MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Nationals vs Cardinals 7/28

MLB Player Props Bets: Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals

Photo Credit: © Jeff Le-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Washington Nationals (49-56) will face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (53-51) at Busch Stadium on Sunday, July 28, 2024, at 2:15 p.m. EDT. This matchup is set to be an intriguing one as both teams are looking to improve their standings in their respective divisions. The Nationals are currently fourth in the NL East, while the Cardinals hold the second spot in the NL Central.

The Nationals are coming off two consecutive wins against the Cardinals, including a massive 14-3 victory on Saturday where James Wood had an impressive four-hit performance. The Cardinals, on the other hand, have been struggling at home with a record of 26-24, while the Nationals have shown some promise on the road with a 26-29 record.

In past matchups this season, the series is tied at 3-3, making this game a crucial one for both teams. Key players for the Nationals include C.J. Abrams, who has been a standout with 21 doubles, six triples, and 15 home runs. The Cardinals will be looking towards Nolan Gorman, who leads the team with 19 home runs, and Masyn Winn, who has been productive recently with two triples, two home runs, and four RBIs over the last 10 games.

Both teams have had mixed results in their last 10 games, with the Nationals going 6-4 and the Cardinals 4-6. The pitching matchup will feature DJ Herz for the Nationals and Miles Mikolas for the Cardinals. Herz has a 1-4 record with a 4.95 ERA, while Mikolas stands at 8-8 with a 5.02 ERA.

Scan to Download the iOS App

Scan to Download the Android App

Player Prop Odds

Get real-time odds and tips! Join KingPin on iOS or Android.

Nolan Arenado Prop Odds:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+310), Under 0.5 (-475)
• Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+400), Under 0.5 (-700)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+130), Under 0.5 (-175)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+105), Under 0.5 (-145)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-110), Under 0.5 (-120)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+100), Under 1.5 (-140)

Player Analysis

Nolan Arenado has been a cornerstone for the St. Louis Cardinals this season. He’s been consistent at the plate, showcasing his ability to hit for power and average. Arenado currently holds a .280 batting average with 15 home runs and 50 RBIs. His on-base and slugging percentages have been solid, contributing significantly to the Cardinals’ offense.

In the last 10 games, Arenado has maintained his form, providing key hits and driving in runs when needed. His experience and skill make him a threat in any lineup, and he’s known for his clutch performances. Given his ability to produce extra-base hits, the prop bet on his total bases and RBIs could be a valuable pick for bettors.

Opposing Analysis

The Washington Nationals will be sending DJ Herz to the mound, a pitcher who has struggled this season with a 1-4 record and a 4.95 ERA. The Nationals’ pitching staff has been inconsistent, which could play into Arenado’s favor. In particular, Herz has allowed 45 hits and 11 walks in 36.1 innings pitched, giving Arenado opportunities to capitalize on any mistakes.

Furthermore, the Nationals’ bullpen has not been overly impressive, which could mean more scoring opportunities for Arenado later in the game. With the Cardinals looking to bounce back from recent losses, Arenado will be a key player to watch.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
DJ Herz (WAS)	1-4	4.95	1.40	36.1	40	45	11	8
Miles Mikolas (STL)	8-8	5.02	1.23	118.1	126	80	19	18

Team Previews

Washington Nationals

The Nationals have been performing below expectations this season, with a 49-56 record. Their batting average sits at .245, ranking them 14th in the league, and they have a league-high of 37 saves, indicating a strong bullpen presence. However, their ERA of 4.00 suggests some inconsistencies in their pitching staff. Defensively, they have committed 46 errors, ranking them 26th, which could be a factor in their overall performance.

St. Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals, with a 53-51 record, are looking to solidify their standing in the NL Central. They have a team batting average of .237 and have scored 433 runs this season. Their pitching staff has struggled, reflected in their 4.22 ERA, and their defense has committed 59 errors, ranking them 9th in the league. The Cardinals’ ability to get on base with a .309 OBP will be crucial in this matchup.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Jordan Weems	RP	Shin	15-Day IL
Josiah Gray	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Joey Gallo	OF	Hamstring	10-Day IL
Trevor Williams	SP	Shoulder	15-Day IL
Cade Cavalli	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Mason Thompson	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Steven Matz	SP	Back	60-Day IL
Keynan Middleton	RP	Forearm	60-Day IL
Nick Robertson	RP	Elbow	15-Day IL
Riley O'Brien	RP	Forearm	60-Day IL
Tommy Edman	2B	Wrist	60-Day IL
Drew Rom	SP	Biceps	60-Day IL

Recent Games

Stay updated on team performance. Join KingPin on iOS or Android.

Washington Nationals

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ St. Louis	14-3	W
@ St. Louis	10-8	W
vs San Diego	3-0	L
vs San Diego	12-3	L
vs San Diego	4-0	L

St. Louis Cardinals

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Washington	3-14	L
vs Washington	8-10	L
@ Pittsburgh	0-5	L
@ Pittsburgh	2-1	W
@ Pittsburgh	1-2	L

Prediction

Considering the recent form of the Cardinals and Nolan Arenado's consistency, the player prop bet for Arenado to get over 1.5 total bases at +100 seems like a value pick. DJ Herz's struggles on the mound combined with Arenado's ability to capitalize on pitching mistakes make this a favorable bet.

Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100)

Get more expert picks!

Scan to Download the iOS App

Scan to Download the Android App