MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/27

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 26, 2024, 11:39:45 PM
MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/27
Photo Credit: nan
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Game Summary
The Miami Marlins head to American Family Field in Milwaukee to take on the Brewers in what promises to be an intriguing matchup. The Marlins, with a record of 59-44, have shown strong performances both at home and on the road this season. On the other hand, the Brewers, struggling with a 38-66 record, will be looking to turn their fortunes around in front of their home crowd. This game will feature an interesting pitching duel between Aaron Civale for the Marlins and Max Meyer for the Brewers.
The Marlins have been solid offensively, ranking 7th in hits and 8th in runs in the league. Their pitching has also been strong, with a team ERA of 3.74, which ranks 8th. The Brewers, however, have struggled both offensively and defensively, ranking 29th in runs and 25th in ERA. Despite their struggles, the Brewers will aim to leverage their home-field advantage to secure a win.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| Miami Marlins Spread +1.5 | -130 |
| Milwaukee Brewers Spread -1.5 | +110 |
| Miami Marlins Moneyline | +136 |
| Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline | -162 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Meyer (MIL) | 2-0 | 2.12 | 0.82 | 17.0 | 11 | 14 | 3 | 2 |
| Aaron Civale (MIA) | 2-7 | 5.17 | 1.40 | 102.2 | 108 | 102 | 36 | 21 |
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Team Previews
Miami Marlins
Hitting: The Marlins have been impressive with the bat, ranking 7th in the league in hits (883) and 8th in runs (487), while maintaining a solid team batting average of .254 (6th). William Contreras leads the team with a .286 batting average. Additionally, Willy Adames has been their power hitter with 16 home runs and 68 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Marlins' bullpen has been reliable, securing 35 saves (3rd in the league). The team's overall ERA stands at a commendable 3.74, ranking 8th in the league.
Fielding: The Marlins have committed 54 errors this season, which ties them for 14th in the league. They will need to tighten up their defense to support their pitchers.
Starting Pitchers: Aaron Civale has had a rough season with a 2-7 record and a 5.17 ERA. He will need to find his form to give the Marlins a chance against the Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers
Hitting: The Brewers have struggled offensively, ranking 29th in runs (368) and 17th in hits (820). Their team batting average is .236 (20th). Jazz Chisholm Jr. leads the team with a .249 batting average, while Bryan De La Cruz has provided some power with 18 home runs and 50 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Brewers' bullpen has been less effective, recording only 20 saves (27th in the league). Their team ERA is 4.50, which ranks 25th.
Fielding: The Brewers have committed 74 errors this season, tying them for the most in the league. This has been a significant factor in their struggles.
Starting Pitchers: Max Meyer has been a bright spot for the Brewers with a 2-0 record and a 2.12 ERA. He will be looking to build on his strong start to the season.
Team Injuries
Miami Marlins
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eury Perez | SP | Elbow | Out for the season |
| Josh Simpson | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Zastryzny | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
| Devin Williams | RP | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
Betting Trends
- The Marlins are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
- The Brewers are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
- The Marlins have a 29-18 record at home this season.
- The Brewers have a 22-34 record at home this season.
- The Marlins have hit the Over in 5 of their last 7 games.
- The Brewers have hit the Under in 4 of their last 6 games.
- The Marlins are 5-2 in their last 7 games against right-handed starters.
- The Brewers are 2-5 in their last 7 games against right-handed starters.
- The Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 Friday games.
- The Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 Friday games.
Recent Games
| Miami Marlins | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs New York | W 6-4 | 34-63 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs New York | L 1-0 | 34-64 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs New York | W 4-2 | 35-64 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs New York | L 6-4 | 35-65 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Baltimore | W 6-3 | 36-65 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Minnesota | W 8-4 F/12 | 56-42 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Minnesota | W 8-7 | 57-42 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Chicago | L 3-1 | 57-43 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Chicago | W 1-0 | 58-43 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Chicago | W 3-2 | 59-43 |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Miami Marlins | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 7th | 17th |
| Starting Pitching | 8th | 25th |
| Relief Pitching | 3rd | 27th |
| Fielding | 14th | 1st |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Marlins are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
- The Brewers are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
- The Marlins have a 29-18 record at home this season.
- The Brewers have a 22-34 record at home this season.
- The Marlins have hit the Over in 5 of their last 7 games.
- The Brewers have hit the Under in 4 of their last 6 games.
- The Marlins are 5-2 in their last 7 games against right-handed starters.
- The Brewers are 2-5 in their last 7 games against right-handed starters.
- The Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 Friday games.
- The Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 Friday games.
Weather
The weather for the game at American Family Field is expected to be mostly cloudy with thunderstorms, with a high temperature of 85°F.
Prediction
Given the current form and statistical analysis, the Miami Marlins have the upper hand in this matchup. Their strong offensive performance combined with the Brewers' struggles on both sides of the ball makes the Marlins a favorable pick. Additionally, the Brewers' poor home record further supports this conclusion. Aaron Civale, despite his struggles this season, has the potential to outduel Max Meyer, who is still relatively unproven.
Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline
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