MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Red Sox vs Dodgers - 7/19
- Kingpin
- Jul 18, 2024, 7:17:54 PM
MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers - 7/19
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Game Summary
The Boston Red Sox will face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers on July 19 at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California. This interleague matchup brings together two storied franchises with rich histories and current aspirations. The Red Sox, boasting a 56-41 record, are currently third in the AL East. They have been strong both at home (28-19) and on the road (28-22), showing versatility and resilience throughout the season. The Dodgers, with a 53-42 record, are holding their own in the highly competitive NL West. Despite a subpar home record (24-25), their road performance (29-17) has kept them in contention.
The pitching matchup for this game is intriguing. Nick Pivetta (4-6, 4.18 ERA) is slated to start for the Red Sox. Pivetta has shown flashes of brilliance but has struggled with consistency. The Dodgers have yet to announce their starting pitcher, leaving a bit of uncertainty in their rotation. Both teams have potent offenses; the Red Sox rank 3rd in runs scored (479) and 4th in hits (842), while the Dodgers are 12th in runs scored (446) and 7th in hits (834). Fielding could be a differentiator, as the Red Sox have committed 48 errors (T-18th), whereas the Dodgers have 68 errors, placing them first in the league for most errors committed.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Betting Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 9 |
| Red Sox Spread | +1.5 (-110) |
| Dodgers Spread | -1.5 (-110) |
| Red Sox Moneyline | +116 |
| Dodgers Moneyline | -136 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Pivetta (BOS) | 4-6 | 4.18 | 1.14 | 75.1 | 66 | 88 | 20 | 13 |
| Undecided (LAD) | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
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Team Previews
Boston Red Sox
Hitting: The Red Sox boast a strong offense, ranking 4th in hits (842) and 3rd in runs (479). Rafael Devers leads the team with a .295 batting average, 23 home runs, and 61 RBIs. The team’s balanced attack has been a key factor in their success.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been relatively solid, with 28 saves (7th in MLB) and a collective ERA of 3.76 (8th in MLB). Closer Kenley Jansen has been reliable, and the setup men have done well to bridge the gap from the starters to the closer.
Fielding: Boston’s defense has committed 48 errors, ranking them 18th in the league. While not elite, they have been competent enough to support their pitching staff effectively.
Starting Pitchers: The rotation has been led by solid outings from several pitchers, including Nick Pivetta. However, their overall consistency has been a concern with a few high ERA outings impacting their rank.
Los Angeles Dodgers
Hitting: The Dodgers have a potent lineup that ranks 7th in hits (834) and 12th in runs (446). They have several key contributors, including Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman, who provide both power and average.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been up and down, with 26 saves (tied for 9th) and an ERA of 3.61 (5th in MLB). Their ability to lock down games late has been crucial in close matchups.
Fielding: Fielding has been a significant issue, with the Dodgers committing 68 errors, more than any other team. This has often put extra pressure on their pitchers.
Starting Pitchers: The starting rotation has been a strength, even with some injuries. They have managed to maintain a steady ERA, and their depth has been an asset throughout the season.
Team Injuries
Boston Red Sox
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Triston Casas | 1B | Ribs | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
Los Angeles Dodgers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | SP | Triceps | Expected to be out until at least Aug 21 |
Betting Trends
- Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 games on the road.
- Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Dodgers are 2-5 in their last 7 home games.
- Dodgers are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Toronto Blue Jays | 5-4 | W |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 3-2 | W |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 7-6 | L |
| New York Yankees | 4-3 | W |
| New York Yankees | 6-5 | L |
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants | 3-2 | W |
| San Francisco Giants | 5-4 | L |
| San Francisco Giants | 6-3 | W |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 4-2 | W |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 7-1 | L |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Boston Red Sox Rank | Los Angeles Dodgers Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4th | 7th |
| Starting Pitching | 8th (ERA: 3.76) | 5th (ERA: 3.61) |
| Relief Pitching | 7th (Saves: 28) | 9th (Saves: 26) |
| Fielding | 18th (Errors: 48) | 1st (Errors: 68) |
Significant Betting Stats
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss.
- Red Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 games as an underdog.
- Dodgers are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games following a win.
- Under is 6-1 in Dodgers last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 3-7 in their last 10 interleague games as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 8-3 in their last 11 interleague games.
- Under is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 home games.
Weather
The weather for the game at Dodger Stadium is expected to be mostly sunny with a temperature of 83°F. This should provide ideal conditions for a great game of baseball. Weather Link
Prediction
Given the current form and the betting trends, the Boston Red Sox +1.5 looks like a strong pick. The Red Sox have shown resilience on the road and have performed well as underdogs. Additionally, the Dodgers have struggled in recent home games and against teams with winning records. The uncertainty in the Dodgers' starting pitcher also plays into the Red Sox's favor. Expect a close game, but the Red Sox should have enough to at least cover the spread.
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