MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Braves vs Mets 7/26
- A Plus Picks
- Jul 26, 2024, 11:01:00 AM
Free MLB Player Props Picks: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets
Photo Credit: © Joe Rondone/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK
Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves look to stop their recent skid as they face off against the New York Mets on Friday, July 26, 2025, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The game is scheduled to start at 7:10 p.m. EDT. Both teams are neck and neck in the NL East standings, with the Braves holding a 54-47 record, just a half-game ahead of the Mets, who are 54-48. This game marks the eighth meeting between the two teams this season, with the Mets leading the season series 4-3.
The Braves have been struggling recently with a five-game losing streak, while the Mets have won seven of their last ten games. Atlanta has a 24-26 record on the road, whereas the Mets are 27-26 at home. The Braves are known for their power, ranking fourth in the NL with 115 home runs, averaging 1.1 per game. On the other hand, the Mets have been more balanced, excelling when they score five or more runs, boasting a 37-15 record in such games.
Key players to watch include Francisco Lindor for the Mets, who has 27 doubles and 22 home runs this season, and Marcell Ozuna for the Braves, who leads the team with 28 home runs and 80 RBIs while hitting .305. The pitching matchup features Charlie Morton (5-5, 3.92 ERA) for the Braves against Kodai Senga, making his debut for the Mets.
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Player Prop Odds
Here are the player prop odds for Sean Murphy in tonight's game:
Batter Hits Over 0.5: -130
Batter RBIs Over 0.5: +250
Batter Runs Scored Over 0.5: +135
Batter Singles Over 0.5: +135
Batter Total Bases Over 1.5: +210
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Player Analysis
Sean Murphy has been a crucial part of the Braves' lineup this season. With a batting average of .259, he has consistently been a threat at the plate. Murphy has shown an ability to come through in clutch situations, as evidenced by his high RBI total. His power and contact abilities make him a candidate to exceed the prop lines set for this game.
Opposing Analysis
Kodai Senga is making his MLB debut for the Mets, which introduces an element of unpredictability. While Senga's skill set from his time in Japan suggests he could be a formidable pitcher, the lack of MLB experience might work in favor of the Braves' hitters. Murphy, with his experience and ability to adjust, could take advantage of Senga's debut jitters.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Morton (ATL) | 5-5 | 3.92 | 1.22 | 101 |
| Kodai Senga (NYM) | -- | -- | -- | -- |
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Team Previews
Atlanta Braves
The Atlanta Braves have had a solid season despite their recent struggles. Their offense ranks 9th in hits (876) and 6th in runs (496), with a team batting average of .249. Their pitching has been less consistent, with a team ERA of 4.15, ranking 20th in the league. Defensively, the Braves have committed 70 errors, ranking 3rd in the league.
New York Mets
The New York Mets have been one of the better-balanced teams in the league. They rank 3rd in team ERA (3.50) and have a solid bullpen with 26 saves, which is tied for 13th in the league. Offensively, they have struggled at times, ranking 18th in hits (818) and tied for 20th in runs (424). Their team batting average stands at .240. Defensively, they have committed 43 errors, which is tied for 28th in the league.
Team Injuries
Atlanta Braves
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris II | OF | 60-Day IL (hamstring) |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | 10-Day IL (wrist) |
| Max Fried | SP | 15-Day IL (forearm) |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | OF | 60-Day IL (knee) |
New York Mets
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bader | OF | Day-to-day (ankle) |
| Starling Marte | OF | 10-Day IL (knee) |
| Sean Reid-Foley | RP | 15-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Kodai Senga | SP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
Recent Games
Atlanta Braves
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs St. Louis | 3-2 (W/10) | W |
| vs St. Louis | 5-9 | L |
| vs St. Louis | 2-6 | L |
| vs Cincinnati | 1-4 | L |
| vs Cincinnati | 4-9 | L |
New York Mets
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Miami | 4-6 | L |
| @ Miami | 1-0 | W |
| @ Miami | 2-4 | L |
| @ Miami | 6-4 | W |
| @ New York | 3-2 | W |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 0.5 Hits for Sean Murphy (-130)
Sean Murphy has been a consistent performer for the Braves this season, and with Kodai Senga making his MLB debut, Murphy's experience and hitting ability make this a solid pick. The odds of -130 for over 0.5 hits seem favorable given Murphy's track record and the uncertainty surrounding Senga's performance.
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