MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Reds vs Rays 7/28

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 28, 2024, 3:28:26 AM
MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Reds vs Rays 7/28
Photo Credit: © Jonathan Dyer-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Cincinnati Reds will face off against the Tampa Bay Rays on July 28 at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. The game is set to be an exciting matchup, with both teams currently battling for critical wins as the season progresses. The Reds come into this game with a record of 53-52, while the Rays hold a 50-54 record. Historically, these teams have had competitive matchups, often resulting in close games.
Recently, the Reds have shown a mix of performances, winning three of their last five games. Their pitching staff has been inconsistent, which has led to some high-scoring games. On the other hand, the Rays have had a more turbulent stretch, winning only two of their last five games. Injuries have plagued them, impacting their overall performance.
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Player Prop Odds
For today's game, we have some interesting player prop odds for Jose Caballero:
Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-145) / Under 0.5 (+105)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+270) / Under 0.5 (-400)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+175) / Under 0.5 (-240)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+120) / Under 0.5 (-165)
Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+230) / Under 0.5 (-340)
Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-145) / Under 0.5 (+105)
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Player Analysis: Jose Caballero
Jose Caballero has been a key player for the Reds this season, hitting .272 with 16 home runs and 55 RBIs. His recent form has been impressive, making him a crucial part of the Reds' lineup. Over the past 10 games, Caballero has been hitting .290, with multiple hits in several games. His ability to get on base and create scoring opportunities makes him a valuable asset for the Reds.
Opposing Analysis: Rays Pitching
The Rays' pitching staff has struggled this season, with an ERA of 3.83, ranking 12th in the league. Their bullpen has been inconsistent, often giving up runs late in games. Today's starting pitcher for the Rays, Hunter Greene, has a respectable 3.14 ERA but has been prone to giving up home runs. With Caballero's current form, he has a good chance of taking advantage of Greene's vulnerabilities.
Pitching Probables
Here are the probable starting pitchers for today’s game:
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Greene (Reds) | 7-4 | 3.14 | 133 |
| Shawn Armstrong (Rays) | 2-2 | 5.64 | 49 |
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Team Previews
Cincinnati Reds
The Reds have shown a solid combination of hitting and pitching this season. Their hitting ranks 23rd in hits and 27th in runs scored, with an average of .234. The bullpen has been a strong point, ranking 4th in saves. However, the starting pitchers have struggled with consistency.
Tampa Bay Rays
The Rays have had their struggles this season, especially with hitting, ranking 28th in hits and 15th in runs scored. Their team average is .230, which is among the lowest in the league. Relief pitching has been a mixed bag, with a 24th ranking in saves. Defense has also been a concern, with 65 errors, ranking 4th in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Burdick | RF | Undisclosed | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
| Luke Maile | C | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
| Richard Lovelady | RP | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
Recent Games
Cincinnati Reds
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Washington | 5-8 | L |
| @ Washington | 4-5 | L |
| @ Washington | 2-5 | L |
| @ Atlanta | 4-1 | W |
| @ Atlanta | 9-4 | W |
Tampa Bay Rays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ New York | 1-6 | L |
| @ New York | 9-1 | W |
| @ New York | 6-4 | W |
| @ New York | 1-9 | L |
| @ Toronto | 4-2 | W |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 0.5 Total Bases for Jose Caballero (-145)
Reasoning: Given Caballero's recent form and Hunter Greene's tendency to give up home runs, this prop bet offers good value. Caballero has been hitting consistently, and with the Rays' pitching struggles, he has a strong chance to record at least one total base in this game.
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