MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Cubs vs Royals 7/28

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 28, 2024, 4:15:47 AM
MLB Player Props Game Picks: Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals
Photo Credit: © Peter Aiken-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Chicago Cubs are set to face the Kansas City Royals in a crucial matchup on Sunday, July 28th, at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. This game will serve as the series finale, with both teams having split the first two games. The Cubs, currently 50-56 and sitting fifth in the NL Central, are looking to improve their road record of 23-31. Conversely, the Royals hold a 57-48 record, placing third in the AL Central, and boast a strong home record of 36-21.
Recent performances indicate a tight contest. The Royals have been performing well at the plate, with a team batting average of .251, which is the 10th best in the MLB. Their standout player, Bobby Witt Jr., has been on fire, hitting .342 with 18 home runs and 71 RBIs. The Cubs, on the other hand, have shown a potent offense in games where they hit at least two home runs, holding a 20-6 record in such scenarios. Ian Happ and Seiya Suzuki have been key contributors, with Happ hitting 16 home runs and Suzuki having a strong recent performance, going 12-for-37 over the last 10 games.
Despite the Cubs' offensive prowess, their recent form has been less impressive, with a 4-6 record in their last 10 games and a batting average of .219. The Royals have been more consistent, going 5-5 with a .282 average in their last 10 games. Sunday's game will be a battle of the pitchers, with Javier Assad (4-3, 3.15 ERA) starting for the Cubs, and Cole Ragans (7-6, 3.23 ERA) taking the mound for the Royals.
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Player Prop Odds
Mike Tauchman:
- Doubles: Over 0.5 (+450)
- Hits: Over 1.5 (+270)
- RBIs: Over 0.5 (+210)
- Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+130)
- Singles: Over 0.5 (-145)
- Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+160)
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Player Analysis
Mike Tauchman has been a reliable contributor for the Cubs this season. Known for his versatility and ability to get on base, Tauchman has a knack for clutch hitting. His current stats include a solid batting average and a respectable number of doubles and RBIs. With odds of +450 for hitting at least one double in this game, and +270 for getting over 1.5 hits, Tauchman presents a valuable betting opportunity. His recent form and ability to contribute in key situations make him a player to watch in this matchup.
Opposing Analysis
Cole Ragans, the Royals' starting pitcher for this game, has been impressive this season with a 3.23 ERA and 146 strikeouts. Ragans has shown consistency and control, making it challenging for opposing hitters to get on base. However, the Cubs' offense, led by players like Ian Happ and Seiya Suzuki, has the potential to challenge Ragans. The key for Tauchman will be to capitalize on any mistakes Ragans might make and use his contact-hitting ability to get on base and drive in runs.
Pitching Probables
Chicago Cubs: Javier Assad (4-3, 3.15 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 81 strikeouts)
Kansas City Royals: Cole Ragans (7-6, 3.23 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 146 strikeouts)
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Team Previews
Chicago Cubs
Hitting: The Cubs rank 10th in MLB with a team batting average of .251. Key players include Ian Happ and Seiya Suzuki, who have been consistent in driving the offense. The team has shown power, especially in games where they hit multiple home runs.
Relief Pitching: The Cubs' bullpen has been solid, contributing to their overall team ERA of 3.72, which ranks 7th in the league. Closer performance and middle relief have been strengths for the team.
Fielding: Defensively, the Cubs have committed 49 errors, placing them in the middle of the pack. Solid fielding will be crucial in support of their pitching staff.
Starting Pitching: Javier Assad has been reliable with a 3.15 ERA and will need to deliver a strong performance to keep the Royals' offense in check.
Kansas City Royals
Hitting: The Royals have a team batting average of .251, ranking 10th in MLB. Bobby Witt Jr. has been a standout performer, providing power and consistency at the plate.
Relief Pitching: The Royals' bullpen has an ERA of 3.73, ranking 8th in the league. Their relievers have been effective in holding leads and closing out games.
Fielding: The Royals have committed 53 errors, indicating room for improvement in their defensive play. Solid defense will be essential to support their pitchers.
Starting Pitching: Cole Ragans has been a key figure in the Royals' rotation, with a 3.23 ERA and 146 strikeouts. His performance will be critical in limiting the Cubs' offensive threats.
Team Injuries
Chicago Cubs
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Caleb Kilian | RP | Shoulder (60-Day IL) |
| Tomas Nido | C | Knee (10-Day IL) |
| Ben Brown | P | Neck (60-Day IL) |
| Luke Little | P | Shoulder (60-Day IL) |
| Hayden Wesneski | P | Forearm (15-Day IL) |
Kansas City Royals
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Taylor | RP | Biceps (60-Day IL) |
| MJ Melendez | OF | Ankle (10-Day IL) |
| Dan Altavilla | RP | Oblique (60-Day IL) |
| Kyle Wright | SP | Shoulder (60-Day IL) |
Recent Games
Chicago Cubs
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Arizona | L 5-2 | L |
| vs Arizona | L 3-0 | L |
| vs Arizona | W 2-1 F/10 | W |
| vs Milwaukee | W 3-1 | W |
| vs Milwaukee | L 1-0 | L |
Kansas City Royals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Chicago | W 7-1 | W |
| vs Chicago | W 6-1 | W |
| vs Chicago | W 4-1 | W |
| vs Arizona | W 10-4 | W |
| vs Arizona | L 6-2 | L |
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Prediction
Given the current form of both teams and the pitching matchup, we expect a competitive game. However, the Royals' strong home record and Cole Ragans' impressive season give them the edge. For player props, Mike Tauchman to get over 0.5 singles at -145 is a solid bet considering his recent form.
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