MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Red Sox vs Royals - 7/12

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 11, 2024, 3:39:29 PM
MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals - 7/12
Read our expert moneyline pick for the Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals game tonight. Get the latest odds, betting trends, and in-depth team analysis.
Game Summary
The Boston Red Sox will face the Kansas City Royals on July 12 at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. The Red Sox, currently holding a record of 50-41, are looking to bolster their standings in the AL East. Despite their struggles at home with a 21-24 record, they are strong on the road. On the other hand, the Kansas City Royals, with a record of 51-43, have been formidable at home but less so on the road. This matchup will feature the Red Sox's versatile lineup against the Royals' balanced team.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Betting Line | Odds |
|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox Moneyline | +100 |
| Kansas City Royals Moneyline | -118 |
| Over/Under | 9.5 |
| Spread | Red Sox +1.5 (-150), Royals -1.5 (+130) |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 5-6 | 3.28 | 134 |
| Undecided (BOS) | -- | -- | -- |
Team Previews
Boston Red Sox
Hitting: The Red Sox rank 9th in hits with 793 and have a team batting average of .253, placing them 9th in the league. Rafael Devers is a key player, leading the team with a .292 average, 21 home runs, and 58 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: Their bullpen has been solid with 24 saves, ranking them tied for 12th. Their overall ERA stands at 3.69, which is the 6th best in the league.
Fielding: The Red Sox have made 67 errors this season, ranking them 1st in the league for fielding errors.
Starting Pitchers: The Red Sox's starting rotation has been competitive, with a collective ERA that keeps them in games.
Kansas City Royals
Hitting: The Royals have accumulated 771 hits, ranking 13th, with a team batting average of .247 (11th). Bobby Witt Jr. stands out with a .325 average and 62 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: Their bullpen has recorded 24 saves, tied for 12th, and they maintain a team ERA of 3.79, placing them 9th overall.
Fielding: The Royals have committed 46 errors, ranking them tied for 19th.
Starting Pitchers: Cole Ragans has been a bright spot, posting a 3.28 ERA with 134 strikeouts.
Team Injuries
Boston Red Sox
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vaughn Grissom | 2B | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
Kansas City Royals
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Altavilla | RP | Oblique | Expected to be out until at least Sep 18 |
| Josh Taylor | RP | Biceps | Expected to be out until at least Jul 25 |
Betting Trends
- The Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 games.
- The Royals are 3-4 in their last 7 games.
- The Red Sox have hit the over in 4 of their last 5 home games.
- The Royals have hit the under in 3 of their last 5 games.
Recent Games
Boston Red Sox
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ New York | W3-0 | W |
| @ New York | L14-4 | L |
| @ New York | W5-3 F/10 | W |
| @ Miami | W6-5 F/12 | W |
| @ Miami | W7-2 | W |
| @ Miami | W8-3 | W |
Kansas City Royals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Colorado | W10-1 | W |
| @ Colorado | L3-1 | L |
| @ Colorado | L4-2 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | L10-8 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | W4-2 | W |
| vs Tampa Bay | L5-1 | L |
Team Rankings
| Category | Boston Red Sox | Kansas City Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 9th | 13th |
| Starting Pitching | 6th | 9th |
| Relief Pitching | 12th | 12th |
| Fielding | 1st | 19th |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
- The Royals are 3-4 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 10 games at home.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games.
- The Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 games against AL Central opponents.
- The Royals are 4-3 in their last 7 games against AL East opponents.
- Cole Ragans has a 2.45 ERA in his last 5 starts.
- The Red Sox bullpen has a 3.69 ERA, 6th best in the league.
- The Royals have committed 46 errors, ranking them tied for 19th in fielding.
- The Red Sox have a team batting average of .253, 9th in the league.
Weather
Intermittent clouds with a temperature of 83°F are expected at Fenway Park during game time.
Prediction
Pick: Kansas City Royals moneyline (-118)
Cole Ragans has been in excellent form for the Royals, and their recent performance shows they're capable of winning on the road. The Red Sox have struggled at home this season, and with their starting pitcher still undecided, the Royals have the edge in this matchup. Given the stats and trends, the Royals are the safer bet here.
Standings
| Division | Team |
|---|---|
| East | Baltimore Orioles |
| East | New York Yankees |
| East | Boston Red Sox |
| East | Tampa Bay Rays |
| East | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Central | Cleveland Guardians |
| Central | Minnesota Twins |
| Central | Kansas City Royals |
| Central | Detroit Tigers |
| Central | Chicago White Sox |
| West | Seattle Mariners |
| West | Houston Astros |
| West | Texas Rangers |
| West | Los Angeles Angels |
| West | Oakland Athletics |
Starting Pitching Matchup
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Ragans | 5-6 | 3.28 | 1.17 | 109.2 | 91 | 134 | 37 | 8 |
| Undecided | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |


