MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Reds vs Rockies 7/10

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 9, 2024, 7:14:24 PM
MLB Moneyline Bet Advice: Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies 7/10
Game Summary
The Cincinnati Reds will face off against the Colorado Rockies on July 10 at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. The Reds, currently sitting at 43-48, aim to capitalize on their home advantage against the struggling Rockies, who hold a 32-59 record. This game promises an intriguing pitching duel between the Reds' Frankie Montas and the Rockies' Kyle Freeland.
Cincinnati has shown prowess in their pitching, ranked 11th in ERA with a figure of 3.80, and generally strong defensive metrics. Offensively, they have been average, ranking 16th in runs scored. Key players like Jonathan India, who leads the team with a .270 batting average, and Elly De La Cruz, the home run leader with 15, will be pivotal.
On the other hand, the Rockies have struggled significantly, especially on the road where they hold a 12-32 record. Their pitching has been one of the worst in the league, with a team ERA of 5.48, ranking them last. Offensively, they are slightly better but still inconsistent. Brendan Rodgers, with a .282 batting average, and Ryan McMahon, with 14 home runs, will look to provide the spark for Colorado.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | O/U 9.5 |
| Cincinnati Reds Spread | -1.5 (+115) |
| Colorado Rockies Spread | +1.5 (-135) |
| Cincinnati Reds Moneyline | -178 |
| Colorado Rockies Moneyline | +150 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Montas (CIN) | 4-6 | 4.19 | 62 |
| Kyle Freeland (COL) | 0-3 | 6.62 | 21 |
Team Previews
Cincinnati Reds
Hitting: The Reds have shown moderate consistency at the plate, ranking 16th in runs scored. Key hitters include Jonathan India, who leads the team with a .270 batting average, and Elly De La Cruz, who tops the home run chart with 15 dingers. However, their overall team batting average is .226, which is among the lower ranks in the league.
Relief Pitching: Cincinnati's bullpen has been reliable, with a team ERA of 3.80, ranking 11th in the league. Key relievers like Alexis Diaz have provided stability in late-game situations.
Fielding: The Reds have committed 54 errors, ranking them tied-6th in the league. This indicates solid but occasionally shaky defense.
Starting Pitchers: Frankie Montas leads the rotation with a 4.19 ERA and a 4-6 record. His ability to strike out batters (62 strikeouts) will be crucial in this matchup.
Colorado Rockies
Hitting: The Rockies boast a slightly better team batting average of .243, ranking 17th. Brendan Rodgers leads the team with a .282 average, while Ryan McMahon contributes power with 14 home runs.
Relief Pitching: The Rockies' bullpen has struggled significantly, with an overall team ERA of 5.48, the worst in the league. This has been a major weakness throughout their season.
Fielding: Colorado's defense has been relatively better, committing 44 errors, which ranks them tied-22nd. However, their fielding has not been enough to compensate for their pitching woes.
Starting Pitchers: Kyle Freeland has had a tough season, reflected in his 6.62 ERA and 0-3 record. His performance will be critical in giving Colorado a fighting chance.
Team Injuries
Cincinnati Reds
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan India | 2B | Knee | Probable for Jul 10 |
Colorado Rockies
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Bryant | 1B | Oblique | Expected to be out until at least Jul 19 |
| German Marquez | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Jul 14 |
| Lucas Gilbreath | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Jul 30 |
Betting Trends
- The Reds are 51-40 against the spread this season.
- The Rockies are 42-49 against the spread this season.
- Cincinnati is 21-26 at home this season.
- Colorado is 12-32 on the road this season.
- The total has gone over in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games.
- The total has gone over in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games.
- The Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games against Colorado.
- The Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
- Colorado is 1-6 in their last 7 road games.
- Cincinnati is 3-2 in their last 5 home games.
Recent Games
Cincinnati Reds
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit | L 5-4 | Loss |
| Detroit | L 5-3 | Loss |
| Detroit | L 5-1 | Loss |
| Colorado | W 6-0 | Win |
| Colorado | L 7-5 | Loss |
Colorado Rockies
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee | W 4-3 | Win |
| Kansas City | W 4-2 | Win |
| Kansas City | W 3-1 | Win |
| Kansas City | L 10-1 | Loss |
| Cincinnati | L 6-0 | Loss |
Team Rankings
| Category | Cincinnati Reds | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 29th in Hits (668) | 13th in Hits (750) |
| Starting Pitching | 11th in ERA (3.80) | 30th in ERA (5.48) |
| Relief Pitching | 21 Saves (Tied-17th) | 18 Saves (Tied-25th) |
| Fielding | 54 Errors (Tied-6th) | 44 Errors (Tied-22nd) |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Reds have a 43-48 record overall.
- Colorado has a 32-59 record overall.
- The Reds are 21-26 at home.
- The Rockies are 12-32 on the road.
- Frankie Montas has a 4-6 record with a 4.19 ERA.
- Kyle Freeland has a 0-3 record with a 6.62 ERA.
- The Rockies have a team ERA of 5.48.
- The Reds have a team ERA of 3.80.
- Jonathan India leads the Reds with a .270 average.
- Brendan Rodgers leads the Rockies with a .282 average.
Weather
The weather forecast for the game at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio, is partly sunny with a high temperature of 87°F. For more detailed weather information, you can visit AccuWeather.
Prediction
Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline (-178)
The Cincinnati Reds are the clear favorites in this matchup. With Frankie Montas on the mound, the Reds have a significant pitching advantage over the struggling Kyle Freeland of the Rockies. Moreover, the Rockies' dismal road record and their league-worst team ERA make it hard to bet on them. Cincinnati's home-field advantage and better overall form further support the pick. Expect the Reds to secure a victory in this game.


