MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Brewers vs Twins 7/21

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 20, 2024, 8:46:06 PM
MLB Moneyline Predictions and Picks: Milwaukee Brewers vs Minnesota Twins
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Game Summary
On July 21, the Milwaukee Brewers will face off against the Minnesota Twins at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. This game is expected to be a compelling matchup between two teams that are very competitive in their respective divisions. The Brewers enter this game with a 54-42 record, and they have performed admirably both at home (27-18) and on the road (27-24). The Twins, on the other hand, have a slightly better record at 55-42 and are solid at home with a 29-17 record.
Joe Ryan is set to start for the Brewers. Ryan has shown consistency this season with a 6-6 record, a 3.53 ERA, 124 strikeouts, and a 1.00 WHIP over 114.2 innings pitched. His opponent on the mound will be Aaron Civale of the Twins. Civale has struggled this season, posting a 2-7 record with a 4.94 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 98.1 innings pitched.
Both teams boast strong lineups and solid pitching staffs, making this game a must-watch for baseball fans. The Brewers are ranked 7th in batting average (.254) and have accumulated 466 runs, while the Twins are slightly ahead, hitting .255 and also scoring 466 runs. The Brewers' bullpen is tied for 6th in saves (29), while the Twins' bullpen is ranked 3rd with 32 saves.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 7.5 |
| Milwaukee Brewers Spread | +1.5 |
| Minnesota Twins Spread | -1.5 |
| Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline | +132 |
| Minnesota Twins Moneyline | -156 |
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Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Ryan (MIL) | 6-6 | 3.53 | 1.00 | 114.2 | 96 | 124 | 19 | 16 |
| Aaron Civale (MIN) | 2-7 | 4.94 | 1.38 | 98.1 | 104 | 98 | 32 | 19 |
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Team Previews
Milwaukee Brewers
Hitting: The Brewers have a balanced offensive lineup with a team batting average of .254, which ranks 7th in the league. Carlos Correa leads the team with a .308 batting average and 47 RBIs, while Ryan Jeffers has hit the most home runs (14).
Relief Pitching: The Brewers' bullpen has been solid, with 29 saves, ranking them tied for 6th in the league. Their 4.11 ERA ranks 18th, showing some areas of improvement.
Fielding: Defensively, the Brewers have committed 45 errors, ranking them 25th in the league. This is an area of concern that could impact close games.
Starting Pitchers: Joe Ryan has been a reliable part of the rotation with a 3.53 ERA and 124 strikeouts over 114.2 innings. His ability to control the game will be crucial against the Twins.
Minnesota Twins
Hitting: The Twins have a similar offensive profile to the Brewers, with a team batting average of .255, ranking them 6th. Christian Yelich is the standout performer with a .326 batting average and 67 RBIs. Willy Adames leads with 15 home runs.
Relief Pitching: The Twins' bullpen has been a strength, with 32 saves, ranking them 3rd. Their ERA of 3.81 ranks 11th, showcasing their ability to limit runs late in games.
Fielding: The Twins have committed 51 errors, which ranks them tied for 15th. While not elite, their defense is solid enough to support their strong pitching.
Starting Pitchers: Aaron Civale has struggled this season with a 4.94 ERA and a 2-7 record. His performance will need to improve to give the Twins a better chance of winning.
Team Injuries
Milwaukee Brewers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Ross | SP | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 24 |
Minnesota Twins
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa | SS | Heel | Probable for Jul 20 |
Betting Trends
- The Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 games against the Twins.
- The Twins are 8-3 in their last 11 home games.
- The Brewers are 4-1 in Joe Ryan's last 5 starts.
- The Twins have hit the Over in 6 of their last 9 games.
- The Brewers have hit the Under in 4 of their last 6 road games.
Recent Games
Milwaukee Brewers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles | 5-3 | W |
| San Francisco | 2-4 | L |
| San Diego | 6-5 | W |
| Arizona | 3-2 | W |
| Colorado | 4-7 | L |
Minnesota Twins
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago | 8-2 | W |
| Detroit | 4-6 | L |
| New York | 3-1 | W |
| Baltimore | 5-7 | L |
| Boston | 6-4 | W |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Milwaukee Brewers | Minnesota Twins |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 7th | 6th |
| Starting Pitching | 18th | 11th |
| Relief Pitching | 6th | 3rd |
| Fielding | 25th | 15th |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 games against the Twins.
- The Twins are 8-3 in their last 11 home games.
- The Brewers are 4-1 in Joe Ryan's last 5 starts.
- The Twins have hit the Over in 6 of their last 9 games.
- The Brewers have hit the Under in 4 of their last 6 road games.
- The Twins are 10-4 as home favorites.
- The Brewers are 7-3 as road underdogs.
- The Twins are 4-2 when Civale starts at home.
- The Brewers are 3-7 in their last 10 road games.
- The Twins are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
Weather
The weather forecast for Minneapolis on July 21 indicates intermittent clouds with a temperature of 76°F. This weather should not significantly impact the gameplay.
Prediction
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline (+132)
The Brewers have the edge in this matchup with Joe Ryan on the mound. Ryan's consistent performance and the Brewers' strong offense should outmatch Aaron Civale and the Twins. The Brewers' recent success against the Twins and their ability to perform as road underdogs further solidify this pick.
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