MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds 7/6

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 29, 2024, 3:46:07 AM
Daily MLB Player Props Picks: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds
Photo Credit: © Jonathan Dyer-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Chicago Cubs will face off against the Cincinnati Reds on July 6th at the Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. This game promises to be an exciting matchup as both teams are looking to improve their standings in the league. The Cubs, coming off a recent win streak, are hoping to continue their momentum against the Reds, who have been slightly inconsistent but show flashes of brilliance.
Historically, the Cubs have had the upper hand against the Reds, winning 7 out of their last 10 encounters. However, the Reds have shown resilience, particularly in their home games, making them a formidable opponent. The Great American Ball Park, known for being a hitter-friendly venue, could play a significant role in determining the outcome of this game.
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Player Prop Odds
Jeimer Candelario:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+323), Under 0.5 (-529)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+152), Under 0.5 (-214)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+108), Under 0.5 (-148)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+104), Under 0.5 (-142)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+129), Under 1.5 (-179)
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Player Analysis
Jeimer Candelario has been a consistent performer for the Cubs this season. With a batting average of .263, he has shown his ability to get on base regularly. He has also contributed significantly with 18 home runs and 64 RBIs, making him a key player in the Cubs' lineup. Candelario's performance against right-handed pitchers has been particularly impressive, which bodes well for his matchup against the Reds' probable starter, Jameson Taillon.
Opposing Analysis
Jameson Taillon is expected to start for the Reds. Taillon has had a solid season so far with a 7-5 record, an ERA of 2.96, and a WHIP of 1.15. He has been effective at limiting hits and walks, but has occasionally struggled with giving up home runs. The Cubs' hitters, including Candelario, will need to capitalize on any mistakes Taillon makes. The Reds' relief pitching has been middle-of-the-pack, making it crucial for the Cubs to get to Taillon early.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Taillon (CIN) | 7-5 | 2.96 | 1.15 | 100.1 | 94 | 78 | 21 | 12 |
| C. Spiers (CHC) | 3-2 | 3.83 | 1.26 | 47.0 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 5 |
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Team Previews
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs have had a mixed season with a current record of 50-55. Their batting average as a team is .228, ranking 28th in the league. However, they have managed to score 460 runs, placing them at 15th. Their pitching staff has been a highlight with an ERA of 3.83, ranking 11th. The Cubs' defense, however, has been shaky with 65 errors, which is the 4th most in the league.
Cincinnati Reds
The Reds have a slightly better record at 51-56. Their batting average is .233, ranking 24th, and they have scored 440 runs, ranking 22nd. The Reds' pitching has been commendable with an ERA of 3.72, ranking 6th. Their defense has been more reliable than the Cubs with 53 errors, ranking 19th in the league.
Team Injuries
Chicago Cubs
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Kilian | RP | Mon, Jul 29 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
Cincinnati Reds
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Burdick | RF | Mon, Jul 29 | Undisclosed | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
| L. Maile | C | Mon, Jul 29 | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
| C. Spiers | SP | Mon, Jul 29 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
Recent Games
Chicago Cubs
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Arizona | L 5-2 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Arizona | L 3-0 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Arizona | W 2-1 F/10 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Milwaukee | W 3-1 | W |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Milwaukee | L 1-0 | L |
Cincinnati Reds
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Washington | L 8-5 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Washington | L 5-4 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Washington | L 5-2 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Atlanta | W 4-1 | W |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Atlanta | Postponed | P |
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Prediction
Jeimer Candelario has been a clutch performer for the Cubs, and given his track record against right-handed pitching, the prop bet that stands out is the Over 0.5 RBIs at +152. With the Reds' starting pitcher Jameson Taillon occasionally giving up home runs, Candelario has a good chance to drive in at least one run during this game.
Pick: Over 0.5 RBIs (+152)
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