MLB Player Props Prediction Today: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers

Preview:

Miami Marlins and Milwaukee Brewers play in game 2 of series

By Data Skrive

Jul 27, 2024, 04:02 am

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Miami Marlins (38-66, fifth in the NL East) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (59-44, first in the NL Central)

Milwaukee; Saturday, 7:10 p.m. EDT

PITCHING PROBABLES: Marlins: Max Meyer (0-0); Brewers: Aaron Civale (2-7, 5.17 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 102 strikeouts)

LINE: Brewers -237, Marlins +193; over/under is 7 1/2 runs

BOTTOM LINE: The Miami Marlins lead 1-0 in a three-game series with the Milwaukee Brewers.

Milwaukee has a 29-18 record at home and a 59-44 record overall. The Brewers have a 44-16 record in games when they record eight or more hits.

Miami has a 16-32 record on the road and a 38-66 record overall. The Marlins are 28-12 in games when they have more hits than their opponents.

Saturday's game is the fifth time these teams match up this season. The Marlins are ahead 3-1 in the season series.

TOP PERFORMERS:

William Contreras has 26 doubles, a triple, and 11 home runs for the Brewers.

Jackson Chourio is 13-for-42 with four doubles and a home run over the last 10 games.

Bryan De La Cruz leads the Marlins with 18 home runs while slugging .417.

Xavier Edwards is 14-for-33 with six RBI over the past 10 games.

LAST 10 GAMES:

Brewers: 5-5, .223 batting average, 3.13 ERA, outscored opponents by two runs

Marlins: 6-4, .279 batting average, 3.70 ERA, outscored opponents by seven runs

INJURIES:

Brewers:

Rob Zastryzny: 15-Day IL (elbow)
Christian Yelich: 10-Day IL (back)
Oliver Dunn: 60-Day IL (back)
Enoli Paredes: 15-Day IL (forearm)
Robert Gasser: 60-Day IL (flexor)
D.L. Hall: 60-Day IL (knee)
Joe Ross: 15-Day IL (back)
J.B. Bukauskas: 60-Day IL (lat)
Wade Miley: 60-Day IL (elbow)
Devin Williams: 60-Day IL (back)
Brandon Woodruff: 60-Day IL (elbow)

Marlins:

Dane Myers: 10-Day IL (ankle)
Ryan Weathers: 60-Day IL (finger)
Sixto Sanchez: 60-Day IL (shoulder)
Braxton Garrett: 15-Day IL (elbow)
Jesus Luzardo: 60-Day IL (back)
Josh Simpson: 60-Day IL (elbow)
Eury Perez: 60-Day IL (elbow)
Sandy Alcantara: 60-Day IL (elbow)

Photo Credit: © Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

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Player Prop Odds

Rhys Hoskins:

Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-170)
Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+400)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+160), Under 0.5 (-220)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+120), Under 0.5 (-165)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+160)
Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-160), Under 0.5 (+120)

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Player Analysis

Rhys Hoskins has been an integral part of the Phillies' lineup, known for his power and ability to drive in runs. This season, Hoskins has been performing exceptionally well, hitting .250 with 18 home runs and 50 RBIs. His slugging percentage of .492 indicates his ability to hit for extra bases, making him a threat every time he steps to the plate.

Hoskins has been especially effective against right-handed pitchers, with a .260 batting average and 14 home runs. His recent form has been promising, with multiple hits in three of his last five games. This consistency makes him a valuable player to consider for prop bets, especially in categories like home runs and RBIs.

Opposing Analysis

The Milwaukee Brewers will be starting Aaron Civale, who has struggled this season with a 2-7 record and a 5.17 ERA. Civale has been prone to giving up home runs, having allowed 21 long balls in 102.2 innings pitched. His WHIP of 1.40 indicates that he allows a significant number of baserunners, which could spell trouble against a power hitter like Hoskins.

Civale has particularly struggled against right-handed hitters, allowing a .280 batting average and a .500 slugging percentage. This matchup heavily favors Hoskins, who has the power and patience to take advantage of Civale's mistakes.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Max Meyer (MIA)	2-0	2.12	0.82	17.0	11	14	3	2
Aaron Civale (MIL)	2-7	5.00	1.39	102.2	107	102	36	21

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Team Previews

Miami Marlins:

The Marlins have struggled this season, sitting at the bottom of the NL East with a 38-66 record. However, their recent form has shown some promise, winning six of their last ten games. Offensively, they rank 6th in batting average (.254) and 7th in hits (890). Bryan De La Cruz has been a standout performer with 18 home runs and a .417 slugging percentage.

On the pitching side, Max Meyer has been a revelation with a 2.12 ERA and a 0.82 WHIP in 17 innings. The bullpen has also been effective, ranking 3rd in saves with 35.

Milwaukee Brewers:

The Brewers lead the NL Central with a 59-44 record and have been dominant at home with a 29-18 record. Their pitching staff, despite some injuries, has managed a 3.72 ERA, ranking 6th in the league. Offensively, they have struggled, ranking 29th in runs scored (374) and 20th in batting average (.236).

William Contreras and Jackson Chourio have been key contributors, with Contreras hitting 11 home runs and Chourio batting .310 over the last ten games.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
E. Perez	SP	Fri, Jul 26	Elbow	Out for the season
J. Simpson	RP	Fri, Jul 26	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Aug 8

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
R. Zastryzny	RP	Fri, Jul 26	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
D. Williams	RP	Fri, Jul 26	Back	Expected to be out until at least Jul 29

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