MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Twins vs Mets 7/29
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MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Twins vs Mets 7/29

```html MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Twins vs Mets 7/29

MLB Player Props Wagers: Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets

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Photo Credit: © Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Minnesota Twins (58-46, second in the AL Central) are set to visit the New York Mets (55-50, third in the NL East) for a three-game series starting Monday, July 29, at Citi Field in New York. The game is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT. This matchup promises to be an exciting one as both teams are in the hunt for playoff spots in their respective leagues.

The New York Mets have been solid at home with a 28-28 record and boast an overall record of 55-50. The Mets have a remarkable 43-12 record in games where they have out-hit their opponents. On the other hand, the Minnesota Twins have been respectable on the road with a 29-25 record and an overall record of 58-46. The Twins have displayed power hitting, ranking fifth in the AL with 125 home runs.

Top performers for the Mets include Francisco Lindor, who leads the team with 22 home runs and a slugging percentage of .474. Jeff McNeil has been in fine form, going 12-for-35 with four doubles, four home runs, and nine RBIs in the last 10 games. For the Twins, Carlos Santana is among the leaders with 34 extra-base hits, including 20 doubles and 14 home runs. Byron Buxton has also been hot, hitting 13-for-43 with five doubles, three home runs, and five RBIs over the last 10 games.

Both teams have had mixed results in their last 10 games. The Mets have gone 6-4 with a .229 batting average and a 3.84 ERA, outscoring opponents by three runs. Meanwhile, the Twins are 5-5 with a .240 batting average and a 3.46 ERA, outscoring opponents by five runs.

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Player Prop Odds

For tonight's game, we focus on Max Kepler's player prop odds:

  • Batter Doubles 0.5, Over Odds +440
  • Batter Hits 0.5, Over Odds -190
  • Batter RBIs 0.5, Over Odds +160
  • Batter Runs Scored 0.5, Over Odds +105
  • Batter Singles 0.5, Over Odds -115
  • Batter Total Bases 1.5, Over Odds +145

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Player Analysis

Max Kepler has been a consistent performer for the Twins this season, and his current form suggests he could be a key player in tonight's game. Kepler has demonstrated his ability to make an impact in various ways, whether it be through hitting for extra bases or driving in runs. In his last 10 games, Kepler has had multiple hits in several contests, showing his ability to get on base and contribute to the team's offensive efforts.

Kepler's prop odds for tonight provide some intriguing opportunities for bettors. With a line set at 0.5 hits and odds of -190, it's clear that the bookmakers expect him to register at least one hit. Additionally, his total bases prop of 1.5 with odds of +145 suggests that he has the potential to accumulate multiple bases, whether through singles, doubles, or home runs.

Opposing Analysis

Facing the Mets' starting pitcher Jose Quintana, Kepler will have his work cut out for him. Quintana has a 5-6 record with a 4.02 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. While Quintana has been effective at times, he has also shown vulnerability, particularly against power hitters. Kepler's ability to hit for power could be a key factor in tonight's matchup. Furthermore, the Mets' bullpen has had its share of struggles, which could present additional opportunities for Kepler to make an impact later in the game.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher W-L ERA Strikeouts
Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) 3-1 3.27 76
Jose Quintana (NYM) 5-6 4.02 85

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Team Previews

Minnesota Twins

The Twins have been impressive both offensively and defensively this season. Their hitting stats rank among the top in the league, with 895 hits and 506 runs, placing them 10th and 6th respectively. The team's batting average stands at .248, ranking 12th in the league. On the mound, the Twins have a combined ERA of 4.19, which ranks 21st, and their bullpen has secured 28 saves, ranking 10th.

New York Mets

The Mets have also shown their prowess at the plate, with 897 hits and 505 runs, ranking 9th and 7th respectively. Their team batting average of .253 ranks 8th in the league. The Mets' pitching staff has a combined ERA of 4.09, ranking 20th, and their bullpen has notched 30 saves, ranking 7th.

Team Injuries

Player Position Injury Status
Jose Miranda Upper Body Day-to-day
Carlos Correa Foot 10-Day IL
Kodai Senga Calf 15-Day IL
Harrison Bader Ankle Day-to-day

Recent Games

Minnesota Twins

Opponent Score W/L
Detroit 5-0 W
Detroit 2-7 L
Detroit 9-3 W
Philadelphia 5-4 W
Philadelphia 0-3 L

New York Mets

Opponent Score W/L
Atlanta 2-9 L
Atlanta 0-4 L
Atlanta 8-4 W
Atlanta 3-2 W
New York 12-3 W

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Prediction

Given the recent form of both teams and the pitching matchup, we expect a tightly contested game. Max Kepler's ability to hit for power and get on base makes his prop odds attractive. Our pick is to take the over on Kepler's total bases at 1.5 (+145). With Quintana's tendency to allow hits and the Mets' bullpen struggles, Kepler has a good chance to exceed this total.

Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases for Max Kepler (+145)

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Winnings $78,844
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Yesterday winnings ($252)
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