MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Reds vs Rockies - 7/11

MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Reds vs Rockies - 7/11

MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies - 7/11

 

Game Summary

The Cincinnati Reds will host the Colorado Rockies at the Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio, on July 11th. This matchup features two teams with contrasting seasons so far. The Reds are in a rebuilding phase but showing signs of promise, holding a 44-48 record, whereas the Rockies are struggling significantly with a 32-60 record. The Reds come into this game with momentum, having won their last two games against the Rockies with convincing performances. The Reds will be looking to continue their dominance against the Rockies, leveraging their home-field advantage.

On the mound for the Reds will be Hunter Greene, who has been one of the bright spots for Cincinnati with a 5-4 record and a solid 3.45 ERA. Greene has shown great control and strikeout ability, with 116 strikeouts over 104.1 innings pitched. Opposing him will be Austin Gomber for the Rockies, who has struggled this season, reflected in his 2-5 record and a 4.47 ERA. Gomber has been inconsistent, and his high ERA suggests that the Reds’ hitters could have a field day.

Historically, the Reds have had the upper hand against the Rockies, and with the current form of both teams, Cincinnati appears to be the favorite. The Reds' offense, led by Jonathan India and Elly De La Cruz, will look to exploit Gomber's weaknesses and put up runs early. On the other hand, the Rockies will rely on Ryan McMahon to spark their offense, but given their recent struggles, they'll need a significant turnaround to challenge the Reds.

 

Odds and Betting Lines

Betting Market Odds
Over/Under 9.5
Cincinnati Reds Moneyline -210
Colorado Rockies Moneyline +176
Cincinnati Reds Spread -1.5 -110
Colorado Rockies Spread +1.5 -110

 

Pitching Probables

Pitcher W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR
Hunter Greene (CIN) 5-4 3.45 1.14 104.1 76 116 43 9
Austin Gomber (COL) 2-5 4.47 1.29 94.2 98 62 24 16

 

Team Previews

Cincinnati Reds

Hitting: The Reds have struggled offensively this season, ranking 27th in batting average (.227). However, they are middle of the pack in runs scored (400, 16th) which indicates their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Jonathan India leads the team with a .270 batting average, while Elly De La Cruz provides the power with 15 home runs.

Relief Pitching: The Reds' bullpen has been decent, with 21 saves, tied for 18th in the league. Their relief pitchers have managed to hold leads and close out games effectively.

Fielding: Defensively, the Reds have committed 56 errors, ranking them tied for 5th in the league. This indicates that their fielding has been a weakness, and they'll need to tighten up defensively to support their pitchers.

Starting Pitchers: Hunter Greene has been a standout for the Reds, with a solid 5-4 record, a 3.45 ERA, and a 1.14 WHIP. His ability to strike out batters (116 strikeouts) makes him a formidable opponent for any lineup.

 

Colorado Rockies

Hitting: The Rockies have been better offensively, ranking 12th in hits (760) and 16th in batting average (.244). However, they have struggled to convert these hits into runs, scoring only 379 runs (22nd). Brenton Doyle leads the team with a .279 average, while Ryan McMahon has 14 home runs.

Relief Pitching: The Rockies' bullpen has been a significant weakness, with only 18 saves (25th). Their relievers have frequently been unable to hold leads or keep games close.

Fielding: Defensively, the Rockies have committed 45 errors, ranking them tied for 20th. This indicates they have been more reliable than the Reds but still have room for improvement.

Starting Pitchers: Austin Gomber has had a tough season, with a 2-5 record and a 4.47 ERA. His high WHIP (1.29) and home run allowance (16 HR) suggest that he has struggled to keep runners off base and limit damage.

 

Team Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
TJ Friedl CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
Nick Martini DH Thumb Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
Ian Gibaut RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
Matt McLain SS Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
Brandon Williamson SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

 

Colorado Rockies

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Jacob Bird RP Groin Expected to be out until at least Jul 19

 

Betting Trends

  • The Reds are 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
  • The Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the Rockies.
  • The Over is 6-1 in the Reds' last 7 home games.
  • The Rockies are 1-6 in their last 7 road games.
  • The Rockies are 2-8 in their last 10 games overall.
  • The Under is 5-2 in the Rockies' last 7 road games.

 

Recent Games

Cincinnati Reds

Opponent Score W/L
vs Colorado 12-6 W
vs Colorado 6-0 W
vs Detroit 1-5 L
vs Detroit 3-5 L
vs Detroit 4-5 L

 

Colorado Rockies

Opponent Score W/L
@ Cincinnati 6-12 L
@ Cincinnati 0-6 L
vs Kansas City 1-10 L
vs Kansas City 3-1 W
vs Kansas City 4-2 W

 

Team Rankings

Category Cincinnati Reds Colorado Rockies
Hitting 29th 12th
Starting Pitching 10th 30th
Relief Pitching 18th 25th
Fielding 5th 20th

 

Significant Betting Stats

  • The Reds are 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
  • The Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the Rockies.
  • The Over is 6-1 in the Reds' last 7 home games.
  • The Rockies are 1-6 in their last 7 road games.
  • The Rockies are 2-8 in their last 10 games overall.
  • The Under is 5-2 in the Rockies' last 7 road games.
  • The Reds have a better bullpen with 21 saves compared to the Rockies' 18 saves.
  • The Rockies have a significantly higher ERA (5.55) compared to the Reds (3.81).
  • The Reds have been solid at home with a 22-26 record, whereas the Rockies are poor on the road with a 12-33 record.
  • Hunter Greene has a better strikeout rate compared to Austin Gomber.

 

Weather

Partly sunny with a high temperature of 81°F. More weather details.

 

Prediction

Pick: Cincinnati Reds moneyline

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The Cincinnati Reds are the clear favorites in this matchup given their recent form and the disparity in pitching quality between the two teams. Hunter Greene has been reliable for the Reds, and with the Rockies struggling both offensively and defensively, the Reds should be able to capitalize. The Reds' home advantage and their superior starting pitching make them a solid pick to win this game. Additionally, the Rockies’ poor road record further strengthens the case for the Reds' moneyline pick.

 

Photo Credit: © Albert Cesare/The Enquirer / USA TODAY NETWORK

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