MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Mets vs Nationals 7/11

MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Mets vs Nationals 7/11

MLB Moneyline Expert Picks: New York Mets vs Washington Nationals

Game Summary

The New York Mets will host the Washington Nationals in a mid-season clash at Citi Field in Queens, New York, on July 11. Both teams are looking to improve their standings as they approach the All-Star break. The Mets have been hovering around the .500 mark with a record of 45-45, showing inconsistency in their performances. On the other hand, the Nationals have struggled more, with a record of 42-50, trying to claw their way back to relevance in the National League East.

David Peterson will take the mound for the Mets, bringing a 3-0 record and a 3.58 ERA. Peterson's recent outings have been solid, and he will aim to continue his effective pitching against a Nationals lineup that has shown flashes of brilliance but has also been prone to slumps. MacKenzie Gore will start for the Nationals, boasting a 6-7 record and a 3.83 ERA. Gore has been a workhorse for the Nationals, and his ability to limit the Mets' offense will be crucial for Washington's chances.

Historically, the Mets have had the upper hand against the Nationals, especially when playing at Citi Field. However, the Nationals have proven to be a resilient team capable of pulling off upsets. This game promises to be a tightly contested battle, with both teams eager to gain momentum as the season progresses.

Odds and Betting Lines

Bet Type Odds
Over/Under 8.5
New York Mets Moneyline -134
Washington Nationals Moneyline +114
New York Mets Spread -1.5 (+150)
Washington Nationals Spread +1.5 (-170)

Pitching Probables

Pitcher W-L ERA Strikeouts
David Peterson (NYM) 3-0 3.58 27
MacKenzie Gore (WAS) 6-7 3.83 112

Team Previews

New York Mets

Hitting: The Mets' offense has been relatively potent this season, ranking 10th in hits (770) and runs (433). Francisco Lindor leads the team with a .253 batting average, while Pete Alonso has been a power threat with 18 home runs.

Relief Pitching: The Mets' bullpen has been somewhat middle-of-the-pack, with 22 saves and a team ERA of 4.25. They have struggled with consistency but have managed to close out games when needed.

Fielding: Defensively, the Mets have committed 61 errors, which is tied for 2nd most in the league. This is an area they will need to tighten up to support their pitching staff.

Starting Pitchers: David Peterson has been a reliable arm for the Mets, with a 3.58 ERA over 37.2 innings. His ability to keep hitters off balance has been a key to his success.

Washington Nationals

Hitting: The Nationals' offense has shown potential but ranks 19th in hits (726) and runs (386). Luis Garcia Jr. leads the team with a .277 batting average, and CJ Abrams has been a significant contributor with 14 home runs and 46 RBIs.

Relief Pitching: The Nationals' bullpen has been slightly better than the Mets', with 24 saves and a team ERA of 4.06. They have been able to hold leads more effectively, which has been crucial in their wins.

Fielding: The Nationals have committed 51 errors, which is tied for 12th in the league. Their defensive play has been solid, helping to support their pitching staff.

Starting Pitchers: MacKenzie Gore has been a workhorse for the Nationals, with a 3.83 ERA over 94 innings. His strikeout ability (112 Ks) makes him a formidable opponent for any lineup.

Team Injuries

New York Mets

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Reed Garrett RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 25

Washington Nationals

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Trevor Williams SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 27

Betting Trends

  • The Mets are 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
  • The Nationals are 3-7 in their last 10 road games.
  • Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams.
  • Mets are 6-1 in Peterson's last 7 starts.
  • Nationals are 4-9 in Gore's last 13 starts.

Recent Games

New York Mets Opponent Score W/L
vs Washington 7-5 W
@ Pittsburgh 8-2 L
@ Pittsburgh 3-2 W
@ Pittsburgh 5-2 W
@ Pittsburgh 14-2 L
Washington Nationals Opponent Score W/L
@ New York 5-7 L
@ New York 1-0 W
@ New York 7-5 W
@ St. Louis 6-14 L
@ St. Louis 7-6 W

Team Rankings

Category New York Mets Washington Nationals
Hitting 10th 19th
Starting Pitching 21st 17th
Relief Pitching 16th 12th
Fielding 2nd (most errors) 12th

Significant Betting Stats

  • The Mets are 45-45 against the moneyline this season.
  • The Nationals are 42-50 against the moneyline this season.
  • The Mets are 22-25 at home this season.
  • The Nationals are 20-24 on the road this season.
  • The Mets have a team ERA of 4.25.
  • The Nationals have a team ERA of 4.06.
  • David Peterson has an ERA of 3.58.
  • MacKenzie Gore has an ERA of 3.83.
  • The Mets are 6-1 in Peterson's last 7 starts.
  • The Nationals are 4-9 in Gore's last 13 starts.

Weather

The weather for the game is expected to be mostly cloudy with thunderstorms, with a high temperature of 84°F. This could potentially impact the game, especially if the thunderstorms cause delays or interruptions.

Prediction

Pick: New York Mets to cover -1.5

The New York Mets have been more consistent at home, and with David Peterson on the mound, they have a good chance of shutting down the Nationals’ offense. MacKenzie Gore has been solid, but the Nationals have struggled on the road this season. Given the Mets' recent form and the Nationals' road struggles, the Mets are likely to cover the -1.5 spread.

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