MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Braves vs Mets 7/28
- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 28, 2024, 4:19:26 AM
MLB Player Prop Prediction: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/28
Photo Credit: © Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves and New York Mets are set to clash once again at Citi Field on Sunday, July 28, 2024, at 1:40 PM EDT. This pivotal matchup will mark the 10th meeting between these NL East rivals this season, with the Mets currently leading the season series 5-4. The Mets, holding a 55-49 record overall, are third in the NL East, while the Braves are slightly ahead with a 55-48 record, placing them second in the division.
New York has been strong at home, boasting a 28-27 record, and has an impressive 25-10 record in games where they haven’t allowed a home run. The Mets have also been formidable in recent outings, going 6-4 in their last 10 games while hitting .238 and maintaining a 3.74 ERA. In contrast, the Braves have struggled lately, with a 3-7 record in their last 10 games, a .213 batting average, and a 4.44 ERA.
Scan to Download the iOS App
Scan to Download the Android App
Player Prop Odds
For this game, we focus on Nacho Alvarez Jr. and his performance odds:
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-135)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+250)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+155)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+105)
- Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+410)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+230)
Get real-time odds and tips! Join KingPin on iOS or Android.
Player Analysis
Nacho Alvarez Jr. has been a consistent performer for the Braves. Though he has been slightly overshadowed by the team's recent slump, Alvarez Jr. has managed to maintain a solid batting average and has been a reliable contributor in terms of hits, RBIs, and runs scored. His ability to get on base and create scoring opportunities makes him a crucial player for Atlanta's offensive strategy.
Opposing Analysis
David Peterson will be on the mound for the Mets. Peterson has had a solid season with a 5-0 record, a 3.14 ERA, and a 1.48 WHIP. However, his tendency to allow hits could be exploited by Alvarez Jr., who excels in making contact and getting on base. Peterson’s high WHIP indicates that he allows a significant number of base runners, which could play into Alvarez Jr.'s favor, especially with prop bets focusing on hits and stolen bases.
Pitching Probables
Unlock detailed analysis! Join KingPin on iOS or Android.
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reynaldo Lopez (ATL) | 7-4 | 2.12 | 100 |
| David Peterson (NYM) | 5-0 | 3.14 | 36 |
Team Previews
Atlanta Braves
The Braves have been a mixed bag this season. Their pitching staff has a collective ERA of 3.50, ranking second in the NL. However, their recent form has been less than stellar, with the team hitting just .213 over their last 10 games. Austin Riley and Marcell Ozuna have been key offensive players, with Riley hitting .251 and Ozuna hitting .307 with 30 home runs and 82 RBIs.
New York Mets
The Mets have been strong at home and boast a team ERA of 3.52, ranking third in the NL. Pete Alonso and Jose Iglesias have been standout performers, with Alonso hitting 20 home runs and Iglesias hitting .389 in his last 10 games. The Mets' hitting has been average, but their pitching and ability to win close games give them an edge.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris II | CF | 60-Day IL (hamstring) |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | 10-Day IL (wrist) |
| Max Fried | SP | 15-Day IL (forearm) |
| Harrison Bader | CF | Probable for Jul 28 |
| Kodai Senga | SP | Out for the season (calf) |
Recent Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs St. Louis | Postponed | Postponed |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs St. Louis | W3-2 F/10 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs St. Louis | L9-5 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs St. Louis | L6-2 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Cincinnati | L4-1 | L |
Stay updated on team performance. Join KingPin on iOS or Android.
Prediction
Considering Nacho Alvarez Jr.'s performance and David Peterson's pitching tendencies, the prop bet for Alvarez Jr. to get a hit at Over 0.5 hits (-135) looks promising. Alvarez Jr.'s ability to make contact and Peterson's tendency to allow hits make this a favorable bet.
Get more expert picks!
Scan to Download the iOS App
Scan to Download the Android App
