MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Marlins vs Mets 7/19

- Mr Wager
- Jul 18, 2024, 4:36:25 PM
© Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets 7/19

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Game Summary
The Miami Marlins will host the New York Mets on July 19 at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. The Marlins, currently struggling with a dismal record of 33-63, face a formidable opponent in the Mets, who boast a more respectable 49-46 record. The Marlins have been grappling with offensive and defensive woes, as indicated by their league rankings. They rank 22nd in hits (760), 29th in runs (336), 25th in batting average (.234), and 29th in ERA (4.60). On the other hand, the Mets have shown more balanced performance, ranking 10th in hits (818), 8th in runs (465), and 22nd in ERA (4.23).
Leading the Marlins in batting average is Jazz Chisholm Jr. with a .249 average, while Bryan De La Cruz leads the team with 16 home runs and 44 RBIs. For the Mets, Francisco Lindor is the batting average leader with .253, while Pete Alonso has hit 19 home runs and Brandon Nimmo has driven in 63 runs. The Marlins' pitching has been equally problematic, with significant injuries to key players such as Braxton Garrett (forearm) and Sixto Sanchez (shoulder).
The pitching matchup features Sean Manaea for the Mets, who has a solid record of 6-3 with a 3.46 ERA. The Marlins have yet to announce their starting pitcher, which adds an element of uncertainty to their chances. The Mets' recent form and stronger lineup make them the favorites, but the Marlins will be looking to capitalize on home advantage to turn their fortunes around.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | O/U 8.5 (-110) |
| Spread | Marlins +1.5 (-110), Mets -1.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | Marlins +116, Mets -136 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Manaea (NYM) | 6-3 | 3.46 | 96 |
| Undecided (MIA) | -- | -- | -- |
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Team Previews
Miami Marlins
Hitting: The Marlins have struggled offensively, ranking 29th in runs scored with 336 and 25th in batting average at .234. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is the team's batting average leader at .249, while Bryan De La Cruz has been the primary power source with 16 home runs and 44 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Marlins' bullpen has not been effective, contributing to the team's high ERA of 4.60, which ranks 29th in the league. Injuries to key relievers like Sixto Sanchez have further hampered their performance.
Fielding: Defensively, the Marlins have committed 66 errors, ranking 2nd most in the league. This has significantly impacted their ability to keep games close and support their pitching staff.
Starting Pitchers: With no confirmed starter for the game against the Mets, the Marlins' pitching situation remains uncertain. The absence of reliable starters has been a significant issue for the team throughout the season.
New York Mets
Hitting: The Mets have been solid offensively, ranking 8th in runs scored with 465 and 10th in batting average at .250. Francisco Lindor leads the team with a .253 average, while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have been key contributors with 19 home runs and 63 RBIs respectively.
Relief Pitching: The Mets' bullpen has been more reliable, contributing to their ERA of 4.23, which ranks 22nd in the league. This has been a crucial factor in their ability to close out games and maintain a winning record.
Fielding: Defensively, the Mets have committed 64 errors, ranking 3rd in the league. While this is an area of concern, their offensive and pitching strengths have helped mitigate the impact of these errors.
Starting Pitchers: Sean Manaea will take the mound for the Mets, bringing a solid record of 6-3 with a 3.46 ERA. His performance will be critical in setting the tone for the game and giving the Mets a strong start.
Team Injuries
Miami Marlins
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Garrett | SP | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
| Sixto Sanchez | RP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 5 |
| Josh Simpson | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Jul 31 |
New York Mets
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kodai Senga | SP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 25 |
Betting Trends
- The Marlins are 2-8 in their last 10 games.
- The Mets are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- The Marlins have a home record of 18-31.
- The Mets have an away record of 23-20.
- The Marlins are 1-5 in their last 6 home games against the Mets.
- The total has gone under in 5 of the Mets' last 6 games.
- The total has gone over in 4 of the Marlins' last 5 games at home.
- The Mets are 4-2 in their last 6 games when playing on the road against the Marlins.
- The Marlins are 3-12 in the last 15 games against right-handed starters.
- The Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record.
Recent Games
Miami Marlins
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Atlanta | 3-6 | L |
| vs Atlanta | 1-5 | L |
| @ San Francisco | 2-4 | L |
| @ San Francisco | 3-7 | L |
| @ San Francisco | 4-5 | L |
New York Mets
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Philadelphia | 5-3 | W |
| @ Philadelphia | 2-4 | L |
| vs Washington | 6-2 | W |
| vs Washington | 4-1 | W |
| vs Washington | 3-5 | L |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Marlins | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 25th | 10th |
| Starting Pitching | 29th | 22nd |
| Relief Pitching | 30th | 14th |
| Fielding | 2nd most errors | 3rd most errors |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Marlins are 2-8 in their last 10 games.
- The Mets are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- The Marlins have a home record of 18-31.
- The Mets have an away record of 23-20.
- The Marlins are 1-5 in their last 6 home games against the Mets.
- The total has gone under in 5 of the Mets' last 6 games.
- The total has gone over in 4 of the Marlins' last 5 games at home.
- The Mets are 4-2 in their last 6 games when playing on the road against the Marlins.
- The Marlins are 3-12 in the last 15 games against right-handed starters.
- The Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record.
Weather
The weather for the game is expected to be mostly sunny with a temperature of 88°F. However, as the game is being played in an indoor stadium, weather conditions will not significantly impact the gameplay.
Prediction
Pick: New York Mets to win (-136)
The New York Mets come into this game as the favorites, and for good reason. They have a more balanced lineup and a starting pitcher in Sean Manaea who has been consistent throughout the season. The Marlins, on the other hand, are struggling both offensively and defensively, and the uncertainty surrounding their starting pitcher only adds to their woes. Given the Mets' recent form and the Marlins' struggles, betting on the Mets to win is a prudent choice.
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