MLB Over/Under Bets: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies - 7/11

Preview: Dodgers bring road losing streak into matchup with the Phillies

By Data Skrive
Jul 11, 2025, 04:02 am

 

Game Summary

The Los Angeles Dodgers (55-38), currently first in the NL West, will face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (60-32), who are leading the NL East, at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. This match is set to commence at 6:05 p.m. EDT on Thursday. The Dodgers are on a three-game road losing streak, and this game is crucial for them to regain momentum. On the other hand, the Phillies have been dominant at home with a 35-14 record.

Philadelphia's offense has been impressive, boasting the third-best collective on-base percentage (.330) in the majors. The team is led by Bryce Harper, who has 20 home runs and a slugging percentage of .574. Trea Turner has also been in excellent form, going 17-for-42 with five home runs and 16 RBIs over the past 10 games.

The Dodgers have had a solid season but are facing challenges on the road. Shohei Ohtani has been a standout performer with 22 doubles, three triples, and 28 home runs. Will Smith has also contributed significantly, going 12-for-40 with two doubles and four home runs in the last 10 games.

This will be the third meeting between the two teams this season. In their last 10 games, the Phillies have a 6-4 record with a .266 batting average and a 4.86 ERA. The Dodgers, on the other hand, have struggled with a 4-6 record, a .254 batting average, and a 7.28 ERA, having been outscored by 24 runs.

 

Odds and Betting Lines

Betting Line	Odds
Over/Under (9 runs)	-120
Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline	-155
Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline	+130

 

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	WHIP	Strikeouts
Landon Knack (LAD)	1-2	2.86	0.98	31
Aaron Nola (PHI)	10-4	3.48	1.03	107

 

Team Previews

Los Angeles Dodgers

Hitting: The Dodgers have been one of the top offensive teams this season. They rank 3rd in hits with 817 and 6th in runs with 456. Shohei Ohtani has been their standout hitter with a .317 batting average, 28 home runs, and 66 RBIs. Will Smith has also been productive with a .273 average and 15 home runs.
Relief Pitching: The Dodgers' bullpen has been effective, ranking tied-8th in saves with 26. Their bullpen has been a reliable support system for the starting rotation.
Fielding: The Dodgers have committed 54 errors, ranking them 9th in the league. Their defense has been solid, contributing to their overall success.
Starting Pitchers: Landon Knack has been impressive with a 2.86 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. Despite his 1-2 record, he has shown the ability to keep games close and give his team a chance to win.

Philadelphia Phillies

Hitting: The Phillies have been an offensive powerhouse, ranking 3rd in runs with 462 and 6th in hits with 809. Bryce Harper leads the team with 20 home runs and a .574 slugging percentage. Trea Turner has been on a hot streak, contributing significantly to the team's recent success.
Relief Pitching: The Phillies' bullpen has been strong, with 27 saves, ranking 7th in the league. Their relievers have been able to close out games effectively.
Fielding: The Phillies have committed 44 errors, ranking them 23rd in the league. While their defense has had some lapses, their offense has been able to compensate.
Starting Pitchers: Aaron Nola has been the ace of the rotation with a 10-4 record, 3.48 ERA, and 1.03 WHIP. His ability to strike out batters and limit walks has been crucial for the Phillies.

 

Team Injuries

Los Angeles Dodgers

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Tyler Glasnow	SP	Back	15-Day IL
Jason Heyward	OF	Knee	10-Day IL
Max Muncy	IF	Oblique	60-Day IL
Walker Buehler	SP	Hip	15-Day IL
Michael Grove	SP	Lat	15-Day IL
Mookie Betts	OF	Hand	10-Day IL
Joe Kelly	RP	Posterior	60-Day IL
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	SP	Tricep	15-Day IL
Ryan Brasier	RP	Calf	60-Day IL
Connor Brogdon	RP	Foot	60-Day IL
Brusdar Graterol	RP	Shoulder	60-Day IL
Emmet Sheehan	SP	Forearm	60-Day IL
Clayton Kershaw	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Tony Gonsolin	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Dustin May	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL

Philadelphia Phillies

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Bryce Harper	OF	Hand	Day-to-Day
Zack Wheeler	SP	Back	Day-to-Day
Luis Ortiz	RP	Ankle	60-Day IL
Spencer Turnbull	SP	Back	15-Day IL
Taijuan Walker	SP	Index Finger	15-Day IL
J.T. Realmuto	C	Knee	10-Day IL
Michael Rucker	RP	Hand	60-Day IL
Dylan Covey	RP	Shoulder	60-Day IL

 

Betting Trends

• Dodgers are 24-5 in games when they did not allow a home run.
• Phillies have a 35-14 record in home games.
• Dodgers' last 10 games: 4-6 with a .254 batting average.
• Phillies' last 10 games: 6-4 with a .266 batting average.
• Dodgers have been outscored by 24 runs in their last 10 games.
• Phillies have outscored opponents by two runs in their last 10 games.
• Dodgers are 55-38 overall this season.
• Phillies are 60-32 overall this season.
• Dodgers' road record: 27-19.
• Phillies' home record: 35-14.

 

Recent Games

Los Angeles Dodgers

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Milwaukee	W 8-5	W
vs Milwaukee	W 5-3	W
vs Milwaukee	L 9-2	L
@ Philadelphia	L 10-1	L
@ Philadelphia	L 4-3	L

Philadelphia Phillies

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Atlanta	W 8-6	W
@ Atlanta	L 5-1	L
@ Atlanta	L 6-0	L
vs Los Angeles	W 10-1	W
vs Los Angeles	W 4-3	W

 

Team Rankings

Category	Los Angeles Dodgers	Philadelphia Phillies
Hitting	3rd	6th
Starting Pitching	1st	7th
Relief Pitching	8th	7th
Fielding	9th	23rd

 

Significant Betting Stats

• Dodgers are 24-5 in games when they did not allow a home run.
• Phillies have a 35-14 record in home games.
• Dodgers' last 10 games: 4-6 with a .254 batting average.
• Phillies' last 10 games: 6-4 with a .266 batting average.
• Dodgers have been outscored by 24 runs in their last 10 games.
• Phillies have outscored opponents by two runs in their last 10 games.
• Dodgers are 55-38 overall this season.
• Phillies are 60-32 overall this season.
• Dodgers' road record: 27-19.
• Phillies' home record: 35-14.

 

Weather

Partly sunny
Temperature: 90°F
AccuWeather

 

Prediction

Given the offensive prowess of both teams and the recent form of their starting pitchers, this game is likely to see plenty of runs. The Phillies have been strong at home, and the Dodgers' bullpen has struggled recently. With hitters like Bryce Harper and Shohei Ohtani in top form, expect a high-scoring game. Therefore, our pick is for the total runs to go over 9.5.