MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers 7/21

 

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Game Summary

The Boston Red Sox will take on the Los Angeles Dodgers in an exciting MLB matchup at Dodger Stadium on July 21. Both teams are in strong form, with the Red Sox holding a 57-41 record and the Dodgers at 53-43. The matchup will feature two prominent pitchers: James Paxton for the Red Sox and Kutter Crawford for the Dodgers. Paxton has a 7-2 record with a 4.38 ERA, while Crawford stands at 6-7 with an impressive 3.04 ERA.

Boston's offense has been powerful, ranking 4th in runs scored with 483, and 5th in hits with 846. Los Angeles is not far behind, ranking 13th in runs with 447 and 7th in hits with 843. The game will be a test of both teams' pitching and hitting capabilities as they look to gain an edge in their respective standings.

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Odds and Betting Lines

Bet Type	Odds
Over/Under	8.5
Spread	Red Sox +1.5 (-110) / Dodgers -1.5 (-110)
Moneyline	Red Sox -104 / Dodgers -112

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Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
James Paxton (BOS)	7-2	4.38	1.45	84.1	78	57	44	10
Kutter Crawford (LAD)	6-7	3.04	1.04	112.2	88	110	29	14

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Team Previews

Boston Red Sox

Hitting: The Red Sox are hitting .253 as a team, ranking 8th in the league. Shohei Ohtani leads the team with a .316 batting average, 29 home runs, and 69 RBIs, making him a central figure in their offense.

Starting Pitching: James Paxton (7-2, 4.38 ERA) will take the mound, looking to bounce back from a few rough starts. The Red Sox's pitching staff holds a collective ERA of 3.73, ranking 8th in the league.

Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been reliable with 29 saves, ranking 6th in MLB. However, Paxton will need to go deep into the game to lessen the burden on the relievers.

Fielding: The team has committed 48 errors, placing them in the middle of the pack. Solid defense will be key to support their pitching in this matchup.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Hitting: The Dodgers boast a .255 team batting average, ranking 4th in MLB. Rafael Devers leads the team with a .294 average, 23 home runs, and 61 RBIs.

Starting Pitching: Kutter Crawford (6-7, 3.04 ERA) has been a revelation this season, providing stability to the Dodgers' rotation. His ability to limit walks and keep hitters off-balance will be crucial.

Relief Pitching: The bullpen has 26 saves, ranking 10th. With a collective ERA of 3.65, the Dodgers' relievers will need to maintain their form against a potent Red Sox lineup.

Fielding: The Dodgers have committed 67 errors, the highest in the league. Improved defensive play will be necessary to complement their strong pitching.

Team Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Vaughn Grissom	2B	Hamstring	Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
Triston Casas	1B	Ribs	Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

Los Angeles Dodgers

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Connor Brogdon	RP	Foot	Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
Michael Grove	RP	Ribs	Expected to be out until at least Jul 20

Betting Trends

• Red Sox are 9-3 in their last 12 games as an underdog.
• Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
• Under is 4-1 in Red Sox’s last 5 overall.
• Over is 6-2 in Dodgers’ last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Red Sox are 7-3 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series.

Recent Games

Boston Red Sox

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Los Angeles	1-4	L
@ Los Angeles	7:15 PM	Pending
@ Los Angeles	7:00 PM	Pending
@ Colorado	8:40 PM	Pending
@ Colorado	8:40 PM	Pending

Los Angeles Dodgers

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Boston	4-1	W
vs Boston	7:15 PM	Pending
vs Boston	7:00 PM	Pending
vs San Francisco	10:10 PM	Pending
vs San Francisco	10:10 PM	Pending

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Team Rankings

Category	Boston Red Sox	Los Angeles Dodgers
Hitting	8th	4th
Starting Pitching	8th	5th
Relief Pitching	6th	10th
Fielding	19th	1st

Significant Betting Stats

• Red Sox are 21-9 in their last 30 games against a right-handed starter.
• Red Sox are 13-3 in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .500.
• Dodgers are 12-5 in their last 17 games as a home favorite.
• Under is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Over is 7-3 in Dodgers last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• Red Sox are 17-5 in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
• Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win.
• Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a day off.
• Over is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Weather

Sunny with a temperature of 88°F. Check AccuWeather for more details.

Prediction

The Los Angeles Dodgers have the edge in starting pitching with Kutter Crawford on the mound, who has been consistently effective this season. Their offensive lineup, led by Rafael Devers, should provide enough firepower to support Crawford. The Red Sox have struggled against right-handed pitching recently, and with the Dodgers playing at home, they are in a strong position to secure the win.

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