MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals 7/28

- Mr Wager
- Jul 28, 2024, 3:47:28 AM
Daily MLB Player Props Picks: Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals
Photo Credit: © Jeff Le-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Washington Nationals will face off against the St. Louis Cardinals on July 28th at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. This matchup features two teams that have had their ups and downs throughout the season. The Nationals come into this game with a 53-51 record, sitting in the middle of the pack. They have shown some resilience, especially in their most recent games, winning four out of their last five. On the other hand, the Cardinals have struggled this season, currently holding a 49-56 record. They have lost four out of their last five games and are looking to turn things around at home.
Historically, these two teams have had competitive matchups. In their last series, the Nationals managed to take two out of three games from the Cardinals. The pitching matchup for this game features Miles Mikolas for the Cardinals and DJ Herz for the Nationals. Mikolas has had a tough season with an 8-8 record and a 5.02 ERA, while Herz is 1-4 with a 4.95 ERA. This game is expected to be a close contest, with both teams looking to gain momentum as they head into the latter part of the season.
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Player Prop Odds
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Lane Thomas Player Prop Odds:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+285) / Under 0.5 (-425)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+195) / Under 1.5 (-275)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+165) / Under 0.5 (-230)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+110) / Under 0.5 (-150)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-140) / Under 0.5 (+100)
- Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+320) / Under 0.5 (-500)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+105) / Under 1.5 (-145)
Player Analysis
Lane Thomas has been a consistent performer for the Washington Nationals this season. He boasts a solid batting average and has been effective in getting on base. Thomas has shown a knack for hitting doubles and scoring runs, which makes him a key player in the Nationals' lineup. His ability to contribute in multiple facets of the game, including hitting for power and average, as well as stealing bases, makes him a valuable asset. In his last ten games, Thomas has been on a tear, hitting .320 with three home runs and nine RBIs. His recent form suggests that he could continue to be a major factor in this game against the Cardinals.
Opposing Analysis
The St. Louis Cardinals' pitching staff has had its struggles this season, particularly with Miles Mikolas on the mound. Mikolas has an 8-8 record with a 5.02 ERA, and he has given up a fair number of hits and home runs. The Cardinals' bullpen has also been inconsistent, which could play into the Nationals' favor. The Cardinals' defense has been prone to errors, ranking 9th in errors committed this season. This could provide additional opportunities for players like Lane Thomas to capitalize on mistakes and get on base.
Pitching Probables
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| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Herz (WAS) | 1-4 | 4.95 | 1.40 | 36.1 | 40 | 45 | 11 | 8 |
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 8-8 | 5.02 | 1.23 | 118.1 | 126 | 80 | 19 | 18 |
Team Previews
Washington Nationals
The Nationals have been a middle-of-the-pack team this season, but they have shown flashes of brilliance, particularly in their hitting. They rank 15th in hits and 14th in batting average. Their bullpen has been a bright spot, with 37 saves, tied for first in the league. However, their starting pitching has been inconsistent, and their defense has been prone to errors, ranking 26th in the league.
St. Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals have struggled this season, particularly in terms of hitting and pitching. They rank 22nd in hits and 19th in batting average. Their bullpen has been decent, with 29 saves, ranking 8th in the league. However, their starting pitching has been a major issue, with an ERA of 4.22, ranking 22nd. Their defense has also been a problem, committing 59 errors, which is tied for 9th most in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Weems | RP | Fri, Jul 26 | Lower Leg | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
| Cade Cavalli | SP | Fri, Jul 26 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 15 |
Recent Games
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Washington Nationals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Cincinnati | 8-5 | W |
| vs Cincinnati | 5-4 | W |
| vs Cincinnati | 5-2 | W |
| vs San Diego | 0-4 | L |
| vs San Diego | 3-12 | L |
St. Louis Cardinals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Atlanta | Postponed | Postponed |
| @ Atlanta | 2-3 (F/10) | L |
| @ Atlanta | 5-9 | W |
| @ Atlanta | 2-6 | W |
| @ Pittsburgh | 1-2 | L |
Prediction
Lane Thomas has been in excellent form recently and faces a struggling pitcher in Miles Mikolas. Given his recent performance and the Cardinals' pitching woes, Thomas has a good chance to hit over 1.5 total bases. The odds for this are +105, making it a value bet.
Pick: Lane Thomas Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105)
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