MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/27

MLB Player Props Picks Today: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/27

Photo Credit: © Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Miami Marlins will face off against the Milwaukee Brewers in the second game of their series at American Family Field on Saturday, July 27, 2024, at 7:10 PM EDT. The Marlins took the first game of the series with a convincing 6-2 victory. The Brewers, who lead the NL Central, will look to bounce back and even the series. Historically, the Marlins have had the upper hand this season, leading the series 3-1.

The Brewers come into this game with a strong home record of 29-18 and an overall record of 59-44. They have been particularly effective when they manage to record eight or more hits, boasting a 44-16 record in such games. Conversely, the Marlins have struggled on the road with a 16-32 record and an overall record of 38-66. However, they have shown a knack for out-hitting their opponents, going 28-12 when they record more hits.

Milwaukee's William Contreras has been a standout performer, leading the team with 26 doubles, a triple, and 11 home runs. His recent form has been impressive, going 13-for-42 with four doubles and a home run over the last 10 games. The Marlins' Bryan De La Cruz has also been in fine form, leading his team with 18 home runs and a .417 slugging percentage. Xavier Edwards has contributed significantly as well, going 14-for-33 with six RBIs in the past 10 games.

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Player Prop Odds

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William Contreras Player Props:

• Batter Doubles Over 0.5 (+425)
• Batter Hits Over 1.5 (+200)
• Batter Home Runs Over 0.5 (+470)
• Batter RBIs Over 0.5 (+140), Under 0.5 (-195)
• Batter Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+105), Under 0.5 (-145)
• Batter Singles Over 0.5 (-117)
• Batter Total Bases Over 1.5 (+130), Under 1.5 (-170)

Player Analysis

William Contreras has been a crucial part of the Brewers' lineup this season. He has a batting average of .286, which is the highest on the team. Contreras has also contributed 11 home runs and 26 doubles, showcasing his ability to hit for both power and consistency. Over the last 10 games, he has been particularly productive, going 13-for-42 with four doubles and a home run. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a valuable asset for Milwaukee.

Opposing Analysis

The Marlins will be sending Max Meyer to the mound. Meyer has been impressive in his limited appearances this season, boasting a 2-0 record with a stellar 2.12 ERA and a 0.82 WHIP over 17 innings pitched. He has struck out 14 batters while only walking three, indicating strong command and control. However, Meyer's limited experience in the majors might be something the Brewers look to exploit, especially with a hitter of Contreras's caliber.

Pitching Probables

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Pitcher	W-L	ERA	WHIP	Strikeouts
Max Meyer (MIA)	2-0	2.12	0.82	14
Aaron Civale (MIL)	2-7	5.00	1.39	102

Team Previews

Miami Marlins

The Miami Marlins have had a challenging season with a record of 38-66. Offensively, they rank 7th in hits (890) and 8th in runs (489), with a team batting average of .254. Despite these solid offensive stats, their pitching has been inconsistent, reflected in their 3.72 ERA which ranks 6th in the league. Their fielding has been average with 55 errors, tied for 14th. Injuries have also plagued the team, with key players like Sandy Alcantara and Sixto Sanchez out for extended periods.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers are having a strong season, leading the NL Central with a 59-44 record. Their hitting has been less impressive compared to the Marlins, ranking 17th in hits (831) and 29th in runs (374) with a team batting average of .236. However, their pitching has been solid with a 4.48 ERA, ranking 25th. They have also committed the fewest errors in the league (75). Injuries have also been a concern, with key players like Christian Yelich and Brandon Woodruff on the IL.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Dane Myers	SP	10-Day IL (ankle)
Ryan Weathers	SP	60-Day IL (finger)
Sixto Sanchez	SP	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Braxton Garrett	SP	15-Day IL (elbow)
Jesus Luzardo	SP	60-Day IL (back)
Josh Simpson	RP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Eury Perez	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Sandy Alcantara	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)

Recent Games

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Miami Marlins

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs New York	W 6-4	W
vs New York	L 1-0	L
vs New York	W 4-2	W
vs New York	L 6-4	L
vs Baltimore	W 6-3	W

Milwaukee Brewers

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Minnesota	W 8-4 (F/12)	W
@ Minnesota	W 8-7	W
@ Chicago	L 3-1	L
@ Chicago	W 1-0	W
@ Chicago	W 3-2	W

Prediction

Pick: William Contreras Over 1.5 Total Bases (+130)

William Contreras has been in excellent form, and with his ability to hit for both power and average, the over on total bases seems like a strong pick. Considering his recent performance and the fact that he'll face a relatively inexperienced pitcher in Max Meyer, Contreras is well-positioned to exceed 1.5 total bases.

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