MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Reds vs Rays 7/28

MLB Player Props Betting Analysis: Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: July 28, 2023

Venue: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida

Photo Credit: © Matt Pendleton-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Cincinnati Reds head to Tropicana Field to face the Tampa Bay Rays on July 28, 2023. Both teams are looking to climb up the standings as the season progresses. The Reds, currently with a 53-52 overall record, have been performing slightly better on the road with a 25-24 record compared to their 28-28 home record. On the other hand, the Rays come in with a 50-54 overall record and have been struggling slightly at home with a 25-28 record.

The Reds are coming off a recent 3-2 win in extra innings against the Rays, showcasing their resilience and ability to perform under pressure. Meanwhile, the Rays responded with a strong 4-0 victory in their last game, showing their capacity to bounce back quickly. Historically, the Reds have had the upper hand in this series, but the Rays are known for their strong pitching and defensive play, making this a compelling matchup.

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Player Prop Odds

Jonathan India:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+380) / Under 0.5 (-650)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+245) / Under 0.5 (-360)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+115) / Under 0.5 (-155)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-105) / Under 0.5 (-125)

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Player Analysis

Jonathan India has been a key contributor for the Cincinnati Reds this season. Currently holding a .266 batting average, India has proven his consistency at the plate. He leads the team in home runs with 18 and has accumulated 64 RBIs, making him a critical player to watch in this matchup against the Rays.

India's ability to get on base and drive in runs will be crucial for the Reds. His over/under on doubles is set at 0.5, with favorable odds on the over at +380. Given his current form and the fact that he has been hitting well, this could be a valuable bet. Additionally, his over/under on RBIs and runs scored are also intriguing, with odds of +245 and +115 on the overs, respectively.

Opposing Analysis

The Tampa Bay Rays will counter with Shawn Armstrong on the mound. Armstrong has struggled this season, holding a 2-2 record with a 5.64 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP over 44.2 innings. His inconsistency could play into India's favor, especially given Armstrong's tendency to give up hits and runs.

Armstrong's performance against right-handed batters has been particularly concerning, with opponents hitting .280 against him. India's ability to hit for power and average makes him a formidable opponent for Armstrong, suggesting that India's player props, especially in terms of singles and RBIs, could be worthwhile bets.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Hunter Greene (CIN)	7-4	3.14	1.09	117.1	80	133	48	10
Shawn Armstrong (TB)	2-2	5.64	1.61	44.2	53	49	19	5

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Team Previews

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds have had a mixed season so far. Their offense ranks 27th in runs scored with 415 and 23rd in batting average at .234. However, they have shown resilience in close games. Their pitching staff, led by Hunter Greene, has been a strong point, with a team ERA of 4.15, ranking 20th in the league.

Relief pitching has also been a strength for the Reds, with 33 saves, tied for 4th in the league. Defensively, they have committed 54 errors, ranking 16th, which is an area they need to improve on to support their pitchers better.

Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays have struggled offensively, ranking 28th in hits with 775 and 28th in batting average at .230. However, they have managed to score a respectable 459 runs, ranking 15th. Their strength lies in their pitching, with a team ERA of 3.83, ranking 12th in the league.

Defensively, the Rays have committed 65 errors, ranking 4th, which has been a concern. Their relief pitching has been inconsistent, with only 22 saves, tied for 24th in the league. They will need a strong performance from their pitchers to contain the Reds' offense.

Team Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Peyton Burdick	RF	Sun, Jul 28	Undisclosed	Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
Luke Maile	C	Sun, Jul 28	Back	Expected to be out until at least Jul 28

Tampa Bay Rays

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Richard Lovelady	RP	Sun, Jul 28	Forearm	Expected to be out until at least Jul 28

Recent Games

Cincinnati Reds

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L	WIN	LOSS	SAVE	ATT
Fri, Jul 19	@ Washington	L8-5	47-51	Corbin 2-9	Montas 4-8	Finnegan 26	38402
Sat, Jul 20	@ Washington	L5-4	47-52	Law 6-2	Wilson 1-2	Finnegan 27	32734
Sun, Jul 21	@ Washington	L5-2	47-53	Garcia 2-3	Sims 1-4	Finnegan 28	23967
Mon, Jul 22	@ Atlanta	W4-1	48-53	Greene 7-4	Lopez 7-4	NaN	38779
Tue, Jul 23	@ Atlanta	Postponed	Postponed	Postponed	Postponed	Postponed	Postponed
Wed, Jul 24	@ Atlanta	W9-4	49-53	Moll 2-1	Winans 0-2	NaN	34407
Wed, Jul 24	@ Atlanta	Postponed	Postponed	Postponed	Postponed	Postponed	Postponed
Fri, Jul 26	@ Tampa Bay	W3-2 F/10	50-53	Martinez 4-5	Rodriguez 1-2	Diaz 20	20441
Sat, Jul 27	@ Tampa Bay	L4-0	50-54	Littell 4-7	Abbott 9-7	NaN	23464
Mon, Sep 9	@ Atlanta	Postponed	Postponed	Postponed	Postponed	Postponed	Postponed

Tampa Bay Rays

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L	WIN	LOSS	SAVE	ATT
Fri, Jul 19	@ New York	L6-1	48-49	Cole 3-1	Eflin 5-7	NaN	47036
Sat, Jul 20	@ New York	W9-1	49-49	Bradley 5-4	Cortes 4-9	NaN	43173
Sun, Jul 21	@ New York	W6-4	50-49	Cleavinger 6-2	Stroman 7-5	Fairbanks 18	45178
Mon, Jul 22	@ New York	L9-1	50-50	Rodon 10-7	Littell 3-7	NaN	40824
Tue, Jul 23	@ Toronto	W4-2	51-50	Alexander 3-3	Berrios 8-8	Fairbanks 19	38575
Wed, Jul 24	@ Toronto	L6-3	51-51	Cabrera 3-2	Adam 4-2	NaN	32276
Thu, Jul 25	@ Toronto	W13-0	52-51	Bradley 6-4	Bassitt 8-9	NaN	41148
Fri, Jul 26	vs Cincinnati	L3-2 F/10	52-52	Martinez