MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Diamondbacks vs Braves 7/11

MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Diamondbacks vs Braves 7/11

MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves 7/11

 

Game Summary

The Arizona Diamondbacks will face off against the Atlanta Braves in a thrilling MLB matchup on July 11, 2024, at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. The Diamondbacks have had an up-and-down season with a record of 45-47, while the Braves come in strong with a 51-39 record. This game will be crucial for both teams as they look to improve their standings and make a push for the playoffs. The Diamondbacks will rely on their probable starting pitcher, Brandon Pfaadt, who has shown flashes of brilliance this season, while the Braves will counter with the seasoned Max Fried. The Braves have had the upper hand in recent matchups, but with the Diamondbacks playing at home, this game is set to be a closely contested battle.

 

Odds and Betting Lines

Betting Market Odds
Over/Under 9.5
Spread Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 (-110), Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-110)
Moneyline Arizona Diamondbacks +114, Atlanta Braves -134

 

Pitching Probables

Pitcher W-L ERA Strikeouts
Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) 3-6 4.19 100
Max Fried (ATL) 7-4 3.18 88

 

Team Previews

Arizona Diamondbacks

Hitting: The Diamondbacks have been solid offensively, ranking 8th in hits (788), 6th in runs (450), and 9th in batting average (.253). Ketel Marte leads the team with a .281 batting average, while Christian Walker provides the power with 22 home runs and 65 RBIs.

Relief Pitching: The Diamondbacks' bullpen has been a weak spot, with a team ERA of 4.63, ranking 28th in the league. They have only managed 19 saves, which is 24th overall.

Fielding: Defensively, the Diamondbacks have committed 40 errors, ranking 27th in the league.

Starting Pitchers: Brandon Pfaadt has been one of the more reliable starters, with a 4.19 ERA and 100 strikeouts over 107.1 innings pitched.

 

Atlanta Braves

Hitting: The Braves have a decent offense, ranking 17th in hits (738) and runs (390) with a .243 batting average. Marcell Ozuna has been a standout performer with a .293 batting average, 23 home runs, and 73 RBIs.

Relief Pitching: The Braves' bullpen has been quite effective with an ERA of 3.40, which is the 2nd best in the league. They also have 25 saves, tied for 8th overall.

Fielding: The Braves have committed 38 errors, ranking 30th in the league.

Starting Pitchers: Max Fried has been a strong presence on the mound, with a 3.18 ERA and 88 strikeouts over 102.0 innings.

 

Team Injuries

Arizona Diamondbacks

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Miguel Castro RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 10

 

Atlanta Braves

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Ramon Laureano RF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 19

 

Betting Trends

  • Arizona Diamondbacks are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
  • Atlanta Braves are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
  • Diamondbacks are 22-23 at home this season.
  • Braves are 22-22 on the road this season.
  • Diamondbacks have hit the over in 46 of their 92 games.
  • Braves have hit the over in 45 of their 90 games.

 

Recent Games

Arizona Diamondbacks

Opponent Score W/L
@ San Diego W7-5 F/10 W
@ San Diego W9-1 W
vs Atlanta L5-4 F/11 L
vs Atlanta L6-2 L
vs Atlanta Upcoming Upcoming

 

Atlanta Braves

Opponent Score W/L
vs Philadelphia W5-1 W
vs Philadelphia W6-0 W
@ Arizona W5-4 F/11 W
@ Arizona W6-2 W
@ Arizona Upcoming Upcoming

 

Team Rankings

Category Diamondbacks Braves
Hitting 8th 17th
Starting Pitching 54th (Pfaadt) 19th (Fried)
Relief Pitching 28th 2nd
Fielding 27th 30th

 

Significant Betting Stats

  • Diamondbacks have hit the over in 46 of their 92 games.
  • Braves have hit the over in 45 of their 90 games.
  • Diamondbacks are 22-23 at home this season.
  • Braves are 22-22 on the road this season.
  • Diamondbacks are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
  • Braves are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
  • Braves bullpen ERA is 3.40, 2nd in the league.
  • Diamondbacks bullpen ERA is 4.63, 28th in the league.
  • Ketel Marte leads Diamondbacks with a .281 batting average.
  • Marcell Ozuna leads Braves with a .293 batting average.

 

Weather

Mostly cloudy with a high temperature of 110°F.

 

Prediction

Pick: Atlanta Braves moneyline (-134)

Given the recent form and overall team strength, the Atlanta Braves are well-positioned to win this matchup. Max Fried's pitching prowess combined with the Braves' effective bullpen gives them a significant edge. Additionally, the Diamondbacks' struggles at home and their inconsistent bullpen performance make the Braves a more reliable pick for a moneyline bet.

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Photo Credit: © Owen Ziliak/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK

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