Fielding: The Yankees have committed 56 errors, ranking 6th. Their defensive solidity has been a key factor in their success this season.
Starting Pitchers: Luis Gil has been consistent with a 9-5 record and a 3.27 ERA. His 111 strikeouts in 96.1 innings demonstrate his ability to overpower hitters.
Team Injuries
Baltimore Orioles
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Bradish | SP | Elbow | Out for the season |
New York Yankees
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| J.D. Davis | 1B | Illness | Expected to be out until at least Jul 20 |
Betting Trends
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games.
- Baltimore is 14-6 SU in their last 20 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games against Baltimore.
- New York is 12-8 SU in their last 20 road games.
Recent Games
Baltimore Orioles
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Chicago | 0-8 | L |
| vs Chicago | 0-4 | L |
| vs Chicago | 2-9 | L |
| @ Oakland | 6-3 | W |
| @ Oakland | 8-19 | L |
New York Yankees
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Tampa Bay | 4-5 | L |
| @ Tampa Bay | 1-2 | W |
| @ Tampa Bay | 3-5 | L |
| vs Boston | 0-3 | L |
| vs Boston | 4-14 | W |
Team Rankings
| Category | Baltimore Orioles | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4th | 11th |
| Starting Pitching | 6th | 4th |
| Relief Pitching | 4th | 8th |
| Fielding | 24th | 6th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Baltimore is 57-36 overall this season.
- New York is 56-39 overall this season.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 home games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of New York's last 9 road games.
- Baltimore's average runs per game at home is 5.1.
- New York's average runs per game on the road is 4.9.
- Grayson Rodriguez has a 3.52 ERA this season.
- Luis Gil has a 3.27 ERA this season.
- Baltimore has hit 27 home runs in their last 10 games.
- New York has hit 25 home runs in their last 10 games.
Weather
The weather forecast for the game in Baltimore is partly sunny with a temperature of 87°F. This should provide a comfortable environment for both players and fans.
Prediction
Pick: Over 8.5 runs
The Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees both have strong offenses and have shown the ability to score runs in bunches. With both teams' recent trends towards high-scoring games and the hitting prowess of players like Gunnar Henderson and Aaron Judge, the over 8.5 runs seems like a solid bet. Additionally, the pitching matchup, while featuring competent starters, has the potential to give up runs, especially considering the offensive firepower on both sides. The weather conditions are also favorable, likely aiding the ball to travel well in the air. Expect a high-scoring affair in this AL East showdown.


