MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Red Sox vs Royals 7/13

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 12, 2024, 7:38:07 PM
MLB Moneyline Bets: Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals
Photo Credit: © Paul Rutherford-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Boston Red Sox will host the Kansas City Royals at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts, on July 13. The Red Sox, sitting with a 51-41 record, are looking to solidify their position in the AL East standings. The Royals, with a record of 51-43, aim to maintain their competitive edge in the AL Central.
The Red Sox have been formidable at home, but their road performance has been more impressive. They boast a stellar pitching lineup, with Kutter Crawford expected to take the mound. Crawford has shown consistency with a 3.24 ERA and a solid WHIP of 1.07. The Royals will counter with Seth Lugo, who has been exceptional this season with an 11-3 record and a league-leading 2.21 ERA.
This matchup promises to be a battle of pitching prowess. Both teams have had their ups and downs this season, but the Red Sox's offensive firepower, led by Rafael Devers, will be crucial. Devers leads the team in batting average (.289), home runs (21), and RBIs (58).
Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 9.5 |
| Boston Red Sox Spread | -1.5 (+100) |
| Kansas City Royals Spread | +1.5 (-120) |
| Boston Red Sox Moneyline | -125 |
| Kansas City Royals Moneyline | +115 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kutter Crawford (BOS) | 5-7 | 3.24 | 106 |
| Seth Lugo (KC) | 11-3 | 2.21 | 110 |
Team Previews
Boston Red Sox
Hitting: The Red Sox are tied 8th in hits (803) and 8th in batting average (.253). Rafael Devers leads the team with a .289 average, 21 home runs, and 58 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been effective with 25 saves, tied for 11th in the league.
Fielding: The team has struggled with fielding, committing 67 errors, the highest in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Kutter Crawford, with a 3.24 ERA and 106 strikeouts, has been a reliable starter.
Kansas City Royals
Hitting: The Royals are 14th in hits (771) and 11th in batting average (.247). Bobby Witt Jr. leads with a .325 average, while Salvador Perez has hit 16 home runs.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has 24 saves, tied for 13th. Seth Lugo has been a standout with his league-best 2.21 ERA.
Fielding: The Royals have committed 46 errors, tied for 19th in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Seth Lugo, with an 11-3 record and a 2.21 ERA, has been exceptional on the mound.
Team Injuries
Boston Red Sox
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Slaten | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
| Bryan Mata | RP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 19 |
Kansas City Royals
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Altavilla | RP | Oblique | Expected to be out until at least Sep 18 |
| Josh Taylor | RP | Biceps | Expected to be out until at least Jul 25 |
Betting Trends
- Red Sox are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
- Royals are 5-5 in their last 10 road games.
- Under is 7-3 in Red Sox last 10 games as a home favorite.
- Royals are 8-2 in their last 10 games with the total set at 9.5.
Recent Games
Boston Red Sox
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Oakland | W7-0 | W |
| vs Oakland | L5-2 | L |
| vs Oakland | W12-9 | W |
| @ New York | W3-0 | W |
| @ New York | L14-4 | L |
Kansas City Royals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Colorado | W10-1 | W |
| @ Colorado | L3-1 | L |
| @ Colorado | L4-2 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | L10-8 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | W4-2 | W |
Team Rankings
| Category | Boston Red Sox | Kansas City Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 8th | 14th |
| Starting Pitching | 5th | 10th |
| Relief Pitching | 11th | 13th |
| Fielding | 30th | 19th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Red Sox are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
- Royals are 5-5 in their last 10 road games.
- Under is 7-3 in Red Sox last 10 games as a home favorite.
- Royals are 8-2 in their last 10 games with the total set at 9.5.
- Red Sox are 15-6 against the spread in their last 21 games.
- Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Red Sox have a .289 batting average against right-handed pitchers.
- Royals have a .325 batting average against left-handed pitchers.
- Red Sox's bullpen has an ERA of 3.65, 5th best in the league.
- Royals' Seth Lugo has a 2.21 ERA, the best in the league.
Weather
The game day weather at Fenway Park is expected to be cloudy with a high temperature of 85°F. For more detailed weather information, visit AccuWeather.
Prediction
Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline (-125)
The Red Sox have a slight edge with their home-field advantage and a more balanced lineup. While Seth Lugo has been outstanding for the Royals, the Red Sox offense, led by Rafael Devers, should be able to generate enough runs to secure the victory. Additionally, Kutter Crawford has been reliable on the mound, and the Red Sox bullpen has been solid. Expect the Red Sox to come out on top in this matchup.


