```html MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Yankees vs Red Sox 7/27

MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Yankees vs Red Sox 7/27

Photo Credit: © Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The New York Yankees will face off against the Boston Red Sox on Saturday, July 27, 2024, at Fenway Park in Boston. The game is set to start at 7:15 p.m. EDT. This matchup features two teams that are very much in the race for the American League East crown, with the Yankees currently sitting in second place with a 60-45 record, and the Red Sox in third place at 55-47.

Boston is looking to extend their three-game home winning streak. The Red Sox have been solid at home, boasting a .500 record (25-25) and an overall record of 55-47. The team’s offense has been potent, with a collective .432 slugging percentage, ranking them third in MLB. On the other hand, the Yankees have been impressive on the road with a 33-22 record. New York's team slugging percentage of .429 is the fourth-best in MLB.

In their previous meetings this season, the Red Sox have had the upper hand, leading the season series 5-2. Notable performers include Jarren Duran for Boston, who has accumulated 30 doubles, 12 triples, and 13 home runs, and Juan Soto for New York, who has a batting average of .307 with 20 doubles, 4 triples, and 26 home runs.

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Player Prop Odds

For this game, here are some player prop odds for Juan Soto:

- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+230)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+170)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+350)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+120)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 1.5 (+330)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-120)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-140)

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Player Analysis

Juan Soto has been one of the standout performers for the Yankees this season. With a batting average of .307, he has demonstrated a consistent ability to get on base and drive in runs. Soto has accumulated 20 doubles, 4 triples, and 26 home runs, highlighting his power and versatility at the plate. In his last 10 games, Soto has been on fire, going 13-for-41 with two doubles and four home runs.

This season, Soto has been particularly effective against right-handed pitching, which bodes well for his matchup against Boston's Marcus Stroman. Stroman, while having a decent season with a 3.51 ERA, has been known to give up the long ball, surrendering 17 home runs in 110.1 innings pitched.

Opposing Analysis

Marcus Stroman, the probable starter for the Red Sox, has had an up-and-down season. His current record sits at 7-5 with a 3.51 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Stroman has 83 strikeouts in 110.1 innings but has also issued 47 walks and given up 17 home runs. While he has been effective in limiting hits, his tendency to give up home runs and walks could be exploited by the Yankees' power hitters.

The Yankees' lineup, featuring sluggers like Aaron Judge and Juan Soto, is well-equipped to take advantage of Stroman's vulnerabilities. The Yankees' offense ranks fourth in team slugging percentage (.429), indicating their ability to hit for power, especially against pitchers who are prone to giving up home runs.

Pitching Probables

Here are the probable pitchers and their stats for the game:

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Marcus Stroman (BOS)	7-5	3.51	1.31	110.1	97	83	47	17
Kutter Crawford (NYY)	6-8	3.37	1.05	117.2	95	112	29	19

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Team Previews

New York Yankees

The Yankees have been one of the top teams in the league this season, boasting a 60-45 record. Their offense has been spearheaded by the likes of Aaron Judge and Juan Soto. The team ranks third in hits (911) and eighth in runs (489), with a team batting average of .258, which is also third in the league. The Yankees' pitching has also been solid, with a team ERA of 3.84, ranking 13th in MLB.

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox have been competitive as well, with a 55-47 record. Their offensive prowess is highlighted by a .432 slugging percentage, which is third in the league. Key players like Jarren Duran and Tyler O'Neill have been instrumental in driving the offense. On the pitching side, the Red Sox have a team ERA of 3.67, which is fifth in the league. Their defensive play has also been solid, with only 61 errors, ranking seventh in MLB.

Team Injuries

New York Yankees

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Giancarlo Stanton	DH	Hamstring	10-Day IL
Nick Burdi	RP	Hip	60-Day IL

Boston Red Sox

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Bryan Mata	RP	Hamstring	60-Day IL
Kenley Jansen	RP	Heart	Day-to-Day

Recent Games

New York Yankees

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Tampa Bay	W 6-1	W
vs Tampa Bay	L 9-1	L
vs Tampa Bay	L 6-4	L
vs Tampa Bay	W 9-1	W
vs New York	L 3-2	L

Boston Red Sox

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Los Angeles	L 4-1	L
@ Los Angeles	L 7-6 F/11	L
@ Los Angeles	L 9-6	L
@ Colorado	L 9-8 F/12	L
@ Colorado	W 6-0	W

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Prediction

Given the current form of both teams and the matchup between Juan Soto and Marcus Stroman, I predict that Juan Soto will have a good game. The prop bet for Soto to hit over 1.5 total bases at -140 odds seems like a solid bet. Soto's recent hot streak combined with Stroman's tendency to give up home runs makes this a favorable matchup for Soto.

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