MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Cubs vs Royals 7/26
Photo Credit: © Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Chicago Cubs will face off against the Kansas City Royals on July 26th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. The game is set to feature an interesting pitching duel between the Cubs' Kyle Hendricks and the Royals' Brady Singer. The Cubs come into this game with a 56-47 record, good for 7th in the league, while the Royals hold a 49-55 record, placing them 21st overall. The Cubs have shown strong form at home with a 35-20 record, although their road performance (21-27) has been less impressive. Meanwhile, the Royals have been relatively consistent both at home (27-25) and on the road (22-30).
Recent performances show the Cubs are on a bit of a slide, having lost four out of their last five games. On the other hand, the Royals have won four out of their last five games, demonstrating a strong form heading into this matchup.
Historically, these teams have had tightly contested matches, and this game promises to be no different with both teams fighting for a crucial win.
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Player Prop Odds
Vinnie Pasquantino Player Props:
- Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +280.0 / Under -425.0
- Batter Hits (1.5): Over +200.0 / Under -280.0
- Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +125.0 / Under -175.0
- Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over +115.0 / Under -160.0
- Batter Singles (0.5): Over -130.0 / Under -105.0
- Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over +110.0 / Under -145.0
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Player Analysis
Vinnie Pasquantino has been a key player for the Royals this season. The first baseman is hitting .265 on the season, with 18 home runs and 60 RBIs. His ability to get on base and deliver in clutch situations makes him a critical asset for the Royals.
Pasquantino has been particularly effective against right-handed pitchers, batting .280 with a .350 OBP. His recent form has been solid, hitting safely in 8 of his last 10 games, including 3 multi-hit games. His power and consistency at the plate make him a strong candidate to exceed his prop lines.
Opposing Analysis
Kyle Hendricks, the probable starter for the Cubs, has struggled this season, holding a 2-8 record with a 6.69 ERA. Hendricks has allowed 15 home runs in 75.1 innings pitched and has had difficulty maintaining control with 24 walks. His WHIP sits at 1.49, indicating frequent traffic on the bases.
Hendricks' struggles against left-handed hitters are particularly concerning, as Pasquantino, a lefty, can exploit this weakness. Left-handed batters are hitting .290 against Hendricks this season, and with his recent form showing no signs of improvement, Pasquantino could have a favorable matchup.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Hendricks | 2-8 | 6.69 | 1.49 | 75.1 | 88 | 52 | 24 | 15 |
| B. Singer | 6-6 | 3.00 | 1.22 | 111.0 | 101 | 106 | 34 | 13 |
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Team Previews
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs have been strong offensively, ranking 11th in runs scored (477) and batting average (.250). Their pitching staff has also been effective, with a team ERA of 3.76, ranking 10th in the league. The bullpen has recorded 24 saves, ranking 19th overall. Defensively, the Cubs have committed 49 errors, placing them 22nd in that category.
Kansas City Royals
The Royals have struggled offensively, ranking 20th in runs scored (424) and batting average (.233). Their pitching staff has performed well, with a team ERA of 3.70, ranking 6th in the league. The bullpen has recorded 23 saves, placing them 21st overall. Defensively, the Royals have committed 53 errors, ranking 16th in that category.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Kilian | RP | Wed, Jul 24 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Melendez | LF | Tue, Jul 16 | Ankle | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
Recent Games
Chicago Cubs
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Arizona | L5-2 | 47-52 | Nelson 7-6 | Steele 2-4 | Sewald 14 | 40691 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Arizona | L3-0 | 47-53 | Gallen 7-5 | Hendricks 2-8 | Sewald 15 | 39595 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Arizona | W2-1 F/10 | 48-53 | Neris 8-2 | Mantiply 3-2 | NaN | 39162 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Milwaukee | W3-1 | 49-53 | Smyly 3-5 | Myers 6-4 | Neris 14 | 35741 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Milwaukee | L1-0 | 49-54 | Peguero 6-3 | Taillon 7-5 | Megill 20 | 37651 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Milwaukee | L3-2 | 49-55 | Junis 3-0 | Neris 8-3 | Payamps 5 | 37679 |
Kansas City Royals
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Chicago | W7-1 | 53-45 | Wacha 7-6 | Flexen 2-9 | NaN | 26693 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Chicago | W6-1 | 54-45 | Singer 6-6 | Cannon 1-4 | NaN | 27545 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Chicago | W4-1 | 55-45 | Lugo 12-4 | Brebbia 0-5 | NaN | 22226 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Arizona | W10-4 | 56-45 | Ragans 7-6 | Diaz 1-1 | NaN | 16275 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Arizona | L6-2 | 56-46 | Montgomery 7-5 | Marsh 7-7 | NaN | 21993 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Arizona | L8-6 | 56-47 | Mantiply 4-2 | McArthur 4-4 | NaN | 15931 |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases for Vinnie Pasquantino (+110)
Given Vinnie Pasquantino's recent performance and Kyle Hendricks' struggles against left-handed hitters, Pasquantino is in a strong position to exceed 1.5 total bases. His consistent ability to get on base and Hendricks' high WHIP and ERA make this prop bet promising.
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