MLB Moneyline Picks: Yankees vs Rays Prediction 7/21

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 20, 2024, 8:55:17 PM
MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/21
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Game Summary
The New York Yankees will host the Tampa Bay Rays at Yankee Stadium on July 21. This matchup brings together two American League East rivals with different trajectories this season. The Yankees are flying high, currently holding a 59-40 record, while the Rays are struggling to stay afloat with a 48-49 record. The Yankees have been dominant at home with a 26-19 record, whereas the Rays are almost balanced away with a 21-22 record.
New York's slugger Aaron Judge has been a standout performer, leading the team with a .308 batting average, 34 home runs, and 86 RBIs. On the other hand, the Rays have relied on Yandy Diaz, who boasts a .273 batting average, and Isaac Paredes, who has hit 15 home runs and driven in 50 runs.
The pitching matchup for this game is intriguing. The Yankees will send Marcus Stroman to the mound, who has a 7-4 record with a 3.51 ERA. The Rays will counter with Shane Baz, who has struggled this season with a 0-1 record and a 5.23 ERA.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| Yankees Spread | -1.5 (+120) |
| Rays Spread | +1.5 (-140) |
| Yankees Moneyline | -152 |
| Rays Moneyline | +128 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Stroman (NYY) | 7-4 | 3.51 | 78 |
| Shane Baz (TB) | 0-1 | 5.23 | 11 |
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Team Previews
New York Yankees
Hitting: The Yankees are one of the top offensive teams in the league, ranking 1st in runs scored with 494 and 11th in hits with 815. Aaron Judge leads the charge with a .308 batting average, 34 home runs, and 86 RBIs. The team's ability to score runs consistently has been a key factor in their success this season.
Relief Pitching: The Yankees' bullpen has been reliable, with 27 saves (tied for 8th) and a 3.51 ERA, which ranks 4th in the league. Their ability to close out games has been a significant strength.
Fielding: Defensively, the Yankees are solid, committing only 58 errors, which ranks 7th. Their fielding percentage and ability to make routine plays have minimized opponents' scoring opportunities.
Starting Pitchers: Marcus Stroman has been a dependable starter with a 7-4 record and a 3.51 ERA. His consistent performance on the mound has provided stability to the Yankees' rotation.
Tampa Bay Rays
Hitting: The Rays have struggled offensively, ranking 28th in runs scored with 377 and 24th in hits with 761. Yandy Diaz leads the team with a .273 batting average, while Isaac Paredes has contributed 15 home runs and 50 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Rays' bullpen has been effective, with 31 saves (tied for 4th) and a 4.21 ERA, ranking 21st. Their relief pitchers have been crucial in keeping games close.
Fielding: The Rays have committed 49 errors, ranking 18th. While not among the best defensive teams, they have managed to keep opposition runs in check with timely defensive plays.
Starting Pitchers: Shane Baz has had a tough season with a 0-1 record and a 5.23 ERA. His struggles on the mound have added pressure on the Rays' bullpen and offense.
Team Injuries
New York Yankees
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Poteet | SP | Triceps | Expected to be out until at least Jul 20 |
| J.T. Brubaker | SP | Oblique | Expected to be out until at least Sep 1 |
Tampa Bay Rays
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yandy Diaz | 1B | Personal | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 |
| Richard Lovelady | RP | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Jul 20 |
Betting Trends
- The Yankees are 59-40 overall and 26-19 at home.
- The Rays are 48-49 overall and 21-22 on the road.
- The Yankees have a +1.5 spread record of 50-49.
- The Rays have a +1.5 spread record of 48-49.
- The Yankees' over/under record is 51-44-4.
- The Rays' over/under record is 46-49-2.
Recent Games
New York Yankees
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | W 6-1 | W |
| Tampa Bay | LIVE | N/A |
| Tampa Bay | Upcoming | N/A |
| Tampa Bay | Upcoming | N/A |
| New York | Upcoming | N/A |
Tampa Bay Rays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| New York | L 1-6 | L |
| New York | LIVE | N/A |
| New York | Upcoming | N/A |
| New York | Upcoming | N/A |
| Toronto | Upcoming | N/A |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Yankees | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1st (494 runs) | 28th (377 runs) |
| Starting Pitching | 4th (3.51 ERA) | 21st (4.21 ERA) |
| Relief Pitching | 8th (27 saves) | 4th (31 saves) |
| Fielding | 7th (58 errors) | 18th (49 errors) |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Yankees are 59-40 overall this season.
- The Rays are 48-49 overall this season.
- The Yankees have a home record of 26-19.
- The Rays have a road record of 21-22.
- The Yankees have a +1.5 spread record of 50-49.
- The Rays have a +1.5 spread record of 48-49.
- The Yankees' over/under record is 51-44-4.
- The Rays' over/under record is 46-49-2.
- The Yankees rank 1st in runs scored with 494.
- The Rays rank 28th in runs scored with 377.
Weather
The weather for the game day is expected to have intermittent clouds with a high temperature of 87°F. For more details, you can visit the AccuWeather forecast.
Prediction
Pick: New York Yankees to cover -1.5
The Yankees have the upper hand going into this matchup, with a stronger lineup and more consistent pitching. With Marcus Stroman on the mound, the Yankees have a solid chance to dominate the struggling Rays. The Rays' offense has been underwhelming, and Shane Baz's struggles on the mound further tilt the scales in favor of the Yankees. Expect the Yankees to win comfortably and cover the -1.5 spread.
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