MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Rockies vs Mets 7/12
- A Plus Picks
- Jul 11, 2024, 3:46:25 PM
MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets 7/12
Game Summary
The Colorado Rockies are set to face off against the New York Mets on July 12 at Citi Field in Queens, New York. This matchup pits two teams with contrasting records and ambitions for the season. The Rockies, with a 46-45 overall record, are looking to stay above .500 and push for a wildcard spot. On the other hand, the Mets are struggling with a 33-60 record, sitting at the bottom of their division and hoping to salvage some pride as the season progresses.
Colorado's offense has shown some potency, ranking 10th in hits and 11th in runs. However, their pitching staff has been inconsistent, with an ERA ranking 21st in the league. The Rockies' defense has also been shaky, committing 62 errors, which is tied for 2nd most in the MLB. Key players like Brandon Nimmo and Pete Alonso have been leading the charge offensively, but the team will need more consistency from their pitching staff to make a serious postseason push.
Meanwhile, the Mets have had a tough season, plagued by injuries and underperformance. Their hitting ranks 12th in hits but only 20th in runs, reflecting their struggles to convert opportunities into scores. The pitching has been even worse, with a league-worst ERA of 5.55. Tanner Gordon, who will start for the Mets, has had a rough season with a 7.11 ERA, while Sean Manaea of the Rockies boasts a respectable 3.43 ERA. The Mets' defense has been slightly better, committing 45 errors, which ranks them 21st. The game promises to be an intriguing contest, especially with both teams looking to turn their fortunes around.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| Colorado Rockies Spread | +1.5 |
| New York Mets Spread | -1.5 |
| Colorado Rockies Moneyline | +194 |
| New York Mets Moneyline | -235 |
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Manaea (COL) | 5-3 | 3.43 | 87 |
| Tanner Gordon (NYM) | 0-1 | 7.11 | 4 |
Team Previews
Colorado Rockies
Hitting: The Rockies' offense is ranked 10th in hits with 782 and 11th in runs with 439. Brandon Nimmo leads the team with a .252 batting average, while Pete Alonso has provided the power with 18 home runs and 59 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been a mixed bag, ranking 21st in ERA at 4.23. They have managed 23 saves, which is tied for 16th in the league.
Fielding: Defensively, the Rockies have struggled, committing 62 errors, which is tied for 2nd most in the MLB.
Starting Pitchers: Sean Manaea has been a reliable starter with a 5-3 record and a 3.43 ERA. His 87 strikeouts in 89.1 innings indicate his ability to miss bats.
New York Mets
Hitting: The Mets rank 12th in hits with 772, but only 20th in runs with 385. Brenton Doyle leads the team with a .280 batting average, while Ryan McMahon has hit 14 home runs and driven in 45 runs.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been a significant weakness, with a league-worst ERA of 5.55. They have secured 19 saves, ranking 25th in the league.
Fielding: The Mets have committed 45 errors, which ranks them 21st in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Tanner Gordon has struggled in his limited appearances, posting a 7.11 ERA and a 0-1 record. His 4 strikeouts in 6.1 innings show he has had difficulty putting hitters away.
Team Injuries
Colorado Rockies
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Blackmon | DH | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Jul 12 |
New York Mets
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Iglesias | 2B | Illness | Expected to be out until at least Jul 12 |
Betting Trends
- Rockies are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a loss.
- Mets are 1-6 in their last 7 home games.
- Over is 5-2 in Rockies' last 7 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Mets' last 5 games following a loss.
Recent Games
Colorado Rockies
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Cincinnati | W 6-5 | W |
| @ Cincinnati | L 12-6 | L |
| @ Cincinnati | L 6-0 | L |
| vs Kansas City | L 10-1 | L |
| vs Kansas City | W 3-1 | W |
New York Mets
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Cincinnati | L 8-1 | L |
| @ Cincinnati | W 6-5 | W |
| @ Cincinnati | L 12-6 | L |
| @ Pittsburgh | L 8-2 | L |
| @ Pittsburgh | W 3-2 | W |
Team Rankings
| Category | Colorado Rockies | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 10th | 12th |
| Starting Pitching | 21st | 30th |
| Relief Pitching | 16th | 25th |
| Fielding | 2nd (most errors) | 21st |
Significant Betting Stats
- Rockies are 32-60 on the moneyline this season.
- Mets are 33-60 on the moneyline this season.
- Rockies are 23-20 on the road this season.
- Mets are 20-27 at home this season.
- Rockies' over/under record is 46-44-2.
- Mets' over/under record is 49-38-3.
- Rockies are 42-50 against the spread this season.
- Mets are 46-44 against the spread this season.
- Rockies have hit the over in 5 of their last 7 road games.
- Mets have hit the under in 4 of their last 5 games following a loss.
Weather
The weather forecast for the game at Citi Field predicts cloudy conditions with a temperature of 78°F. No significant weather disruptions are expected.
Prediction
Pick: Colorado Rockies Moneyline (+194)
Despite their overall struggles, the Rockies have been decent on the road this season with a 23-20 record. Sean Manaea has been a reliable starter, and with the Mets' Tanner Gordon struggling mightily, the Rockies have a good chance to capitalize. The Mets' poor home record and inconsistent offense further bolster the Rockies' chances of pulling off an upset. Given the odds, the value lies with the Rockies moneyline.
