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MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Rays vs Yankees 7/21

MLB Player Props Best Bets: Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees
Photo Credit: © Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
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Game Summary
The Tampa Bay Rays, sitting at 49-49 and fourth in the AL East, are set to face off against the New York Yankees, who hold a 59-41 record and are second in the AL East. This game, scheduled for Sunday at 1:35 p.m. EDT at Yankee Stadium, marks the 12th meeting between these two teams this season, with the Yankees leading the series 6-5. In their last encounter on Saturday, the Rays' Randy Arozarena shone brightly with a stellar four-hit game against the Yankees.
New York has been formidable at home with a 26-20 record and a total of 140 home runs, ranking second in the AL. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay has maintained a balanced performance both on the road and overall, with a 22-22 record in away games. Notably, the Rays excel when out-hitting their opponents, boasting a 33-7 record in such scenarios. The Yankees' power hitters, like Aaron Judge who has 34 home runs, will be key players to watch in this matchup.
On the pitching front, the Rays will start Shane Baz, who has a 5.23 ERA and 11 strikeouts, while the Yankees will counter with Marcus Stroman, who holds a 3.60 ERA and 78 strikeouts. Both teams have shown consistent performance over their last 10 games, making this an exciting and unpredictable matchup.
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Odds and Betting Lines
Here are the current odds for the game:
- Moneyline: Yankees -157, Rays +132
- Over/Under: 8.5 runs
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | Team | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Baz | Tampa Bay Rays | 0-1 | 5.23 | 11 | 1.45 |
| Marcus Stroman | New York Yankees | 7-4 | 3.60 | 78 | 1.33 |
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Team Previews
Tampa Bay Rays
Hitting: The Rays have been moderately successful at the plate, ranking 12th in total hits with 820 and 13th in batting average at .246. Isaac Paredes has been a standout, leading the team with 16 home runs and a .460 slugging percentage. Over the last 10 games, Randy Arozarena has been exceptional, hitting .324 with three home runs and five RBIs.
Relief Pitching: Tampa Bay’s bullpen has been solid, ranking 9th in saves with 27 and boasting a team ERA of 3.57, which is 4th in the league.
Fielding: The Rays have committed 58 errors, ranking 8th in the league, indicating a relatively strong defensive presence.
Starting Pitchers: Shane Baz, with a 5.23 ERA, will need to improve his performance against the Yankees' potent lineup. However, the Rays' starting rotation has been reliable overall.
New York Yankees
Hitting: The Yankees are one of the most powerful teams in the league, ranking 2nd in home runs with 140. Aaron Judge is leading the charge with 34 home runs and 86 RBIs, batting .307. Juan Soto has also been in excellent form, going 14-for-43 with two home runs in the last 10 games.
Relief Pitching: New York’s bullpen has been effective, ranking 4th in saves with 31. However, their ERA of 4.18 ranks 21st, indicating some inconsistency.
Fielding: The Yankees have committed 50 errors, ranking 18th, which shows room for improvement in defense.
Starting Pitchers: Marcus Stroman has been a reliable starter, with a 3.60 ERA and 78 strikeouts. He will be crucial in stifling the Rays' offense.
Team Injuries
Tampa Bay Rays
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Lovelady | RP | Forearm | 15-Day IL |
| Jacob Waguespack | SP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Jeffrey Springs | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Drew Rasmussen | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Shane McClanahan | SP | Forearm | 60-Day IL |
New York Yankees
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Trevino | C | Quadricep | 10-Day IL |
| Nick Burdi | RP | Hip | 60-Day IL |
| Giancarlo Stanton | DH | Hamstring | 10-Day IL |
| Anthony Rizzo | 1B | Wrist | 60-Day IL |
| Clarke Schmidt | SP | Lat | 60-Day IL |
| Cody Poteet | SP | Triceps | 15-Day IL |
| Ian Hamilton | RP | Lat | 15-Day IL |
| Jon Berti | 2B | Calf | 60-Day IL |
| Jonathan Loaisiga | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| JT Brubaker | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Lou Trivino | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
Tampa Bay Rays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | W 9-1 | W |
| New York Yankees | L 6-1 | L |
| Atlanta Braves | W 4-3 | W |
| Atlanta Braves | L 2-1 | L |
| Atlanta Braves | L 5-4 | L |
New York Yankees
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays | L 9-1 | L |
| Tampa Bay Rays | W 6-1 | W |
| Kansas City Royals | W 5-2 | W |
| Kansas City Royals | W 7-1 | W |
| Kansas City Royals | L 3-2 | L |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Tampa Bay Rays | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 12th | 24th |
| Starting Pitching | 4th | 21st |
| Relief Pitching | 9th | 4th |
| Fielding | 8th | 18th |
Prediction
Pick: Isaac Paredes to hit Over 0.5 home runs (+390)
Isaac Paredes has been a consistent power hitter for the Tampa Bay Rays this season, leading the team with 16 home runs. Given the Yankees' starting pitcher Marcus Stroman's occasional vulnerability to home runs, Paredes stands a good chance of adding to his tally. Additionally, Paredes' recent form, combined with the favorable odds of +390, makes this a valuable prop bet for the game.
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