MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/27
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MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/27

MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/27

MLB Player Props Best Bets: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers

Photo Credit: © Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Miami Marlins (38-66, fifth in the NL East) will face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (59-44, first in the NL Central) on Saturday, July 27, 2024, at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. The game is set to start at 7:10 PM EDT.

The Brewers are looking to bounce back after losing the first game of the series 6-2 to the Marlins. Milwaukee has a strong home record of 29-18 and an overall record of 59-44. They have excelled when recording eight or more hits, boasting a 44-16 record in such games.

On the other hand, the Marlins have struggled on the road with a 16-32 record and an overall record of 38-66. However, they have shown promise when out-hitting their opponents, holding a 28-12 record in those games. The Marlins lead the season series 3-1 against the Brewers.

Top performers for the Brewers include William Contreras, who has 26 doubles, a triple, and 11 home runs, and Jackson Chourio, who is 13-for-42 with four doubles and a home run over the last 10 games. For the Marlins, Bryan De La Cruz leads the team with 18 home runs and a .417 slugging percentage, while Xavier Edwards is 14-for-33 with six RBIs over the past 10 games.

In their last 10 games, the Brewers have gone 5-5 with a .223 batting average and a 3.13 ERA, outscoring their opponents by two runs. The Marlins, on the other hand, have gone 6-4 with a .279 batting average and a 3.70 ERA, outscoring their opponents by seven runs.

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Player Prop Odds

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For Willy Adames:

  • Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+400)
  • Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-180)
  • Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+450)
  • Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+160), Under 0.5 (-225)
  • Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+125), Under 0.5 (-165)
  • Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+110)
  • Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+145), Under 1.5 (-190)

Player Analysis

Willy Adames has been a key contributor for the Brewers this season. With a batting average of .249, 16 home runs, and 68 RBIs, Adames has shown a consistent ability to produce runs. His power at the plate makes him a threat for extra-base hits and home runs, as evidenced by his 26 doubles and his impressive slugging percentage.

Adames has been particularly effective in clutch situations, often coming through with crucial hits to drive in runs. His recent form has been solid, and he has the potential to make a significant impact in this game against the Marlins.

Opposing Analysis

The Marlins' probable starter, Max Meyer, has been impressive in his limited appearances. He holds a 2-0 record with a 2.12 ERA and a 0.82 WHIP over 17 innings pitched. Meyer's ability to keep hitters off balance and limit base runners makes him a challenging opponent for any batter.

However, the Brewers' lineup, with Adames as a key piece, has the capability to challenge Meyer. The Marlins' bullpen, while having some strong performers, has been inconsistent, which could provide opportunities for Adames to capitalize later in the game.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR
Max Meyer (MIA) 2-0 2.12 0.82 17.0 11 14 3 2
Aaron Civale (MIL) 2-7 5.00 1.39 102.2 107 102 36 21

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Team Previews

Miami Marlins

The Marlins have struggled this season, particularly on the road. Offensively, they rank 17th in hits (831) and 29th in runs scored (374). Their team batting average stands at .236, placing them 20th in the league. Despite their offensive struggles, they have a solid bullpen, ranking 3rd in saves with 35.

Defensively, the Marlins have committed 55 errors, tied for 14th in the league. Their starting pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.48, ranking 25th. The Marlins will need a strong performance from their starter, Max Meyer, to give them a chance against the Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers have been one of the better teams in the NL Central this season. Offensively, they rank 7th in hits (890) and 8th in runs scored (489). Their team batting average of .254 ranks 6th in the league. The Brewers' bullpen has been reliable, with 20 saves, tied for 27th in MLB.

Defensively, the Brewers have committed 75 errors, the most in the league. Their starting pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.72, ranking 6th. Aaron Civale will need to deliver a solid outing to support the Brewers' strong offense.

Team Injuries

Miami Marlins

Player Position Injury Status
Dane Myers SP 10-Day IL (ankle)
Ryan Weathers RP 60-Day IL (finger)
Sixto Sanchez SP 60-Day IL (shoulder)
Braxton Garrett RP 15-Day IL (elbow)
Jesus Luzardo RP 60-Day IL (back)
Josh Simpson RP 60-Day IL (elbow)
Eury Perez SP 60-Day IL (elbow)
Sandy Alcantara SP 60-Day IL (elbow)

Milwaukee Brewers

Player Position Injury Status
Rob Zastryzny RP 15-Day IL (elbow)
Christian Yelich LF 10-Day IL (back)
Oliver Dunn 2B 60-Day IL (back)
Enoli Paredes RP 15-Day IL (forearm)
Robert Gasser SP 60-Day IL (flexor)
D.L. Hall RP 60-Day IL (knee)
Joe Ross SP 15-Day IL (back)
J.B. Bukauskas RP 60-Day IL (lat)
Wade Miley SP 60-Day IL (elbow)
Devin Williams RP 60-Day IL (back)
Brandon Woodruff SP 60-Day IL (elbow)

Recent Games

Miami Marlins

Opponent Score W/L
vs New York 6-4 W
vs New York 0-1 L
vs New York 4-2 W
vs New York 4-6 L
vs Baltimore 6-3 W

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Milwaukee Brewers

Opponent Score W/L
@ Minnesota 8-4 W
@ Minnesota 8-7 W
@ Chicago 1-3 L
@ Chicago 1-0 W
@ Chicago 3-2 W

Prediction

Pick: Over 0.5 hits for Willy Adames (-180)

Willy Adames has been a consistent hitter for the Brewers, and given the favorable odds, betting on him to get at least one hit seems like a solid choice. Despite facing a tough pitcher in Max Meyer, Adames' ability to come through in clutch situations and his recent form make this a strong bet.

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