MLB Over/Under Bets: Astros vs Mariners 7/20
- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 20, 2024, 3:52:48 AM
MLB Over/Under Bets: Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners
Photo Credit: T-Mobile Park
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Game Summary
The Houston Astros and Seattle Mariners are set to clash on July 20 at T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington. With both teams vying for a strong finish to the season, this matchup promises to be an intense battle. The Astros, currently holding a record of 52-46, will be looking to strengthen their position in the standings. Meanwhile, the Mariners, with a record of 50-46, are not far behind and will be eager to close the gap.
The Astros have been solid on the road with a 22-28 record, while the Mariners have been formidable at home with a 28-21 record. This game features two of the league's top pitchers: Framber Valdez for the Astros and George Kirby for the Mariners. Valdez has a season record of 8-5 with an ERA of 3.66, while Kirby stands at 7-7 with an ERA of 3.29.
With the Astros' strong pitching and the Mariners' robust offense, this game could go either way. Both teams have shown resilience and the ability to perform under pressure, making this a highly anticipated contest.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 7.0 | -110 |
| Under 7.0 | -110 |
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Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | 8-5 | 3.66 | 1.28 | 98.1 | 94 | 82 | 32 | 8 |
| George Kirby (SEA) | 7-7 | 3.29 | 0.99 | 117.2 | 104 | 116 | 13 | 11 |
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Team Previews
Houston Astros
Hitting: The Astros have struggled offensively this season, ranking 30th in hits (701) and batting average (.219). Key hitters like Julio Rodriguez, who leads the team with a .267 batting average, will need to step up.
Starting Pitching: Framber Valdez has been a standout with an 8-5 record and a 3.66 ERA. The Astros' pitching staff as a whole has been strong, ranking 3rd in team ERA (3.46).
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been reliable, with 26 saves, ranking tied for 9th in the league.
Fielding: Defensively, the Astros have committed 51 errors, placing them tied for 14th in the league.
Seattle Mariners
Hitting: The Mariners have been impressive at the plate, ranking 2nd in hits (866) and 1st in batting average (.262). Jose Altuve leads the team with a .306 batting average, while Yordan Alvarez has contributed 19 home runs.
Starting Pitching: George Kirby has been a key player with a 7-7 record and a 3.29 ERA. The Mariners' pitching staff ranks 17th in team ERA (4.03).
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has recorded 23 saves, ranking tied for 18th in the league.
Fielding: The Mariners have struggled defensively, committing 41 errors, placing them 29th in the league.
Team Injuries
Houston Astros
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lance McCullers | SP | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Aug 20 |
Seattle Mariners
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryne Stanek | RP | Back | Probable for Jul 19 |
Betting Trends
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- Mariners are 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
- Under is 7-3 in the Astros' last 10 games overall.
- Over is 4-1 in the Mariners' last 5 home games against a left-handed starter.
Recent Games
Houston Astros
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Oakland Athletics | 6-3 | W |
| Oakland Athletics | 4-5 | L |
| Los Angeles Angels | 3-7 | L |
| Los Angeles Angels | 8-2 | W |
| Los Angeles Angels | 2-5 | L |
Seattle Mariners
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers | 5-7 | L |
| Texas Rangers | 3-1 | W |
| Texas Rangers | 6-4 | W |
| Detroit Tigers | 2-3 | L |
| Detroit Tigers | 4-1 | W |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Houston Astros | Seattle Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 30th | 2nd |
| Starting Pitching | 3rd | 17th |
| Relief Pitching | 9th | 18th |
| Fielding | 14th | 29th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Astros are 7-3 in Valdez's last 10 starts.
- Mariners are 5-1 in Kirby's last 6 home starts.
- Under is 5-0 in Valdez's last 5 starts against AL West.
- Under is 4-1 in Kirby's last 5 starts against AL West.
- Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 road games against a team with a winning record.
- Mariners are 8-2 in their last 10 games against a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros' last 4 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Mariners' last 9 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
- Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a loss.
- Mariners are 10-4 in their last 14 Saturday games.
Weather
Sunny, 81°F
Prediction
Pick: Under 7.0 runs
Considering the strong pitching performances of Framber Valdez and George Kirby, coupled with the Astros' offensive struggles and the Mariners' decent but not overwhelming batting, the total runs in this game are likely to stay under 7.0. Both teams have shown tendencies to play low-scoring games, especially against divisional opponents.
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