MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Orioles vs Marlins 7/25
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MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Orioles vs Marlins 7/25

MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Orioles vs Marlins 7/25

MLB Player Props Matchups: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins

Photo Credit: © Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Baltimore Orioles (60-41, first in the AL East) look to break their three-game road losing streak as they take on the Miami Marlins (37-65, fifth in the NL East) at loanDepot park in Miami on Thursday, July 25, 2024, at 12:10 p.m. EDT. The Orioles are coming off a disappointing stretch, having gone 3-7 in their last 10 games with a team batting average of .228 and a 4.86 ERA. Conversely, the Marlins have shown signs of life, going 5-5 in their last 10 games while achieving a .287 team batting average and a 4.14 ERA.

The Marlins have a better record at home with a 22-33 mark, compared to their overall record. They tend to perform well when they out-hit their opponents, showcased by their 27-12 record in such games. Baltimore, on the other hand, has a solid 30-19 road record and boasts the seventh-best team batting average in the MLB at .252. This will be the third matchup between these teams this season, adding another layer of intrigue to an already compelling contest.

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Player Prop Odds

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  • Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-160)
  • Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+280)
  • Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+190)
  • Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-110)
  • Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+390)
  • Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+200)

Player Analysis

Xavier Edwards has been a hot hand for the Marlins, going 14-for-33 with a double over the last 10 games. His .424 batting average over this stretch has been a bright spot in the Marlins' lineup. Edwards has shown an ability to get on base and create scoring opportunities, making him a key player to watch in this matchup against the Orioles.

Opposing Analysis

Baltimore's pitching staff has struggled recently, allowing a 4.86 ERA over their last 10 games. Corbin Burnes (10-4, 2.38 ERA) will be on the mound for the Orioles, and while he has been exceptional this season, the rest of the bullpen hasn't been able to hold leads effectively. Edwards will look to exploit these weaknesses, especially in the latter innings when Baltimore's relievers come into play.

Pitching Probables

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  • Corbin Burnes (BAL): 10-4, 2.38 ERA, 116 Strikeouts
  • Roddery Munoz (MIA): 1-5, 5.14 ERA, 47 Strikeouts

Team Previews

Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles have been strong offensively, ranking seventh in team batting average at .252. They have several key contributors like Gunnar Henderson, who leads the team with a .285 batting average, 28 home runs, and 66 RBIs. Anthony Santander has also been impactful, hitting four home runs in the past 10 games. However, their pitching has been suspect, with a team ERA of 4.49, ranking 26th in the league.

Miami Marlins

The Marlins, despite their poor overall record, have shown flashes of potential. They rank ninth in team batting average at .252 and fifth in runs scored. Jazz Chisholm has been a standout performer with 13 home runs and 49 RBIs. However, the Marlins' pitching has been inconsistent, with Roddery Munoz struggling with a 5.14 ERA. Their bullpen has been slightly better, holding a respectable ERA of 4.14 over the last 10 games.

Team Injuries

Player Position Injury Status
Jorge Mateo 2B Elbow Day-to-day
Albert Suarez RP Shin Day-to-day
Danny Coulombe RP Elbow 60-Day IL
Kyle Bradish SP UCL Sprain 60-Day IL
Tyler Wells SP Elbow 60-Day IL
John Means SP Elbow 60-Day IL
Felix Bautista RP Elbow 60-Day IL

Player Position Injury Status
Dane Myers RP Ankle 10-Day IL
Ryan Weathers SP Finger 60-Day IL
Sixto Sanchez SP Shoulder 60-Day IL
Braxton Garrett SP Elbow 15-Day IL
Jesus Luzardo SP Back 60-Day IL
Josh Simpson RP Elbow 60-Day IL
Eury Perez SP Elbow 60-Day IL
Sandy Alcantara SP Elbow 60-Day IL

Recent Games

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Baltimore Orioles

Date Opponent Score Result
Fri, Jul 19 @ Texas W 9-1 Win
Sat, Jul 20 @ Texas W 8-4 Win
Sun, Jul 21 @ Texas L 3-2 Loss
Tue, Jul 23 @ Miami L 6-3 Loss
Wed, Jul 24 @ Miami L 6-3 Loss

Miami Marlins

Date Opponent Score Result
Fri, Jul 19 vs New York W 6-4 Win
Sat, Jul 20 vs New York L 1-0 Loss
Sun, Jul 21 vs New York W 4-2 Win
Mon, Jul 22 vs New York L 6-4 Loss
Tue, Jul 23 vs Baltimore W 6-3 Win

Prediction

Pick: Over 0.5 Hits (-160)

Xavier Edwards has been on a tear recently, going 14-for-33 in his last 10 games. With Baltimore's bullpen struggling and Edwards' hot streak, it's a favorable matchup for him to get at least one hit. The odds at -160 for over 0.5 hits make it a solid pick for today's game.

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Winnings $78,844
last 30 days winnings ($5,187)
Yesterday winnings ($252)
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last 30 days winnings $0
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W-L-D 1786 - 1741 - 144
Winnings % 48%