MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Mets vs Nationals - 7/10

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 9, 2024, 7:17:02 PM
MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: New York Mets vs Washington Nationals - 7/10
Game Summary
The New York Mets are set to host the Washington Nationals at Citi Field on July 10. The Mets, currently with a 44-45 record, are looking to climb back to .500 and continue their pursuit of a wildcard spot. On the other hand, the Nationals come into this game with a 42-49 record, struggling to find consistency this season.
Both teams have had their ups and downs throughout the season, with notable performances and some disappointing stretches. This matchup features an intriguing pitching duel between Luis Severino of the Mets and Patrick Corbin of the Nationals, both of whom have shown flashes of brilliance but also struggled at times.
The Mets boast a solid lineup led by Brandon Nimmo, Pete Alonso, and Francisco Lindor, while the Nationals rely heavily on the offensive contributions of CJ Abrams. With both teams looking to gain momentum, this game promises to be competitive and could go either way.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Betting Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 9.5 |
| New York Mets Spread | -1.5 (+115) |
| Washington Nationals Spread | +1.5 (-135) |
| New York Mets Moneyline | -205 |
| Washington Nationals Moneyline | +172 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Severino (NYM) | 5-3 | 3.83 | 77 |
| Patrick Corbin (WAS) | 1-8 | 5.49 | 68 |
Team Previews
New York Mets
The Mets have been a solid offensive team, ranking 11th in the league with 759 hits and 426 runs. Brandon Nimmo leads the team with a .252 batting average, while Pete Alonso has been the primary power source with 18 home runs and 55 RBIs. The pitching staff, however, has had its struggles, with a team ERA of 4.26, ranking 21st in the league. Defensively, the Mets have committed 60 errors, ranking tied for 2nd in the league in errors committed.
Washington Nationals
The Nationals have had a tougher time offensively, ranking 19th with 720 hits and 18th with 381 runs. CJ Abrams has been a bright spot, leading the team with a .279 batting average and 14 home runs. On the mound, Patrick Corbin has struggled, posting a 5.49 ERA. The bullpen has been a bit better with 24 saves, ranking tied for 12th. Defensively, the Nationals have committed 50 errors, ranking 13th in the league.
Team Injuries
New York Mets
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Smith | RP | Elbow | Out for the season |
Washington Nationals
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Williams | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 |
Betting Trends
- Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
- Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- Over is 6-2 in Mets last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 7-3 in Nationals last 10 games as an underdog.
Recent Games
New York Mets
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Pittsburgh | 8-2 | L |
| @ Pittsburgh | 5-2 | W |
| @ Pittsburgh | 3-2 | W |
| @ Pittsburgh | 14-2 | L |
| @ Washington | 1-0 | L |
Washington Nationals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs St. Louis | 6-0 | L |
| vs St. Louis | 8-3 | L |
| vs St. Louis | 14-6 | W |
| vs New York | 1-0 | W |
| vs New York | 7-5 | W |
Team Rankings
| Category | New York Mets | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 11th | 19th |
| Starting Pitching | 21st | 17th |
| Relief Pitching | 17th | 12th |
| Fielding | 2nd | 13th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Mets are 7-3 in their last 10 games as a favorite.
- Nationals are 5-5 in their last 10 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-2 in Mets last 6 games following a loss.
- Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games following a win.
- Mets are 8-2 in their last 10 games against left-handed starters.
- Nationals are 3-8 in their last 11 games against right-handed starters.
- Over is 6-3 in Mets last 9 home games.
- Under is 7-4 in Nationals last 11 road games.
- Mets are 6-4 in their last 10 games at home.
- Nationals are 4-6 in their last 10 games on the road.
Weather
The weather for the game at Citi Field is expected to be mostly sunny with a high of 89°F. Conditions should be ideal for a baseball game with no significant weather disruptions expected. Check the latest weather updates here.
Prediction
Pick: New York Mets Moneyline
The New York Mets appear to have the edge in this matchup, given their recent performance and the struggles of Patrick Corbin on the mound for the Nationals. Luis Severino has been more consistent and should be able to keep the Nationals' lineup in check. Additionally, the Mets' offense has been more potent, especially against left-handed pitchers like Corbin. Back the Mets to take this one at home.


